Oil's energy contribution has declined by about 12% since 1999. The world's economies have also declined by about 12%. (Using conventional metrics, which are time delayed determinations, this will only be seen in hind sight). The massive destruction of asset values now occurring testifies to it happening.
Peak is well behind us, world economies have peaked and will continue to decline.
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 1776 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 11:21 am Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
I see Idiot is now back.
I'll be back to slap you down after the football games. _________________ In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act. - George Orwell
It riles them to believe that you perceive the webs they weave. - Moody Blues
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 12:28 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
Cid_Yama wrote:
I see Idiot is now back.
I'll be back to slap you down after the football games.
LOL!
Hermes wrote:
Cid:
It appears that my thankfulness to you has made you consider me an easy target for your lashing out.
I will thank you no more.
miniTAX wrote:
Keep sweeping under the carpet shitty facts for your religion until they hit the fan, you sucker.
What a bunch of wieners. Cid, why do you bother with these guys?
I think that Hermes guy is a global warming denier pretending not to be. You know, misunderstanding on purpose? I'M not that stupid. _________________ "If only these were brains."
Joined: Oct 04, 2004 Posts: 5720 Location: Body in OK, Heart in TX
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 1:32 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
Hermes is a good friend of mine IRL. He is sincere, and he's just asking questions to try and understand what's going on. Jeez. _________________ "Every junkie's like a setting sun..." - Neil Young
Then what we should think of the climate porn taken by cid_yamoron from doommonging "institutions" like the Wood Hole "Research" Center ? _________________ "Of the dozen insecticides WHO has approved as safe for house spraying, the most effective is DDT" (Arata Kochi, WHO's malaria chief).
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 1776 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 3:31 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
Data are data, what the heck does the guy who publish them has to do with their "seriousness"?
Well, that sums it up completely. When you lack even the the most rudimentary critical thinking skills, how could you be expected to comprehend anything?
gone, games back on _________________ In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act. - George Orwell
It riles them to believe that you perceive the webs they weave. - Moody Blues
Joined: Nov 20, 2004 Posts: 164 Location: Land of the Tonkawa/Karankawa
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 3:35 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
Shannymara wrote:
Hermes is a good friend of mine IRL. He is sincere, and he's just asking questions to try and understand what's going on. Jeez.
No worries, Shanny.
I've learned a lot about all parties involved in the discussion. More importantly I've learned a lot about global warming, which was the main point. My personal takeaway from the situation that I posted the other day still stands.
If I were in Cid's situation I'd not feel so hot about putting all my eggs in the basket of moving to the frozen north right now. I think that may be part of what's going on with his demeanor. Cognitive dissonance.
I'm also not concerned about bluekachina's posting. Claiming I'm a global warming denier after reading what I wrote is... um... pretty special.
You know how it is on these boards: the last one standing is the "winner". And the last one standing is usually the loudest and most crass, because of course if you're nice you're a "wiener" or however such people spell whiner nowadays.
Cid has an agenda with this thread and he's going to do his best to drown out all others. I've liked some of his postings up to this point, but I'm glad I had this experience so I can take whatever he says from this point forwards with a hefty helping of doubt. _________________ Collapse-prep Intentional Community forming outside of Austin, TX. PM me if interested.
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 1776 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 4:37 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
Hermes,
We engage in DEBATE here. This is not some Flowers and Sunshine Friendship Club. I come to the Debate prepared with supporting documentation to back my position. Idiots like miniTax, come with nothing more than their opinion and occasionally corporate PR passed off as 'scientific'.
You need a tougher hide or find a friendly chat room.
And Yes, I DO have an agenda; to squash disinformation and to educate.
If the current understanding of the top researchers most knowledgable of the situation is too hard a truth for you, go back to sleep.
MiniTax's opinion is not 'equal' to their findings.
This idea that all opinions deserve equal consideration is nonsense, and spouted by those that haven't a clue what they are talking about. The sooner you learn that, the better off you will be.
Honesty is not always friendly. Sometimes it's brutal. Don't judge the truth by how pretty a vase it comes in. _________________ In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act. - George Orwell
It riles them to believe that you perceive the webs they weave. - Moody Blues
Last edited by Cid_Yama on Sun Sep 28, 2008 5:07 pm; edited 1 time in total
Joined: Nov 20, 2004 Posts: 164 Location: Land of the Tonkawa/Karankawa
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 5:01 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
Cid:
Actually I did look at the documentation, and I judge your conclusions to be wrong.
It wasn't because I lent equal weight to an unworthy opinion as you insinuate. It wasn't because it came in a "pretty vase" either (as though a great extinction event could be seen as a "pretty vase").
Rather it was because after working through all of this I have seen your arguments for what they are: a loosely strung together series of cherry-picked extremes that MIGHT happen... rather than something that's likely to happen let alone a certainty. I have then looked through your postings for a likely cause of this, and have figured out what's at the root of it.
