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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War
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Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War
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madrid
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:20 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Just wanted to note that I called correctly yesterday that metals and oil would be way down today, in spite of this conflict.

Commodities are not like equities-- once a trend has begun, you have to get out of its way.
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Roccland
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:31 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

madrid wrote:
Just wanted to note that I called correctly yesterday that metals and oil would be way down today, in spite of this conflict.

Commodities are not like equities-- once a trend has begun, you have to get out of its way.


Yep you did.

Don't know why they are down, but they are.

Blue light special is in effect !!!!
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Plantagenet
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:46 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote



The National Museum of Georgia has this beautiful piece of St. George slaying the dragon.

The dragon is coming again. Russian forces are headed for Tbilsi. Crying or Very sad
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frankthetank
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:47 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Just from what I've heard in day to day activities the past 72hrs, about 99.9% of Americans could care less whats going on over there!? Anyone else get that vibe? Pretty sad...
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frankthetank
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:00 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Just read the wiki on Georgia. Lot of interesting history in that country. Sure sounds like they've been back in forth with the "Reds" for a long time.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_(country)
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frankthetank
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:02 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
U.S. Military Instructors Command Hirelings in Georgia
Thousands of mercenaries are fighting for Georgia in this burning conflict with South Ossetia. They are commanded by the U.S. military instructors, RIA Novosti reported with reference to a high-ranked officer of Russia’s military intelligence.
“From 2,500 to 3,000 mercenaries fight against Russia’s peacekeepers on behalf of Georgia,” the unnamed source said. Amid them are the natives of Ukraine, some Baltic states and the Caucasus regions.

The U.S. military instructors directly command and coordinate actions of mercenaries without being involved in actual fighting, the source specified. According to intelligence data, there are roughly 1,000 military instructors of the United States in Georgia.

Task force of Russia has annihilated a few groups of mercenaries. Some of mercenaries have been captured, and investigators are working with them, the source said.

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nobodypanic
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:05 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Plantagenet wrote:


The National Museum of Georgia has this beautiful piece of St. George slaying the dragon.

The dragon is coming again. Russian forces are headed for Tbilsi. Crying or Very sad

looks like that's going to be some pretty hard slogging. i wish i could get some nice maps of the road network, but i can't seem to find any, so just by looking at google maps satellite shots, it looks like there will be ample opportunity for defense as the russians get squeezed and funneled by the local geography on the way to tblisi.
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RSFB
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:11 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aPYmM80WrBHk&refer=worldwide
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/LB392248.htm

Quote:
Two Reuters reporters in Gori said they saw no evidence of a substantial Russian presence in the town.

One said he saw Georgian soldiers leaving in convoys.

The second reporters said: "We are right now driving through the town and I see no trace of troops or military vehicles. It is absolutely deserted."

The reporter said he later saw a Georgian armoured personnel carrier on fire east of Gori on the highway to Tbilisi. A long convoy of Georgian military trucks was heading away from Gori towards the capital.


Will Russians go for the big one now?
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nobodypanic
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:16 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

RSFB wrote:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aPYmM80WrBHk&refer=worldwide
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/LB392248.htm

Quote:
Two Reuters reporters in Gori said they saw no evidence of a substantial Russian presence in the town.

One said he saw Georgian soldiers leaving in convoys.

The second reporters said: "We are right now driving through the town and I see no trace of troops or military vehicles. It is absolutely deserted."

The reporter said he later saw a Georgian armoured personnel carrier on fire east of Gori on the highway to Tbilisi. A long convoy of Georgian military trucks was heading away from Gori towards the capital.

Will Russians go for the big one now?
here's the interesting part from your link:

Quote:
Moscow swiftly denied the statement.

"There are no Russian troops in Gori," a Russian Defence Ministry spokesman said

does this mean that the russians understand that gori is some sort of red-line for US-NATO? maybe the back-channel communication was, "you can have s. ossetia, but you'd better not go farther than that."
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ir290762
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Hello again,

It is interesting to put two AlexLarge's posts together:

On US in Iraq

This conflict is evidence of how critical Iraq is to US strategy. The whole reason we are there is oil. US forces now sit on top of and control the last largest supply of crude on the planet. Iraq is the most strategic place on Earth. No need to put carriers in danger by sending them close to the battle. Everything needed is in Iraq. Only 600 miles to the action.

On Russian energo-fascism

"This, then, is another face of Energo-fascism in Russia: the use of its energy as an instrument of political influence and coercion over weak have-not states on its borders. "It is not that energy is the new atomic weapon," Cliff Kupchan of the Eurasia Group consultancy told the Financial Times, "but Russia knows that petro-power, aggressively and cleverly applied, can yield diplomatic influence."

It virtually means that Iraq war was necessary for US to control the oil reserves there. And it is necessary to stop Russia by all means because it uses oil as a political instrument?

Do take it correctly? If yes, then a couple of statements:

1. Nobody cares about Georgia as such, as well as their populations. So we come back to a typical anglo-saxon way of thinking, formulated best by Lord Balfur in around 1920 about Georgia: "For all I care is the railroad carrying cicterns with oil. And the aborigenes may tear each other into pieces"
2. Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland are safe -- no oil or any other sizeable energy resources there.


In the meantime, Russian media shows footage of Georgians bombing Tskhinvali again...


Either my English fails me, or I
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RSFB
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:19 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

nobodypanic wrote:

does this mean that the russians understand that gori is some sort of red-line for US-NATO? maybe the back-channel communication was, "you can have s. ossetia, but you'd better not go farther than that."


Possible, but somewhat doubtful considering the Georgians' retreat. The Russians took a military base at Senaki (outside Abkhazia), so if I had to guess I'd say they simply don't care about overtaking empty cities. The Reuters reporter said the city was desert...

Let's hope you're right though.


Last edited by RSFB on Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:20 pm; edited 1 time in total
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AlexdeLarge
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:20 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

My guess is the US is seeking flyover permission from Turkey. Russia is pressuring the Turks to not allow it or else.
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dorlomin
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:26 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

McCain wants to kick Russia out of the G8.

Bush is still watching sport in Bejing.

Quid pro quo, Russia had Yeltsen so America has tried to outdo them with Bush.
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dorlomin
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:28 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

AlexdeLarge wrote:
My guess is the US is seeking flyover permission from Turkey. Russia is pressuring the Turks to not allow it or else.
I can see no reason the Kemalists would object, Erdogan may but then Turks have a bit of a fear over Russian, they are there greatest traditional rival in the region.
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AlexdeLarge
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:28 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia Georgia Ossetia Alkhazia Ukraine War Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

BINGO ! Peak oil is a bit*h!

However, its not just "typical " Anglo Saxon thinking. It is also Slavic thinking.

And before that ..............Roman thinking.

Not trying to put a moral spin on things...........since when is war moral?
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