It's Always Worth Repeating

Aaron · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 12:03 pm Post subject: It's Always Worth Repeating

The USGS, CERA - Lynch, Yergin etc... all contend that oil discovery is going to follow that green line in this graph.

That's the basis for them predicting Peak Oil at 2030 or later.

Now I understand that most of you are not Petrologists, (although of course some of you are), but do you really need to be to question the wisdom of this prediction?

Does anybody really still believe that oil discovery is going to magically reverse it's 40 year trend, & rebound to new heights as this graph implies? <Negro Please>

It seems impossible to me that any reasonable person could actually believe such nonsense, so I conclude that they in fact, do not actually believe it, despite their public commentary.

Of course that's just my opinion... I could be wrong.

Get Off My Lawn... Damn Kids
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dinopello · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 12:11 pm Post subject: Re: It's Always Worth Repeating

One thing about that chart, is it looks like the actuals end in 2000. that gives 6 or 7 years of data that should exist, not on that chart. What does it look like relative to the green line? Or, am i reading the chart wrong ?

NEOPO · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 12:35 pm Post subject: Re: It's Always Worth Repeating

Yes Aaron, it seems like nothing but propaganda yet we have hoardes of unreasonable people running about so....

Even though I feel this thread is not the place for certain thoughts I will submit Operation Mockingbird as an example of how TPTB have previously controlled and are probably now in control of just about everything.

The only thing I am curious about is when they give you 100 mil to shut down or turn over this site please give us our share! Smile

I have like 3000 "points" and not a clue about how to redeem them Laughing

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Gideon · Light Sweet Crude Joined: Aug 29, 2006 Posts: 1144

Montequest is a certified asshole.
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Chaparral · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 12:49 pm Post subject: Re: It's Always Worth Repeating

At some point optimism seamlessly morphs into stupidity.

Pops · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 1:23 pm Post subject: Re: It's Always Worth Repeating

I guess this could go in your "One Paragraph" thread Aaron, but here goes:

You can't burn it if you can't find it and we ain't been finding it for a while.

Sorta like the old dopers saying:

"Grass without money is better than money without grass."

Or not…
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Coolman · Heavy Crude Joined: Jun 30, 2004 Posts: 223

Surprisingly that graph is to optimistic and misleading. It needs to show all the oil discovered before 1950. That is when all the good stuff was found. *cough* GHAWAR *cough* 1948 *cough* Very Happy

So oil discoveries actually peaked in 1948.

NEOPO · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 1:53 pm Post subject:

Pops · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 2:05 pm Post subject:

NEOPO · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 5:25 pm Post subject: Re: It's Always Worth Repeating

Maybe it should be? bet the cows would enjoy it and we all know happy cows are yummy cows Smile

Its a lie! and thats the truth...
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It is easier to enslave a people that wish to remain free then it is to free a people who wish to remain enslaved.

AirlinePilot · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 11:10 pm Post subject: Re: It's Always Worth Repeating

That graph is almost like a cartoon. I wonder If they didnt make it just to see how many folks could be fooled by it.

The green line looks like they let a kid lose with the powerpoint tools and didn't bother to fix it.

Keith_McClary · Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 11:48 pm Post subject: Re: It's Always Worth Repeating

Cobra_Strike · Posted: Thu Apr 26, 2007 12:40 am Post subject: Re: It's Always Worth Repeating

WTF is with the green line on the graph? There are data points that follow the divergence, trending down. This is not optimism, because the upper bound is their optimistic prediction....HOW IN THE Fark is this EVER suppose to be POSSIBLE!? Its not even close to realistic.

>_< its frustrating to see BS like this. It makes me want to stab these cornucopians with rolled up graph paper.
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green_achers · Posted: Thu Apr 26, 2007 1:04 am Post subject: Re: It's Always Worth Repeating

Excuse me if I am just ignorant of common knowledge of everybody else here, but what is the source of the graph? I notice that "past" discovery actually overlaps the 1995-2025 period by about 5 years, and it is closer (as you would expect) to P95 than any of the other projections.
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killJOY · Fission Joined: Feb 21, 2005 Posts: 2380 Location: ^NNE^

Why is it so hard to believe that people would believe this?

Most people in this country believe that a man who died 2,000 years ago actually rose bodily from the dead and that if you believe this you will live forever.