I will believe the Saudis don't see any upcoming problems with Ghawar when they cancel one of their projects due to low oil prices. If they continue to be full steam ahead with increasing their capacity then I think they are aware that Ghawar may not be as robust in 5 years time as they would like us to believe.
Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2007 7:51 pm Post subject: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
Northern Hemisphere:
Southern Hemisphere:
Antarctic ice grows to record levels
By EPW Blog
Saturday, August 4, 2007
Antarctic ice grows to record levels
(By Meteorologist Joe D’Aleo)
Excerpt: While the news focus has been on the lowest ice extent since satellite monitoring began in 1979 for the Arctic, the Southern Hemisphere (Antarctica) has quietly set a new record for most ice extent since 1979. This can be seen on this graphic from this University of Illinois site The Cryosphere Today, which updated snow and ice extent for both hemispheres daily. The Southern Hemispheric areal coverage is the highest in the satellite record, just beating out 1995, 2001, 2005 and 2006. Since 1979, the trend has been up for the total Antarctic ice extent. While the Antarctic Peninsula area has warmed in recent years and ice near it diminished during the Southern Hemisphere summer, the interior of Antarctica has been colder and ice elsewhere has been more extensive and longer lasting, which explains the increase in total extent. This dichotomy was shown in this World Climate Report blog posted recently with a similar tale told in this paper by Ohio State Researcher David Bromwich, who agreed "It’s hard to see a global warming signal from the mainland of Antarctica right now". Indeed, according the NASA GISS data, the South Pole winter (June/July/August) has cooled about 1 degree F since 1957 and the coldest year was 2004. This winter has been an especially harsh one in the Southern Hemisphere with cold and snow records set in Australia, South America and Africa. We will have recap on this hard winter shortly.
Former Harvard Physcist Lubos Motl Weight in on Antarctic Ice
Excerpt: Satellites began to measure the Earth's cryosphere in 1979. Because of a warm summer, the Northern Hemisphere sea ice area has reached new historic lows in 2007. Around August 28th, the new minimum of 2.99 million squared kilometers of sea ice easily surpassed the previous record of 4.01 million squared kilometers set in 2005. These numbers available at the web page of Dr William Chapman and his team at University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign were widely publicized. Some analysts have speculated that the new record could be evidence of global warming. But is it? Even though it may sound very complicated, it turns out that the Earth is round. At the global scale, there is not one polar region but, in fact, two. There is also sea ice on the Southern Hemisphere. It turns out that the Antarctic sea ice area reached 16.2 million squared kilometers in 2007 - a new absolute record high since the measurements started in 1979: see this graph. During the year, the Southern Hemisphere sea ice area fluctuates between 2 and 16 million squared kilometers or so while the Northern Hemisphere sea ice area fluctuates approximately between 3 and 14 million squared kilometers. The climate models predict warming in Antarctica and they are increasingly inconsistent with the observations.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/ _________________ Just look at us. Everything is backwards; everything is upside down. Doctors destory health, lawyers destroy justice, universities destroy knowledge, governments destroy freedom, the major media destroy information and religions destroy spirituality.
Joined: Oct 18, 2004 Posts: 2097 Location: kiwibush
Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2007 8:50 pm Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
The seasonal ozone hole may account for the wild southern fluctuations in as much as the daily weather has been noticeably extreme ranging from torrid in the day to frosty at night. _________________ Bugger me, I hear oil's runnin out mate!
Joined: Apr 28, 2005 Posts: 3864 Location: West shore Lake Eire, MI, USA
Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2007 9:16 pm Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
americandream wrote:
The seasonal ozone hole may account for the wild southern fluctuations in as much as the daily weather has been noticeably extreme ranging from torrid in the day to frosty at night.
There is a link between Ozone and global warming under natural conditions so I would presume that a lack of ozone would permit energy in the frequencies it reflects to escape instead of coming back to Earth. _________________ Always appeal to a man's enlightened self interest, you can trust him to look out for himself honestly, It's when you appeal to his Honor or the Common Good that he stops paying attention.
Joined: Sep 25, 2004 Posts: 4667 Location: Boston, MA
Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2007 9:25 pm Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
americandream wrote:
The seasonal ozone hole may account for the wild southern fluctuations in as much as the daily weather has been noticeably extreme ranging from torrid in the day to frosty at night.
Source?
Everything that I've read contradicts that point, so I'm curious where this theory comes from.
I actually once heard someone say that all of the extra CO2 should be escaping through the hole in the ozone layer! Because, naturally, the ozone layer is like a giant Saran Wrap layer.
Joined: Oct 18, 2004 Posts: 2097 Location: kiwibush
Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2007 10:59 pm Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
Tyler_JC wrote:
americandream wrote:
The seasonal ozone hole may account for the wild southern fluctuations in as much as the daily weather has been noticeably extreme ranging from torrid in the day to frosty at night.
Source?
Everything that I've read contradicts that point, so I'm curious where this theory comes from.
