I think this is the beginnings of an economy based on perpetual growth and fossil fuel energy running headlong into geological energy constraints. Basically I see an undulatory downward path for the rest of my life. From here out, I think any rallies in our economic condition are going to be met with spiking commodity prices that knock us right back down.
bump _________________ A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.
Joined: Aug 14, 2004 Posts: 2068 Location: San Diego, Ca.
Posted: Sun Feb 20, 2005 7:45 pm Post subject:
Too bad Carter's speech was political suicide.
I was going to write about how Carter could have transformed the USA into being more self sufficient. It was wishful thinking on my part. Unfortunately, Carter showed future presidents what not to say. _________________ "Peak oil isn't more than an interesting industry factoid and doesn't have anything to do with the hysterics speculated on ad nauseum around here!" ReserveGrowthRulz
GROTON, Conn. The U-S-S "Jimmy Carter" has entered the Navy's fleet.
The most heavily armed submarine ever built also is the first named after a living ex-president. The attack sub is the last of the Seawolf class that the Pentagon ordered during the Cold War.
Intelligence experts say the 453-foot, 12-thousand-ton submarine can tap undersea cables and eavesdrop on the communications passing through them.
The sub also has a payload of 50 torpedoes, eight torpedo tubes and can reach speeds of 45 knots.
Carter, who served on a submarine in the Navy, was on hand for today's ceremony in Connecticut.
Joined: May 24, 2004 Posts: 3429 Location: California, USA
Posted: Mon Feb 28, 2005 6:52 am Post subject:
Keep in mind that submarines are not first-strike weapons, they do not have the accuracy or the C&C capabilities for that. They are deterrence, pure & simple. And a sub with SIGINT capabilities is also a war-preventer: SIGINT can and does make that much of a difference.
Okay, so that marks me as a conservative -an oldschool one not a neocon- who also thinks Carter was one of our greatest Presidents ever. When he was in the Navy he was a nuclear engineer. When Three Mile Island had a partial core-melt, he was on hand, on site, in the control room, talking tech with the plant crew. He had the brains and the technical knowledge to set up an energy policy that was practical and would have been effective.
And how much foreign oil are we importing today....?
But here's what cost him the re-election:
You may remember the Iranian hostage crisis. Coming out of the Vietnam war era we were reluctant to make use of military force, and the armed forces in general were in something of a demoralized condition. What Carter *could have* done but didn't, was tell the Iranian government that it was responsible for getting those hostages out safely, and if it failed to act, it would be considered complicit and therefore at war against the US. Set a deadline, move the aircraft carriers into position, and get ready to rumble.
USA at war against Iran would have produced a rally-round-the-flag effect that would have gotten Carter his second term. Cynical but true.
Instead, a team of advance-men for the Reagan campaign made a secret deal with Iran: Release the hostages at a "convenient" time, and we will supply you with arms, and by the way please divert some of that hardware to the Contras in Nicaragua. It worked: the hostage crisis strung along day after relentless day, with Carter's numbers dropping in the polls, made all the worse by a rescue attempt that failed due to our lack of experience (at the time) with desert warfare. Finally the hostages were released on the very day of Reagan's inauguration.
This is not a conspiracy theory, it is well documented, and I even heard none other than Edwin Meese (Reagan's attorney general) break the news, in detail, in his own words, his own voice, on the radio during Reagan's first term. He broke the news as a form of "damage control" because it was about to come out in the press, and had it come out on its own, the scandal would have been that much bigger.
Now what do you call it when one or more private citizens secretly entreats with a hostile foreign power in a manner that is clearly inimical to the national defense...? The word for that is TREASON.
The ugly fact is that Reagan's advance team committed treason, and in doing so, interfered with the foreign policy capabilities of the United States government at the time, and affected the outcome of the Presidential election. And the second ugly fact is that they got away with it. The whole idea of stealing an election by treason, was so hugely outrageous that the mainstream media didn't even touch it. And yet, the facts were there and are undisputed: a secret arms-for-hostages deal negotiated with a hostile foreign power while Carter was still in office. Twist it or spin it any way you like, it's still treason.
