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I think this is the beginnings of an economy based on perpetual growth and fossil fuel energy running headlong into geological energy constraints. Basically I see an undulatory downward path for the rest of my life. From here out, I think any rallies in our economic condition are going to be met with spiking commodity prices that knock us right back down.

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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Dollar Supply Levels Off
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Dollar Supply Levels Off

 
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mattduke
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Oct 28, 2005
Posts: 1525

PostPosted: Sun Sep 07, 2008 12:15 am    Post subject: Dollar Supply Levels Off Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Graph (large)
Helps explain the recent dollar bounce.
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seldom_seen
Fission
Fission


Joined: Apr 12, 2005
Posts: 2047

PostPosted: Sun Sep 07, 2008 3:00 am    Post subject: Re: Dollar Supply Levels Off Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Something weird is going on out there. Jim Puplava thinks there's been a massive stealth intervention by the world's central banks in the past few months.
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mkwin
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: Jun 01, 2007
Posts: 624

PostPosted: Sun Sep 07, 2008 3:17 am    Post subject: Re: Dollar Supply Levels Off Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Or a credit crunch?
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r101958
Tar Sands
Tar Sands


Joined: Apr 10, 2008
Posts: 97
Location: Florida

PostPosted: Sun Sep 07, 2008 6:36 am    Post subject: Re: Dollar Supply Levels Off Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Credit crunch?.....certainly......Central Bank intervention......absolutely!......check out shadowstats.com if you want details.
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outcast
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Apr 21, 2008
Posts: 246

PostPosted: Sun Sep 07, 2008 8:00 am    Post subject: Re: Dollar Supply Levels Off Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Then again it also dropped off sharply (although not by this much) in July '07, which was right before the subprime bubble burst. Maybe we're going to see something even bigger come falling down......
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idiom
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: Aug 23, 2004
Posts: 530
Location: New Zealand

PostPosted: Sun Sep 07, 2008 6:17 pm    Post subject: Re: Dollar Supply Levels Off Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

M3 is the total supply.

Possibly money creation is sill steep, but money destruction has caught up as wealth disappears of books slightly faster than the press is rolling.
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Congress has found themselves in a bear trap. They will chew off three legs, and still be caught in it...
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Falconoffury
Expert
Expert


Joined: May 25, 2004
Posts: 1471

PostPosted: Mon Sep 08, 2008 12:19 am    Post subject: Re: Dollar Supply Levels Off Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The speed at which inflation is occurring is slowing, but it's still way too high.
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"If humans don't control their numbers, nature will." -Pimentel
"There is not enough trash to go around for everyone," said Banrel, one of the participants in the cattle massacre.
"George W. Bush loves poor people. He keeps making more of them." -unkn
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mattduke
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Oct 28, 2005
Posts: 1525

PostPosted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 1:08 pm    Post subject: Re: Dollar Supply Levels Off Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

As we all know, the bust occurs when the rate of money supply inflation slows. As outlined in Rothbard's "America's Great Depression", the Fed and banking system stopped accelerating the dollar creation rate a few months before the great crash of 1929. Well, we have seen the dollar supply creation rate take a pause this year, and now we get the crash. However unlike 1929, we are now seeing a resumption in the dollar supply growth rate. The money pumping has resumed and it is now near 21% annualized. So the question for the Austrian economists out there is, does the renewed dollar supply growth spell the end of the crunch and postponement of the ultimate bust?
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