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I will believe the Saudis don't see any upcoming problems with Ghawar when they cancel one of their projects due to low oil prices. If they continue to be full steam ahead with increasing their capacity then I think they are aware that Ghawar may not be as robust in 5 years time as they would like us to believe.

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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Let's not lose sight of the big picture
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Let's not lose sight of the big picture

 
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waegari
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Joined: Jun 28, 2005
Posts: 523
Location: The Netherlands

PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2008 1:26 am    Post subject: Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Hogan wrote:
Let's not lose sight of the big picture:

Since bottoming out at around $27 in December 2006, oil has been on an incredible price rally since, increasing about 500% in only 1.5 years.


Completely agree we shouldn't lose sight of the big picture, but by your own graph, the rise is 200%, like in 'double'. Bad and significant enouh, though.
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The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.

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waegari
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Location: The Netherlands

PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2008 1:43 am    Post subject: Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Hogan wrote:

??

$27 oil x 5 = $135 oil

$27 oil x 2 = $54 oil


It depends where you start counting. On the far left of your graph the price stands at $76.
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Cashmere
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Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Mar 27, 2008
Posts: 1971

PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2008 1:45 am    Post subject: Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Hogan wrote:
waegari wrote:
Hogan wrote:
Let's not lose sight of the big picture:

Since bottoming out at around $27 in December 2006, oil has been on an incredible price rally since, increasing about 500% in only 1.5 years.


Completely agree we shouldn't lose sight of the big picture, but by your own graph, the rise is 200%, like in 'double'. Bad and significant enouh, though.


??

$27 oil x 5 = $135 oil

$27 oil x 2 = $54 oil


Hogan - I note playfully - place hands on shoulders - pull sharply downward - repeat until head is pulled from ass. Laughing

The "27.07" on you graph is not a value on the Y-axis - instead, it is part of the cluttered X-axis.

The low value on the Y-axis is just below 57.
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Massive Human Dieoff must occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where you live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group.
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Cashmere
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PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2008 1:49 am    Post subject: Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

waegari wrote:
Hogan wrote:

??

$27 oil x 5 = $135 oil

$27 oil x 2 = $54 oil


It depends where you start counting. On the far left of your graph the price stands at $76.


Friggin awesome!!

It's the blind correcting the blind!
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Massive Human Dieoff must occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where you live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group.
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waegari
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Posts: 523
Location: The Netherlands

PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2008 2:15 am    Post subject: Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Cashmere wrote:

Friggin awesome!!

It's the blind correcting the blind!


Partly, but not quite: this drop is only temporary, just like the one around $ 86.58 some months later. You usually don't count in temporary drops when establishing a general trend.
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Serial_Worrier
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Joined: Jun 05, 2008
Posts: 276

PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2008 11:30 am    Post subject: Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Economy in smoldering ruins. Twisted Evil Twisted Evil Twisted Evil
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