To this add Reagan's popularity, based primarily on his affable personality, but also to a large degree on the fact that he promised us a future without effort, without sacrifices; an endless national spending spree without reservation. In effect, a credit card with no limit. Just like telling children they don't have to eat their vegetables, and can have all the ice cream and lolly-pops they want. Of couse the voters -enough of them anyway- went for it. What child do you know of who will choose spinach over lolly-pops...? What grownup do you know of who will voluntarily choose to turn down the offer of an all-expenses-paid shopping and spending spree?
What surprises me most of all is that Carter has not been more vocal about energy in the past couple of years. All of his forecasts have basically come true with a vengeance, though on a slightly longer timescale due to subsequent oil shocks and recessions. Why the silence? Why doesn't he speak out about this now?
Posted: Thu Mar 24, 2005 9:30 pm Post subject: Jimmy Carter on Peak Oil?
I wonder if anyone's talked to him for the record? Might be interesting if only to get an "I told you so" out of him.
Anyone live in Michigan interested in interviewing him about it? He's going to be at a Habitat for Humanity Build from June 19-24 in Benton Harbor and Detroit. Show up with a tool belt and scruffy work clothes and he might talk to you. Report back, please.
Jimmy Carter also supports (actively) Habitat for Humanity projects. There is an annual Jimmy Carter build-day where both he and Rosalynn put on their jeans and work side-by-side with future homeowners.
I think that history will treat him kindly. Two generations from now, our grandchildren will look back and realize how foolish their "ancestors" were.
Joined: Dec 08, 2004 Posts: 1634 Location: Nez Perce Nation
Posted: Wed Apr 13, 2005 4:04 pm Post subject:
To be fair to Carter he was right in his desire to wean America from oil imports. I listened to him and acted on his advice. I usually vote Republican now but at that time I voted for Carter.
But don't glorify him just because he was right on the energy issue; that is not what lost him the 1980 election. In truth, he was an ineffective and weak president and man and projected that publicly. An intelligent man; a good man but a poor leader and left no lasting legacy, nor made any lasting changes. It was his bungling of the Iran hostage crisis that cost him the job of president; that and a poor economic showing throughout his first term. _________________ "Modern Agriculture is the use of land to convert petroleum into food."
-- Albert Bartlett
"It will be a dark time. But for those who survive, I suspect it will be rather exciting."
-- James Lovelock
To be fair to Carter he was right in his desire to wean America from oil imports. I listened to him and acted on his advice. I usually vote Republican now but at that time I voted for Carter.
But don't glorify him just because he was right on the energy issue; that is not what lost him the 1980 election. In truth, he was an ineffective and weak president and man and projected that publicly. An intelligent man; a good man but a poor leader and left no lasting legacy, nor made any lasting changes. It was his bungling of the Iran hostage crisis that cost him the job of president; that and a poor economic showing throughout his first term.
He was a great leader, we were just poor followers. Ineffective and weak only because he didn't play the game as the rest of the fools, especially the one that followed him, Reagan. Reagan was ineffective and weak because he said there were no limits, it's "morning in America."
No lasting changes? He is one of our most revered statesman abroad and he doubled the size of the National Park System. His efficiency and conservation measures pushed peak oil farther down the road and those savings are still with us today.
I guess it depends on what you add up and what you think is important. _________________ A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.
Joined: Dec 08, 2004 Posts: 1634 Location: Nez Perce Nation
Posted: Thu Apr 14, 2005 8:43 am Post subject:
MonteQuest wrote:
I guess it depends on what you add up and what you think is important.
That statement I can agree with. I assume you worked in the National Park Administration during his administration. He was very Green and I'm thankful for that, but I still believe on a broader scale of presidential measurements that he was mediocre at best and I voted accordingly.
But that's all history. He did and still does touch a lot of people's lives for the good. As I said earlier, I believe he is a good man and of all our recent presidents the one I would like most to meet. _________________ "Modern Agriculture is the use of land to convert petroleum into food."
-- Albert Bartlett
"It will be a dark time. But for those who survive, I suspect it will be rather exciting."
-- James Lovelock
I guess it depends on what you add up and what you think is important.
That statement I can agree with. I assume you worked in the National Park Administration during his administration. He was very Green and I'm thankful for that, but I still believe on a broader scale of presidential measurements that he was mediocre at best and I voted accordingly. But that's all history. He did and still does touch a lot of people's lives for the good. As I said earlier, I believe he is a good man and of all our recent presidents the one I would like most to meet.