I actually once heard someone say that all of the extra CO2 should be escaping through the hole in the ozone layer! Because, naturally, the ozone layer is like a giant Saran Wrap layer.
No source...simple speculation. However, is CO2 of the same factor as heat energy in terms of exiting the planets gravity field? _________________ Bugger me, I hear oil's runnin out mate!
Joined: Sep 14, 2004 Posts: 6527 Location: Rural Virginia
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 4:09 am Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
This is just sea ice, which does fluctuate. Antarctica itself is warming. Some coastal areas are actually growing grass and other small plants for the first time. I saw pictures of that on a NOVA episode---incredible. _________________ "Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog
"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---Me and my brother
Joined: Sep 17, 2006 Posts: 696 Location: No man's land
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 6:38 am Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
How about we interview the penguins?
According to some experts at the sixth International Penguin Conference, as many as 12 of the world’s 17 species of penguins are in serious trouble, the Australian reported today. The United States has considered petitions to list 10 on the endangered species list.
Joined: Apr 28, 2005 Posts: 3864 Location: West shore Lake Eire, MI, USA
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 7:20 am Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
Heineken wrote:
This is just sea ice, which does fluctuate. Antarctica itself is warming. Some coastal areas are actually growing grass and other small plants for the first time. I saw pictures of that on a NOVA episode---incredible.
I am not too concerned about Antarctica YET, but if the ice shelves keep dissolving further and further south each southern summer I will be. _________________ Always appeal to a man's enlightened self interest, you can trust him to look out for himself honestly, It's when you appeal to his Honor or the Common Good that he stops paying attention.
Joined: Aug 11, 2005 Posts: 815 Location: Eastern NC
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 7:31 am Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
Damn these real world things just keep messing up those politically correct computer models! Can't they just get those scientist to quit collecting any data, or just filter out what facts that support Gore's model of the world?
Joined: Oct 11, 2005 Posts: 415 Location: Arizona, USA
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:50 am Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
I think you mean Bush, who was the number one censor in the world regarding real facts and scientific research regarding global warming. He along with his friends in the oil business tried their best to deny global warming, but you can only say the world is flat for so long before you're proven dead wrong. They've all since withdraw their petitions against reality.
Joined: Mar 26, 2005 Posts: 3879 Location: over here
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 12:31 pm Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
americandream wrote:
No source...simple speculation. However, is CO2 of the same factor as heat energy in terms of exiting the planets gravity field?
Interesting speculation though; I know that the ozone layer blocks some types of solar radiation coming into the atmosphere, and I know that the earth loses most of it's heat through infrared radiation: maybe under normal circumstances part of this infrared radiation is reflected back to earth by the ozone layer. _________________ "The best thing about the future is that it comes only one day at a time."
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 12:47 pm Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
Bas wrote:
americandream wrote:
No source...simple speculation. However, is CO2 of the same factor as heat energy in terms of exiting the planets gravity field?
Interesting speculation though; I know that the ozone layer blocks some types of solar radiation coming into the atmosphere, and I know that the earth loses most of it's heat through infrared radiation: maybe under normal circumstances part of this infrared radiation is reflected back to earth by the ozone layer.
The ozone and magnetosphere shield us from all kinds of garbage emitted from the sun. The greenhouse gasses cause radiation to linger that would normally just reflect off the planet's surface and into space. _________________ Just look at us. Everything is backwards; everything is upside down. Doctors destory health, lawyers destroy justice, universities destroy knowledge, governments destroy freedom, the major media destroy information and religions destroy spirituality.
Joined: Dec 02, 2005 Posts: 6659 Location: Oil-addicted Southern Californucopia
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 3:57 pm Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
This is an interesting phenomenon, that's for sure. The arctic is turning into a giant slushie, with shipping companies making plans to go over the pole perhaps as soon as next year, while sea ice on the opposite pole is growing.
Like we've said, all bets are off. Climatology is becoming a whole new ball game. _________________ "Thank you for attending the oil age. We're going to scrape what we can out of these tar pits in Alberta and then shut down the machines and turn out the lights. Goodnight." - seldom_seen
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 6:17 pm Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
The Arctic is a confined basin so its peak ice extent doesn't vary much from year to year. The only way that the Arctic ice extent can get large is if the Barents sea freezes over and there is ice extending south of the Bering strait. In both cases there are warm currents that limit this. In contrast Antarctica is surrounded by a circumpolar circulation that isolates the continent. Even a small change in the maximal ice distance from the landmass translates into a large change in the sea ice extent (a simplistic approximation: 2*Pi*r*dr).
Joined: Mar 26, 2005 Posts: 3879 Location: over here
Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2007 6:24 pm Post subject: Re: Record Ice Growth in Antarctic
mmasters wrote:
The ozone and magnetosphere shield us from all kinds of garbage emitted from the sun. The greenhouse gasses cause radiation to linger that would normally just reflect off the planet's surface and into space.
That is how it works, yup.
I looked up ozone and ozonelayer on wikipedia, but ozone doesn't seem to block anything besides ultra violet light/radiation; so I guess AD's and my speculation have no factual grounds.
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