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lorenzo Fission


Joined: Jan 01, 2005 Posts: 2231
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 10:35 am Post subject: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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The USDA's crop forecast is out:
| Quote: | Soybean Production Up 15 Percent from Last Year
Corn Production Down 6 Percent from 2007, but second highest production ever
Cotton Production Down 28 Percent from 2007
All Wheat Production Virtually Unchanged from July Forecast
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And:
| Quote: | Corn production is forecast at 12.3 billion bushels, down 6 percent from last year but 17 percent above 2006. Based on
conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 155.0 bushels per acre, up 3.9 bushels from last year. If
realized, this yield would be the second highest on record, behind 2004. Production would be the second highest on
record, behind last year when producers harvested the most acres of corn for grain since 1933. |
http://www.usda.gov/nass/PUBS/TODAYRPT/crop0808.pdf
Doom and gloomers are wrong, once again. But this has become a routine by now.  _________________ The Beginning is Near! |
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Tyler_JC Moderator

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Joined: Sep 25, 2004 Posts: 4723 Location: Boston, MA
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 10:48 am Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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So we're going to increase production over 2006 levels by 17% despite the massive flooding in a major corn growing region in June?
Impressive.
Never bet against the American farmer. They don't call us the Saudi Arabia of Corn for nothing. _________________ "www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse." |
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rdsaltpower Heavy Crude


Joined: Aug 30, 2006 Posts: 130
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 10:55 am Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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| lol! the doomers seem doomed! |
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pstarr Expert


Joined: Sep 27, 2004 Posts: 7182 Location: Behind the Redwood Curtain
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 11:00 am Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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If you haven't guessed this is justification for turning all that marginal land and those darn conservation easements (taken from wildlife and habitat) into BIOFOOLS!!!!.
Yippee drag out the Hummer! We're goin' muddin'  _________________
ree rah rip ram. sunofabitch godamn. hidey didey christ almighty. rah rah crap  |
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Homesteader Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Apr 12, 2007 Posts: 1198 Location: Central NC
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 11:09 am Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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It will be interesting to see what the yield per acre is. _________________ "The era of procrastination, of half-measures, of soothing and baffling expedients, of delays, is coming to a close. In its place we are entering a period of consequences…"
Sir Winston Churchill |
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joewp Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Apr 05, 2005 Posts: 1658 Location: Springsteen Country (NJ)
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 11:20 am Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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Um...
| Quote: |
Corn Production Down 6 Percent from 2007
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How can it be down by 6% but be a record yield? Last time I looked, the pertinent definition of "record" was "An unsurpassed measurement: a world record in weightlifting; a record for cold weather.", not something that is down 6% from last year.
Next we'll hear "Oil production set a record this year at 60mb/d, down only 7% from last year!" _________________ Joe P. United Political Debate
"Only when the last tree is cut; only when the last river is polluted; only when the last fish is caught; only then will they realize that you cannot eat money." - Cree Indian Proverb |
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joeltrout Light Sweet Crude

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Joined: Sep 19, 2007 Posts: 1317
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 11:44 am Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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| joewp wrote: | Um...
| Quote: |
Corn Production Down 6 Percent from 2007
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How can it be down by 6% but be a record yield? Last time I looked, the pertinent definition of "record" was "An unsurpassed measurement: a world record in weightlifting; a record for cold weather.", not something that is down 6% from last year.
Next we'll hear "Oil production set a record this year at 60mb/d, down only 7% from last year!" |
Haha I am glad I wasn't the only one trying to figure that one out.
joeltrout |
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smallpoxgirl Moderator


Joined: Nov 08, 2004 Posts: 6480
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 11:55 am Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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| joewp wrote: | | How can it be down by 6% but be a record yield? |
Maybe he's talking about the 2007 harvest?  _________________ "We were standing on the edges
Of a thousand burning bridges
Sifting through the ashes every day
What we thought would never end
Now is nothing more than a memory
The way things were before
I lost my way" - OCMS |
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Cashmere Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Mar 27, 2008 Posts: 1971
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 12:02 pm Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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You figure with the Olympics g8oing and all that the OP would have a handle on how to determine whether a "record" h as been established. _________________ Massive Human Dieoff must occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where you live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group. |
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FoxV Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Mar 02, 2005 Posts: 1337 Location: Canada
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 12:02 pm Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics
Yields are up but production is down. Sounds like less acres are growing but the ones that are are doing very well.
I'm suspecting that soy bean production increase is also a factor. Soy bean and corn production are only profitable if you rotate between the two from year to year. So a lot of fields that were corn last year have been switched out for soybean.
Yield is only relevant to an individual farm's profitability. At the end of the day, production is still down and the doomers are no more or less doomed than anybody else.
can anybody put this into perspective to demand growth from last year. |
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frankthetank Fusion


Joined: Sep 16, 2004 Posts: 4927 Location: Southwest WI
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 1:05 pm Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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I'll wait until the combines are in the field before commenting. _________________ Clothing should be optional. |
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Twilight Expert


Joined: Mar 02, 2007 Posts: 3076 Location: UK
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 1:09 pm Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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OK, so then we turn that corn into ethanol and burn it in our cars, right? _________________ Volatility. When life isn't exciting enough. |
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strider3700 Fission


Joined: Apr 17, 2005 Posts: 2765 Location: Vancouver Island
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 2:15 pm Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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| frankthetank wrote: | | I'll wait until the combines are in the field before commenting. |
You should also wait until the measurements of what the actual harvest was have been through their revisions. It seems like the new standard way of doing things is to estimate way to high and revise lower a few months later. _________________ shame on us, doomed from the start
god have mercy on our dirty little hearts |
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markcl Coal


Joined: Jul 30, 2006 Posts: 10
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 5:16 pm Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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| remember these numbers will not be proven entill Jan 2009, after J6pack has been suckered |
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cube Fusion

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Joined: Mar 12, 2005 Posts: 3823
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Posted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 7:09 pm Post subject: Re: USDA forecast: record corn yield in the U.S. |
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| joeltrout wrote: | | joewp wrote: | Um...
| Quote: |
Corn Production Down 6 Percent from 2007
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How can it be down by 6% but be a record yield? Last time I looked, the pertinent definition of "record" was "An unsurpassed measurement: a world record in weightlifting; a record for cold weather.", not something that is down 6% from last year.
Next we'll hear "Oil production set a record this year at 60mb/d, down only 7% from last year!" |
Haha I am glad I wasn't the only one trying to figure that one out.
joeltrout | *shock and awe*
OMG can it really be true?
Would a cornucopian Troll try to purposely mislead?
I feel as if my innocence has been lost. _________________ joeltrout Oct-2008: Dow 13,000 in three years
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