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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide.
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Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide.
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dorlomin
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 5:09 am    Post subject: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Link I guess with the fall in comodities and the general panic around the world Russia is taking an absolute pounding. Ugly days. Perhaps the best thing about posting here for over a year, I got my panicking over and done with a year ago.
But all the same many many very poor Russians will become poorer.
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EnergyUnlimited
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 5:16 am    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Poor Russians may hold some vodka but not shares. They will remain entirely unconcerned about these events.

If oil drops further $20 (quite likely) then alternative energy bubble will surely collapse and that will be interesting to watch.
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oxj
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 6:02 am    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Yes, the struggle of the poor is uninteresting, for it is common.
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MrBill
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 6:24 am    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Your average Russian does not own shares. Those that do are those who can afford to take losses. This downward momentum is actually being caused by those Russians that pledged local shares and ADRs against loans, so that they could buy more shares and/or property. As they cannot meet margin calls their banks are selling that collateral on their behalf to pay-off the loans.

This is truly ugly, but it is not hurting or affecting the poor. I believe that some of TPTB are actually profiting from this rout in share prices. If they sold in May they can now afford to buy back a roughly half. That alone should pay for the Georgian conflict, although they might have over-estimated themselves their ability to stop this fall in stock prices. Sometimes these things take on a life of their own what with the public fight over BP-TNK, comments about Mechel, the credit crisis, the Georgian conflict, the bursting of the commodity bubble and now major players and liquidity providers imploding.
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AlexdeLarge
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 6:58 am    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

As oil revenues diminish, they will get royally screwed again. But Putin will use this "crisis" to consoldate his power even more.

Got to love those KGB guys!
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Specop_007
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 7:02 am    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

So much for Ivan's military expansion dreams. Laughing
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IslandCrow
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 8:14 am    Post subject: Stock market melt down in Russia???? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Trading Halted in Russian shares
Quote:
Trading on Russia's main stock exchanges has been suspended following steep falls in shares prices this week.
The shock developments on Wall Street this week spurred a sell-off in Russian shares, which sank to three-year lows on Tuesday.
Following a plunge of 6%, the dollar-denominated RTS index halted trading on Wednesday until further notice. It is down 60% since its May peak.
Trading on the rouble-denominated Micex was also suspended. This comes after shares on the Micex slumped by almost 18% on Tuesday

Added to this the "collapse" in crude oil prices must be hurting Russia.
What does this all mean? Do you have other links to help us sort out what is happening? Thanks
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Polemic
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 8:29 am    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Remember the story of how the US in concert with Saudi supposedly tanked oil prices in the late 80's so that the Soviets would have to overproduce their fields to maintain revenue and cause an earlier peak in their production...

Just a guess, but could it be that Western powers saw how commodity-heavy Russia is in their investments; and decided that they wanted to try and burn the Russians? Maybe that partly explains what seems to be manipulation by large players in commodity prices.

I don't think it will work though in the long run. We seem doomed to collapse the way they did, or worse, and they seem destined to rise above.
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frankthetank
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 9:53 am    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Wait... This is the same country that has RESOURCES galore, huge amounts of empty land (although some may be radioactive), small population and a couple 100 billion in the bank??? I wouldn't start crying just yet...
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The_Virginian
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 11:34 am    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

"Financial turmoil accelerates in Russia. Trading on RTS and MICEX stock exchanges suspended for a second day
By Polya Lesova, MarketWatch Last update: 9:51 a.m. EDT 17 Sep 2008:
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Russian financial turmoil accelerated Wednesday as trading on the country's major exchanges was halted for a second day and the finance ministry announced plans to loan the country's three largest banks up to $44 billion. " Now you can "cry" for Russia
Frank,
Their capitol reserves shrunk as well: "handler noted that since the war with Georgia, Russian foreign exchange reserves have fallen by $24 billion. Still, Russia has the third largest reserves in the world; they stood at $573.6 billion as of Sept.5. "
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threadbear
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 11:41 am    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

AlexdeLarge wrote:
As oil revenues diminish, they will get royally screwed again. But Putin will use this "crisis" to consoldate his power even more. Got to love those KGB guys!

The grass roots really like Putin. He consolidated power when he made it hot for some of the oligarchs in the East bloc. Now they're making major mischief for him in Georgia through arms sales out of Israel. Oh, what a tangled web!
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heroineworshipper
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 12:04 pm    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Russian banks probably had huge investments in mortgages. They've printed over 1.5 trillion Rubles since Tuesday to pay off mortgages & sustain the dollar exchange rate.
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ReverseEngineer
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 12:24 pm    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Race to the Bottom.
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AlexdeLarge
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 12:37 pm    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

threadbear wrote:
AlexdeLarge wrote:
As oil revenues diminish, they will get royally screwed again. But Putin will use this "crisis" to consoldate his power even more. Got to love those KGB guys!
The grass roots really like Putin. He consolidated power when he made it hot for some of the oligarchs in the East bloc. Now they're making major mischief for him in Georgia through arms sales out of Israel. Oh, what a tangled web!

Youre Right.....Putin has cult type following almost as strong as Lord Obama. But Russians have historically gravitated toward strong leaders. This is very true when times are bad.

Putin will go back to the original play book, foster an external enemy to quail internal dissent. Tis a shame, I wish they had gotten a taste for real democracy instead of all the corruption that followed the break up of the USSR. Now, they will go back to dictatorship without the pretense of communism.
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threadbear
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 12:44 pm    Post subject: Re: Trading in Russia suspended to halt slide. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

AlexdeLarge wrote:
I wish they had gotten a taste for real democracy instead of all the corruption that followed the break up of the USSR. Now, they will go back to dictatorship without the pretense of communism.

Alex, Oh...they got a taste of democracy American style, alright. Bend over and prepare to get a "taste" of the same.
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