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Oil's energy contribution has declined by about 12% since 1999. The world's economies have also declined by about 12%. (Using conventional metrics, which are time delayed determinations, this will only be seen in hind sight). The massive destruction of asset values now occurring testifies to it happening. Peak is well behind us, world economies have peaked and will continue to decline.

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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks
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Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks
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deMolay
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 5:12 am    Post subject: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

This could be ominous news. [rul=http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUSPEK16693720080925]link[/url]
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seahorse
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 5:19 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Nice find. I agree. There's no way this can be good. My question is whether its only temporary, meaning, until the US passes the bailout. If it extends indefinitely, not a good sign.
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ohanian
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 5:57 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

It's their money. They can decide how it should be used


Since when do we tell Chinaman how to spend his own money?
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ReverseEngineer
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 6:12 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

ohanian wrote:
Since when do we tell Chinaman how to spend his own money?

Since the Boxer Rebellion? Guess those days are over now.

Love this Biblical Prediction: "The Meek Shall Inherit the Earth."

Seeming more plausible al the time. The rich seem to be getting toasted rapidly here as the paper wealth goes up in flames.

Gotta love hearing this stuff from a huge critic of Religion in general.
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vtsnowedin
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 6:14 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Shocked The Chinese have a big problem here. All the stuff we were going to buy from them for Christmas is already in the container on the ship. What happens to their booming industrial sector if by Thanksgiving the US is in a full depression and half that stuff just sits in Walmart unsold? There is 27000 former employees of investment banks that nolonger need a new laptop or PDA for the forseeable future and lots more layoffs where those came from.
If China shuts off our credit they will shoot themselves in the foot. Maybe its already to late but they must be scratching their heads trying to find a course that isn't a total disaster.
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benzoil
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 6:18 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

vtsnowedin wrote:
Shocked The Chinese have a big problem here. All the stuff we were going to buy from them for Christmas is already in the container on the ship.

Actually, most of it is already here. Still, most Chinese manufacturing (that I've seen) is done on a cash up front basis - so at least they've already been paid. Whether or not that money is worth as much as they'd thought come December 25 is anyone's guess.
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ohanian
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 6:22 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

vtsnowedin wrote:
The Chinese have a big problem here. All the stuff we were going to buy from them for Christmas is already in the container on the ship. What happens to their booming industrial sector if by Thanksgiving the US is in a full depression and half that stuff just sits in Walmart unsold? There is 27000 former employees of investment banks that nolonger need a new laptop or PDA for the forseeable future and lots more layoffs where those came from. If China shuts off our credit they will shoot themselves in the foot. Maybe its already to late but they must be scratching their heads trying to find a course that isn't a total disaster.

Only us Yanks believe that we are so Bloody important.

So what if USA collapse economically.

Only a mere 14% of China's economy is Export. Even if USA disappears into a financial Black Hole. China will only suffer a 14% set back at most!!! And that is the worse case scenario.

Don't believe me? Read this article for yourself. link
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ReverseEngineer
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 6:35 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

vtsnowedin wrote:
The Chinese have a big problem here. All the stuff we were going to buy from them for Christmas is already in the container on the ship. What happens to their booming industrial sector if by Thanksgiving the US is in a full depression and half that stuff just sits in Walmart unsold? There is 27000 former employees of investment banks that nolonger need a new laptop or PDA for the forseeable future and lots more layoffs where those came from. If China shuts off our credit they will shoot themselves in the foot. Maybe its already to late but they must be scratching their heads trying to find a course that isn't a total disaster.

Why on EARTH anyone would think the Chinese got a LOCK on this problem is beyond me. "Never a Borrower or a Lender be". It behooves nobody to lend to someone else in expectation of profit if that person cannot POSSIBLY pay back, but that is in fact what the Chinese did. They lent us the money, we spent it, its GONE.

The whole game falls apart as soon as expected growth doesn't happen anymore. Nobody can pay back interest when real growth fails to deliver. Unless you find a NEW source of wealth like a new continent to rape and pillage or a limited supply of oil to suck up out of the ground, the whole scheme is BOUND to fail. This is so obvious you could figure it out in 5th Grade.

Just cause Chinese are Inscrutable you think they can figure out this problem any better than the bozos in Washington? GET REAL! You all saw the problem here on Peak Oil, just you all cannot seem to grasp its happening so fast. Lotta Denial going on here. I think you all are just going to miss the discussion and speculation on WHEN TSWHTF. It already HIT the Fan. Its splattering all over the place.
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vtsnowedin
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 6:54 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Cool I would not want to overstate the importance of the USA to the Chinese. We are as big a costumer as we are, no more no less. As we have seen having just five percent of loans go bad can devalue all the loans in a portfolio, could exports droping from 14% to say 7% as a percentage of GDP trim the profit margin off the Chinese economy?
At any rate I expect the Chinese wanted exports to grow not decline.
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mattduke
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 7:45 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The trade imbalance between China and the US is a total loss to China. They have nothing to show for all the products they have shipped to the US except irredeemable paper. When the arrangement ends, the Chinese will find themselves drowning in products to enjoy.
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ROCKMAN
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 9:23 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I have to wonder if the Chinese statements are motivated by efforts to support the bail out. And today the BoA announced they were "temporarially" suspending credite lines to McDonald franchises despite the fact they admit they have "absolutelty no concerns" over the viability of McD's. Why pick today to make that announce? Just coincidence? IMO neither press release completely passes the smell test.
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seahorse2
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 9:49 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Rock, I agree. I also saw a report this morning that Bank of America was going to cut its line of credit with McDonalds due to the credit crisis. I guess, if we don't approve the bailout, we can't eat at McDonalds anymore. They are hitting below the belt now.
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ROCKMAN
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 10:06 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Sadly enough Seahorse, you and I both know that possibility can have a greater impact on the American collectivet than all the testamony being thown at Congress right now. It seems so transparent but maybe they figure those that see it for what it is will be shouted down by the ignorant massess.

"Ignorant Massess" ...damn...I'm really full of myself today I suppose.
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Rubin_Flagg
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 10:19 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

As bad as it is gong to get here....it is nothing compared to what will happen in China over the next year.

I've done business in China...you have no clue as to what your talking about. They are shitting their pants about this failure. I have a couple of messages that credit is freezing up there now. This is a global power/stock/economic failure soon to be a political revolution almost everywhere.

I watch the clowns in CNBS....what a joke. No one has a clue.
Its POWERDOWN baby!
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3aidlillahi
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 10:27 am    Post subject: Re: Chinese Banks Told To Halt Lending To US Banks Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
"Ignorant Massess" ...damn...I'm really full of myself today I suppose.

You've only been here a few months. Wait a year and you'll be calling them DSE's (DSE). You sound so polite and mature by calling them "ignorant masses" compared to everyone else here.
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