Like the illusion of Wall Street, with its vast and powerful investment banks, now shuttered, China too is an illusion perpetuated by the Globalists that gave us the 15,000 mile Caesar salad, poisoned cat food and lead based paint on babies' pacifiers. Like the illusion that money would come from thin air to always push housing prices higher, China has spent a generation pursuing its illusion. Pursuing an unattainable dream to be like the West, while 6000 years of its carefully shepherded top soil blows into the sea.
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 4:42 pm Post subject: European population declining fast - very good
New data are out on Europe's rapid population decline.
A core country like Germany, will see a decline of its population level by up to 15% by 2060. Poland may lose up to to 20%.
The EU's statistical office Eurostat predicts the EU population to peak at 521m in 2035 but then decline.
The report predicts the average age of the EU population will rise, due to "persistently low fertility and an increasing number of survivors to higher ages".
But this also means we now have a development model to follow.
The key to lowering the world's population is to bring more prosperity, along the lines of strong socio-economic systems based on excellent health care, education, social services and public infrastructures.
We must speed up the transition to modernity and post-modernity in nations that are still burdened by high fertility rates.
World population is expected to stabilize by 2075 and to decline from 2100 onwards. But if we follow the European or Japanese development model, and push it everywhere as much as we can, then we can pull this date towards us by a few decades.
Let's do it. We have the model. _________________ The Beginning is Near!
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 4:44 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
I call BS. The immigration is such a force, that all these numbers are pointless as they don't take into account all those millions pouring in for the welfare check.
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 4:47 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
TonisD wrote:
I call BS. The immigration is such a force, that all these numbers are pointless as they don't take into account all those millions pouring in for the welfare check.
The report talks about the autochtonous population only.
We will need many immigrants to sustain our economy.
And the good thing about these immigrants is that they boost the economies of their own home countries, thus helping to speed up the transition to more prosperity in these countries - the key to lower fertility rates there too.
Japan is importing immigrants from the Philippines, we will be importing people from Africa. These Philippino/African workers send home lots of money, so that their women in the Philippines/Africa (their daughters, nieces, sisters, and wives) don't have to make more children in order to survive.
The capital transfers via remittances are really huge. This is very good.
So immigration, provided it leads to prosperity for the immigrants and to mass transfers of capital to their home-countries, fits in nicely with a scenario of rapidly declining fertility rates on this planet.
We must encourage immigration of people who come from high-fertility countries, into low-fertility countries with lots of capital to transfer. _________________ The Beginning is Near!
Joined: Aug 03, 2007 Posts: 4570 Location: Boston Suburbs
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 4:55 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
lorenzo wrote:
We will need many immigrants to sustain our economy.
Even in an era when food and energy is scarce?
lorenzo wrote:
And the good thing about these immigrants is that they boost the economies of their own home countries, thus helping to speed up the transition to more prosperity in these countries - the key to lower fertility rates there too.
Hello, peakoil.com. Overshoot, remember? Demographic shift is too little too late. Global GDP is destined to go down, not up.
lorenzo wrote:
We must encourage immigration of people who come from high-fertility countries, into low-fertility countries with lots of capital to transfer.
If you've got a death wish. You also don't seem to factor in a massive shift in lifestyle when people from other cultures suddenly become a demographic majority. _________________ http://doomsteaddiary.blogspot.com/
Joined: Aug 30, 2005 Posts: 277 Location: Second Vermont Republic
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 5:36 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
Importing millions of Africans with high fertility, patriarchal societies, and poor education is going to take care of those millions of retired Germans how?
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 6:37 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
mos6507 wrote:
lorenzo wrote:
We will need many immigrants to sustain our economy.
Even in an era when food and energy is scarce?
The whole point is that fewer people consume less food and energy. Why else do you think I post news about population trends on a forum like this one?
mos6507 wrote:
lorenzo wrote:
And the good thing about these immigrants is that they boost the economies of their own home countries, thus helping to speed up the transition to more prosperity in these countries - the key to lower fertility rates there too.
Hello, peakoil.com. Overshoot, remember? Demographic shift is too little too late. Global GDP is destined to go down, not up.
Where do you get the strange idea that this demographic shift - Europe's peak population will already be here in 2035 - is "too little too late"?
What are you using as a basis for this highly speculative, rather bizarre idea?
mos6507 wrote:
lorenzo wrote:
We must encourage immigration of people who come from high-fertility countries, into low-fertility countries with lots of capital to transfer.
If you've got a death wish. You also don't seem to factor in a massive shift in lifestyle when people from other cultures suddenly become a demographic majority.
Nobody is talking about immigrants becoming a demographic majority.
Can you please think and write within the boundaries of reason?
At the height of our demographic decline, will need fewer than 500,000 immigrants per year to fill in basic jobs in health care, social services and basic industries. They will never constitute a demographic majority.
They will however enrich our own culture, and most importantly, help prosper their own, back at home. _________________ The Beginning is Near!
Last edited by lorenzo on Fri Aug 29, 2008 6:41 pm; edited 1 time in total
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 6:39 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
KingM wrote:
Importing millions of Africans with high fertility, patriarchal societies, and poor education is going to take care of those millions of retired Germans how?
By cleaning their rooms, by making their beds, by cooking their food, by doing their shopping, by building their retirement homes, etcetera, etcetera.
The key jobs will emerge in sectors such as health care, social services, and basic industries.
For most of these jobs, you need low skilled labor. For many others, you can provide basic training and schooling.
There are many such programs already out there. Japan, for example, is training girls in the Philippines to become low level nurses. It takes 2 years to train them. Employing them in Japan is a win-win for both societies. _________________ The Beginning is Near!