Sorry.
And you will never in your life know how tough my hide actually is, so don't pat yourself on the back supposing you believe I can't take it. I choose to be cordial online for a variety of reasons... until someone has clearly shown that they deserve otherwise like yourself.
In fact trying to turn around my pointing you out for being rude and denigrating and morphing it into my being unable to "take the heat" is contemptible. Bullying others who disagree with you isn't "DEBATE", and I don't fall for it.
Good luck with your football and drunken stupors, old man. _________________ Collapse-prep Intentional Community forming outside of Austin, TX. PM me if interested.
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 1776 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 5:20 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
a loosely strung together series of cherry-picked extremes that MIGHT happen... rather than something that's likely to happen let alone a certainty.
Bullcrap. The heart of my position is that the top researchers studying the subsea permafrost (all of them) have witnessed the massive release of methane from the Arctic seabed. According to their best estimates, we are about to experience a catastrophic release of methane into the atmosphere.
The warming effects of methane is well known and not in question.
The mechanism of positive feedback as it applies to global warming, is well known and not in question.
What Paleoclimatologist understand of previous incidents of warming is generally accepted. Contrary to some of the nonsense that has been spouted around here.
If you want to challenge any of these positions, do so. Provide documentation to support your position.
Your 'Opinion' that I am 'wrong' is meaningless. _________________ In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act. - George Orwell
It riles them to believe that you perceive the webs they weave. - Moody Blues
Last edited by Cid_Yama on Sun Sep 28, 2008 5:51 pm; edited 1 time in total
Joined: Mar 28, 2007 Posts: 358 Location: Cambs., UK
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 5:35 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
I have to agree with Cid. If you find fault with his conclusions, then please provide evidence and your reasoning. Don't resort to "I think you're wrong. Let's agree to disagree" bullshit. If we're just going to opine, then I recommend we just go to the Hall of Flames and have at it instead.
I say the Rapture is coming and you heathens are all going to be gunned down by TEH LAWD. There, prove me wrong. _________________ "Nothing survives. Not your parents. Not your children. Not even stars."
-Pinbacker, Sunshine
Joined: Nov 20, 2004 Posts: 164 Location: Land of the Tonkawa/Karankawa
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 5:55 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
Valdemar:
I believe that the information is largely contained in this thread. If you've read through the whole thread and you agree with Cid, then more power to you. On the other hand if you have not read through it and accuse me of pulling a conclusion out of thin air then that's sloppy on your part.
For my part I have read everything put forth (and much more) and come to a different conclusion. So be it.
Agreeing to disagree isn't bullshit. It is what it is. People can't tell me with 100% certainty what the weather will be tomorrow in my town or not. How can they tell me that global warming will certainly wipe out all life on earth - a magnificently harder thing to accurately predict.
I have put forth various questions I had with Cid's conclusions, which Cid hasn't answered to my satisfaction (if answered at all). Such being the case it's not too crazy that I don't agree with his conclusions.
I believe that global warming will continue, and that it will probably start a transition to a new world ("hothouse earth" type place). I believe the process of transition will be horrible for most if not almost all people and animals on the earth. I very much do believe in huge effects of global warming.
At the same time I believe that some humans and animals will survive and thrive. I believe it will PROBABLY not bring about the end of life on earth.
I absolutely validate what Cid's putting forth as a slight possibility. The issue here is that Cid sees his side as a certainty, which upon further consideration on my part has turned out to be wrong, and therein lies the thorn in his side. _________________ Collapse-prep Intentional Community forming outside of Austin, TX. PM me if interested.
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 1776 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 6:05 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
At the same time I believe that some humans and animals will survive and thrive. I believe it will PROBABLY not bring about the end of life on earth.
There you go, that's your hypothesis. Now go out and research your position, and when you can provide documentation that supports your position, bring it back here and present it.
That is how science works. That is how critical thinking works.
Your 'opinion' is meaningless. A reasoned counter-position with supporting documentation would not be. _________________ In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act. - George Orwell
It riles them to believe that you perceive the webs they weave. - Moody Blues
Posted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 6:39 pm Post subject: Re: Runaway Global Warming - Has Arrived
Cid_Yama wrote:
At the same time I believe that some humans and animals will survive and thrive. I believe it will PROBABLY not bring about the end of life on earth.
There you go, that's your hypothesis. Now go out and research your position, and when you can provide documentation that supports your position, bring it back here and present it.
That is how science works. That is how critical thinking works.
Your 'opinion' is meaningless. A reasoned counter-position with supporting documentation would not be.
Cid, he is probably correct about life on Earth generally, although that depends upon the timescale considered. Life has recovered from every mass extinction event so far, and there is no reason to believe it will be different this time. On a human timescale, however, this is quite meaningless. Practically, what does it matter to us if the Earth recovers over the course of several million years, when none of us, and quite probably none of our descendents will be around to witness it?
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