Sounds like we are close enough.
I am working on getting his April 18, 1977 speech on mp3 for the site.
MQ _________________ A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.
Jimmy Carter was ahead of his time and proof that a prersident (or a politician) who is honest will not get re-elected. People don't want to hear the truth. So we voted him and got what we deserved.
Carter's hard work for humanity since his presidency proves what he is made of. He has my respect.
Americans are still as dense as then as evidenced by our last election.
Would that the truth would come out about the Bush administration, the economy, 911, the war in Iraq.
Makes it hard to have any hope at all.
Joined: Apr 04, 2005 Posts: 473 Location: Seattle, WA
Posted: Wed Apr 20, 2005 12:14 am Post subject: Re: Pull your head out
How about a little tongue in check criticism?
Cool Hand Linc wrote:
Pull your head out MQ. I'm part of the 51% you refer too. Most Conservatives? I don't think so. Maybe the conservatives who are most vocal. Oh ya that doesn't follow along with your agenda.
When America had a choice between sensibility (Kerry) and war (Bush), they chose Bush. When they had a choice between economic prosperity (Kerry) or Budget Deficits for the Rich (Bush), they chose Bush. We reap what we sow.
Quote:
Omar, to have the luxury of history on your side and criticize people of the past is rather hypocritical. Nazi's! Come on. You show your stupidity when you make such a comparison.
I disagree. You don't think O'Reilly engages in this sort of hyperbala arguments? Have you even read any of the RNC press releases regarding DeLay?
Quote:
If the Nazi's were in control. This web site would not exist.
Your typical logical fallacy argument in action right here. If the Nazis were in control, we don't know if they'd allow or not allow this website. If anything, we might see more Fascistic and Nationalistic propaganda coming from our National assembly. Oh wait, that's already happening.
Quote:
The Nazi's would kick in the door and shut it down. Shooting the people they find inside on the spot. For that matter so would Saddam's loyal followers. The Nazi's would take a conspiracy nut like MQ and lock him up or torture him. The people who are out spoken would get the cut from society. Saddams brother would torture MQ. Cut off his balls and laugh about it.
You bet. Who is Saddams brother. Oh, you mean Saddam's brother? That's right. He'd be so low on things to do running around supressing the country that he would ensure that he had time to come over and cut out MQ's balls.
Quote:
Omar and MQ, The Nazi's and Saddams brothers are sending the goons out to get you. Oh wait, This is America we don't have them here.
We don't? What do you think happened to that lawyer in Oregon?
Quote:
Even people who talk out their ass are allowed to speak freely here. MQ..
You certainly proved that point.
Ta Ta
And oh Cool Hand Linc/Luke, this was entirely tongue in cheek so don't get upset and take this seriously.
Joined: Mar 20, 2005 Posts: 46 Location: Australia
Posted: Tue May 03, 2005 5:45 pm Post subject: Two speeches by President Jimmy Carter
First back last October I picked up Matthew Savinar book and gained a new and quite unfun perspective on the world.
Today though I came across an essay on energy bulletin. The author took to many liberties for my tastes so I went to his source material “two speeches by President Jimmy Carter” and I am just floored. I was probably out ridding my bike when all this was going down so have never listened to these speeches until today.
I now know that an AMERICAN PRESIDENT saw what was coming, he told the people and tried to implement a plan to prevent it. Most telling he talks about the two different paths we could take and what would happen if we took the easy one. They never taught this in American history….but they will.
Sayings like “reap what you have sown” comes to mind.
PS, I hate to give product endorsements that I do not get paid for but if you are too lazy to read these in their entirety get Text Aloud to read for you. It is free.
http://www.nextup.com/TextAloud/download.html
Joined: Nov 18, 2004 Posts: 215 Location: New Zealand
Posted: Tue May 03, 2005 5:53 pm Post subject:
I'm interested to know from anyone who was around then (I was 2 in 1977) what happened after those speeches? How did people react? Didn't they vote him out pretty quickly?
Last edited by Evltre on Tue May 03, 2005 6:15 pm; edited 1 time in total
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