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 7:47 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
I'm confused. You say that reducing the population is good, but then say you need to import people to keep population up. This seems contradictory. Are you in favor of reducing population or keeping it up? Plus, where will the newly modernized countries get their immigrants to take care of their newly wealthy and thus decreasing populations? Or are only European countries allowed to import immigrants to take care of them?
Plus, once all those immigrants get old, you're going to need yet more immigrants to take care of the original ones, ad infinitum.
Also, I wonder about your claim that these cultures will never be a majority. You show me a country with distinct cultures, one of which feels condemned to eternal minority status, and I'll show you a country wracked by ethnic violence.
Finally, I don't realy see how taking people from one culture and moving them to another "enriches" that culture. European culture seems to have been getting along just fine for all these centuries without the need for enrichment. _________________ One of these now am I too, a fugitive from the gods and a wanderer, at the mercy of raging Strife.
--Empedocles
Joined: Oct 04, 2007 Posts: 224 Location: North-East USA
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 8:29 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
lorenzo the point that you seem to be missing is that the drop in EU zone population is reactionary, not anticipatory, which means that it cant support its current population levels at THIS level of per-capita energy usage, and its only getting worse from here forward which means their population levels will have to FALL MUCH MORE; severe economic depression + country full of foreigners usually = genocide or something along those lines
Joined: Mar 26, 2005 Posts: 3904 Location: over here
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 8:46 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
Europe is most definately an important if not vital "experiment" in how to deal with population decline, as is Japan and even more important will be China in the near future. Leeching immigrant populations are most definately an uncertain factor which would make Japan a test case as it has very few foreign immigrants. In Europe however this will and has been proven a "problem" which will have to be taken care off one way or another and which has currently been dealt with by restricting immigration standards more to the American level. _________________ "The best thing about the future is that it comes only one day at a time."
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 10:30 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
Russia's population will as well and already has. And to heck with their economies. Just want there to be fewer people out there crapping up the world.
g
Joined: Aug 03, 2007 Posts: 4570 Location: Boston Suburbs
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 10:39 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
TreebeardsUncle wrote:
Russia's population will as well and already has. And to heck with their economies. Just want there to be fewer people out there crapping up the world.
g
Amen. Having too few people around is a problem the world should be able to deal with. Too many is what we have to worry about. _________________ http://doomsteaddiary.blogspot.com/
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 11:02 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
KingM wrote:
Importing millions of Africans with high fertility, patriarchal societies, and poor education is going to take care of those millions of retired Germans how?
*meanwhile on the other side of the Atlantic*
I think we are reaching a "turning point" in America where MOST people are starting to seriously question the wisdom of having a gigantic revolving door as the official immigration policy.
I don't have a problem with poor + uneducated people coming into the country. There are some people on this planet who essentially "won the lottery" by being born into a rich nation with a public education system and well there's the other 80% of the planet.
I think it's okay to give people at least a first chance in life.
Much like a lifeboat there's room for a couple more people on board but I do NOT want everybody trying to climb on board and sinking the damn boat with me in it too!
Immigration *should* be controlled.
my 2 cents... _________________ joeltrout Oct-2008: Dow 13,000 in three years
Joined: Jul 04, 2008 Posts: 242 Location: Europe: European Historian
Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 11:11 pm Post subject: Re: European population declining fast - very good
On Populations
The UK is in Massive overshoot! And same with other places like The Netherlands and Germany...All can support about 50% of the present population with a low oil diet...The British Isles for example lie at the end of the oil pipelines coming from Russia and other points east and south. This means that British petrol prices will be an order of magnitude higher than any other European prices, The Political elite, of course, will maintain their stranglehold on British politics and prevent the emergence of any self-preservational movements until native Brits there have starved to death.
There are many people who do not understand that the small amount of farmland left on the postage-stamp-sized territory of the Britian cannot possibly feed its roughly 61 million inhabitants, and such ignorami include many of the Brits themselves. This self-imposed ignorance is actually a good thing, because it means that they will take little or no action to avert utter disaster until it is far too late
February 2008 British Petroleum graph of UK North Sea fossil fuel production for the period 2008-2030. The legend itself was posted on the oil drum awhile back, but it doesn't matter.Extraction on the UK Continental Shelf contributes very little to the whole. According to BP's optimistic assumptions, as much as 70% of conventional oil might be recovered from the biggest fields, which means that if they can't get that 70%, depletion will be even faster. In either case, lacking the vast revenues from that oil, together with the need to start importing increasingly expensive oil from abroad, the UK economy will have little time to live; and the British and other Western European nations. With the importing Third Worlders, are at last going to pay for their funа- with destitution.
I suggest you people read "The Camp of the Saints' more less its about how boat people will be flooding into the West "Germany -France-etc" its already been happening now since the 70s.
I dont understand how a new immigrants who collect welfare "in Sweden all the new arrivals are on welfare provided by Swedish taxes' and most don't get off ...Why should they they get housing free, money, and even 1st class citizen ship rights..don't believe me? Go call a black boat African a racist name and he'll end up suing and taking your for all you worked for...
So how are these people helping old retired people I dont understand..they actually cause more drain on the systems.
I expect the cliff of peak oil to be 2012-2016 time....I expect millions of Africans, Asians, Muslims, Sub Saharan's , to flood into the west ever more...and with the liberal brainwashing for the past 70 years most Western nations will just roll over and die and accept these people..."While the natives starve to death.
By 2016-2020 it will be a zero sum game in Europe of who lives and of who dies. Western Europe is going to explode into ethnic- race crashes!
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