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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Russia's Nuclear Threat To Poland (BREAKING)
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Russia's Nuclear Threat To Poland (BREAKING)
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nobodypanic
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Jun 02, 2008
Posts: 620

PostPosted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:08 am    Post subject: Re: Russia's Nuclear Threat To Poland (BREAKING) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

EnergyUnlimited wrote:
Starvid wrote:
Plantagenet wrote:
GeneralGreen wrote:
RU is the life line of PO.
Russia is the lifeline of the entire EU.
I'd rather say the EU is the lifeline of Russia. If we decide we don't need their gas...

...then Chinese will decide that they do. Smile

and just how are you going to get your NG to them? your pipelines run to europe, not china. you don't have the infrastructure in place to switch from europe to china.

let me put this another way: russia only has one oil pipeline running through kazakhstan into china and NO gas pipelines running into china. so, you either sell to europe, or since more than 60% of your export revenues come from oil and gas, watch your economy disintegrate.

map of russian oil and gas pipelines (actual and proposed)

and if you think you're going to be 'allowed' to invade poland, you're out of your mind. any such act would likely end in the destruction of russia, not to mention the rest of the world.
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EnergyUnlimited
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 11:17 am    Post subject: Re: Russia's Nuclear Threat To Poland (BREAKING) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

nobodypanic wrote:
let me put this another way: russia only has one oil pipeline running through kazakhstan into china and NO gas pipelines running into china. so, you either sell to europe, or since more than 60% of your export revenues come from oil and gas, watch your economy disintegrate.

There is another solution:
Not sell gas to Europe (or sell it only to few selected countries there, Italy comes to mind) and build gas pipes to China.
These are already proposed and one bypassing Baikal lake is already under construction.
Putting on free market few bundles of US treasury bonds will nicely assist with capital, so no help from banking sector would be needed.
Quote:
and if you think you're going to be 'allowed' to invade poland, you're out of your mind. any such act would likely end in the destruction of russia, not to mention the rest of the world.

As if US would wish to commit suicide to protect Poland.
Ha ha ha!
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nobodypanic
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Jun 02, 2008
Posts: 620

PostPosted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 11:33 am    Post subject: Re: Russia's Nuclear Threat To Poland (BREAKING) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

EnergyUnlimited wrote:
nobodypanic wrote:
let me put this another way: russia only has one oil pipeline running through kazakhstan into china and NO gas pipelines running into china. so, you either sell to europe, or since more than 60% of your export revenues come from oil and gas, watch your economy disintegrate.

There is another solution:
Not sell gas to Europe (or sell it only to few selected countries there, Italy comes to mind) and build gas pipes to China.
These are already proposed and one bypassing Baikal lake is already under construction.
Putting on free market few bundles of US treasury bonds will nicely assist with capital, so no help from banking sector would be needed.
Quote:
and if you think you're going to be 'allowed' to invade poland, you're out of your mind. any such act would likely end in the destruction of russia, not to mention the rest of the world.

As if US would wish to commit suicide to protect Poland.
Ha ha ha!

what, you think you're going to build the pipelines necessary to move that much product into china overnight? ha! your economy will be a smoking wreck before you could even get started.

face it, you have a case, of at worst for the EU, MAED, mutually assured economic destruction. cut their gas and oil for any significant time, and you cut your own throat. if only the 'geniuses' in moscow had built these pipelines into china before they decided to flex their newfound fascist muscles....


this isn't 1956; you will be met w/force if you attempt to invade poland, and then god help us all.
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the48thronin
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Joined: May 30, 2008
Posts: 297
Location: On the highway, or the water somewhere!

PostPosted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 11:46 am    Post subject: Re: Russia's Nuclear Threat To Poland (BREAKING) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

idiom wrote:
Quote:
Europe is not sufficiently valuable asset for US, to go to nuclear exchange over it.


Its not Oil positive, Its banks are not cash positive, and the world didn't end when the U.S. let Russia have half of it.



The world of appeasement did.

Threats that will not be carried out are propaganda nothing more.

Russia has less use for management of Poland than the EU. The real threat to Russia is from the south and the southwest.

Oh and that no ICBM owning guy who gets his world views and instructions by throwing notes down a well.... claims ( but we don't think it is true) to have launched something into orbit.
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highlander
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Joined: Oct 03, 2004
Posts: 566
Location: Washington State

PostPosted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 1:06 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia's Nuclear Threat To Poland (BREAKING) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MAD is so 1970's
The flavor of the new american century is that we can win any conflict via first strike. That is certainly not lost on the russians, or chinese.
nor is it lost on international corporations, who care not a bit for nationalism, freedom, democracy, etc.

Russian threat likely is directed to the US bases that will support the missile system. I doubt it is hollow rhetoric.
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the48thronin
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Joined: May 30, 2008
Posts: 297
Location: On the highway, or the water somewhere!

PostPosted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 1:46 pm    Post subject: Re: Russia's Nuclear Threat To Poland (BREAKING) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Show me one responsible American military or political leader who has produced any study that claims a first nuclear strike is a valid option ... ( and I will show you a fool).

MAD may be "so 1970s" but it still exists. The Russians will not rule after a nuclear war, they probably know that!
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EnergyUnlimited
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Joined: May 15, 2006
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:01 am    Post subject: Re: Russia's Nuclear Threat To Poland (BREAKING) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

the48thronin wrote:

MAD may be "so 1970s" but it still exists. The Russians will not rule after a nuclear war, they probably know that!

I think, both Americans and Russians will run some experimental testing of these assertions to find out the truth.

IMO geopolitical development goes in such direction that MAD will remain to be the only realistic way out.
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