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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Most reliable reserve figures.
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Most reliable reserve figures.

 
Post new topic   Reply to topic   Printer-friendly version    Peakoil.com Forum Index -> Depletion Modeling
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stu
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Joined: Oct 04, 2004
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Location: Ye Olde Englande

PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2005 12:20 pm    Post subject: Most reliable reserve figures. Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Where is the best place to go to get good estimates of reserves, consumption and production?

I currently use the EIA website but I've read that they are way too optimistic with their figures.
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NTBKtrader
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Joined: Oct 19, 2004
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2005 12:48 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I would find about 3-5 sources and find a mean (average) to their collective figures. I would wager that no one is spot on.
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DomusAlbion
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2005 12:55 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Since there is no independent international body that measures/estimates the amount or reserves, we can never be sure how much recoverable oil there is left. Most figures we have today are received from state owned oil companies and IMHO completely unreliable. The Gulf State and OPEC figures are particularly suspect. Evil or Very Mad
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Permanently_Baffled
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Joined: Aug 12, 2004
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2005 2:12 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

NTBKtrader wrote:
I would find about 3-5 sources and find a mean (average) to their collective figures. I would wager that no one is spot on.


Agreed. Take SA for example, I have read estimates ranging from 160 billion barrels, Shocked right up to 1.2 trillion barrels Shock !! How the f*** you can get an estimate wrong by these margins lord only knows! Laughing

PB Smile
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Such
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2005 2:50 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Colin campbell's databases are about as detailed as you could hope for... which is essentially based off of the oil and gas journal... which keeps a running track of reserves...

However, Oil and Gas only reports what companies and governments tell it.
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maverickdoc
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2005 10:15 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The CIA?
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Taskforce_Unity
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Joined: Nov 22, 2004
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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2005 11:06 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Oil and Gas journal are the ones that i use. I know no better source of information..
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