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I will believe the Saudis don't see any upcoming problems with Ghawar when they cancel one of their projects due to low oil prices. If they continue to be full steam ahead with increasing their capacity then I think they are aware that Ghawar may not be as robust in 5 years time as they would like us to believe.

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Peakoil.com :: View topic - So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery?
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So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery?
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hope_full
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 6:59 pm    Post subject: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,23636,24015554-31037,00.html

Quote:
IRAN says it has discovered a new oil field containing more than one billion barrels of crude.

Oil Minister Gholam Hossein Nozari said the oil field held 1.1 billion barrels of sweet crude oil, of which 233 million coudl be recovered, the Shana news agency reported.

The field was in the area of Andimeshk town in Khuzestan province of southwest Iran that borders Iraq, Mr Nozari said.

Iran is the No.2 producer in OPEC and No.4 worldwide, although its ability to reach oil production targets has been hampered by a lack of international investment.

Production started in February from Iran's biggest onshore oil field, Azadegan, which is estimated to have 42 billion barrels of crude oil.


I keep reading that there have been "no new discoveries" but doesn't this qualify as a NEW discovery? And is this a significant finding? Does this push back the "big ugly trouble" time a bit?
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Dan1195
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 7:18 pm    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

233 million bbls recoverable= 3 days of current world demand

Or about 0.1% the size of Ghawar, if you want to look at it that way.
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joewp
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 7:31 pm    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

hope_full wrote:
I keep reading that there have been "no new discoveries" but doesn't this qualify as a NEW discovery? And is this a significant finding? Does this push back the "big ugly trouble" time a bit?


Actually, there are new discoveries all the time, but they're smallish fields that will only add a few days to the world oil supply like Dan1195 pointed out. For forty years total annual discoveries have been declining, and there's no real reason to think that trend will reverse any time soon, since 90% of the planet's likely areas have already been explored. That's way you hear about the outer continental shelf and Alaska and the Arctic so much. Those are just about the only places that haven't been assessed and drilled already. Peak oil means the easy oil is gone and all that's left is the hard to find and extract oil.

World oil discoveries:

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OilFinder2
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 7:35 pm    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

223 million barrels is nice but no big deal.

There are far bigger discoveries in my catalog.
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syrac818
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 7:48 pm    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Wow, great catalogue OF2. Thanks for the work.
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americandream
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 8:30 pm    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

OilFinder2 wrote:
223 million barrels is nice but no big deal.

There are far bigger discoveries in my catalog.


Psst. You might want to send the catalogue to Matt Simmons. Just a thought.
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OilFinder2
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 9:25 pm    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

^
I doubt he'd look at it. He probably gets a zillion such emails every day.
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americandream
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 10:28 pm    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

OilFinder2 wrote:
^
I doubt he'd look at it. He probably gets a zillion such emails every day.


Go on, give it a go. Make the message title eye catching.
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OilFinder2
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 10:33 pm    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

^
You can do it if you want.

Who knows, maybe he pokes in here once in a while and has already seen it.

He probably wouldn't be any more impressed by it than the other peakers here are.
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joewp
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 10:56 pm    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Yeah, because he realized we're screwed. He's not clinging to every billion barrel field of unproven flow rates that there's not enough rigs to drill anyway like you are.

You're going to feel so silly in a year or two or three. Laughing
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KevO
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 14, 2008 2:00 am    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

joewp wrote:
Yeah, because he realized we're screwed. He's not clinging to every billion barrel field of unproven flow rates that there's not enough rigs to drill anyway like you are.

You're going to feel so silly in a year or two or three. Laughing


Everybody else thinks they're silly now like 11 year olds that still believe in Santa. All the other kids and the adults laugh at them awaiting for the dawn to break on them and then they'll feel super extra silly and never forgive their parents and eventually become mental tramps.
I give it 6 months before the parks are filled with cornupcians drinking out of brown bags, smelling of p**S and talking to themselves.

So keep humouring them for now
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Concerned
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 14, 2008 3:35 am    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

KevO wrote:
joewp wrote:
Yeah, because he realized we're screwed. He's not clinging to every billion barrel field of unproven flow rates that there's not enough rigs to drill anyway like you are.

You're going to feel so silly in a year or two or three. Laughing


Everybody else thinks they're silly now like 11 year olds that still believe in Santa. All the other kids and the adults laugh at them awaiting for the dawn to break on them and then they'll feel super extra silly and never forgive their parents and eventually become mental tramps.
I give it 6 months before the parks are filled with cornupcians drinking out of brown bags, smelling of p**S and talking to themselves.

So keep humouring them for now


I keep trying to tell my brother this is not something we are going to "turn the corner on" he is heavily into the stock market and even now believes it will make a comeback.

He's been hit VERY HARD but even broke he would stand at the altar of capitalism and markets. Thats how brain washed he is. His loss he attributes all to poor judgement on his behalf.

He does not believe or want to believe the role of energy in our economy nor does he have time for fractional reserve banking and our growth based system required to feed it.

I feel like crying but what do you do I guess he's a martyar for capitalism.
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DoomWarrior
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 14, 2008 3:45 am    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Concerned wrote:

I keep trying to tell my brother this is not something we are going to "turn the corner on" .... he's a martyar for capitalism.


Yep. Ditto with my bro. It's astonishing (and frightening) how brainwashed a person with the same gene pool can become.
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MD
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 14, 2008 3:49 am    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Dan1195 wrote:
233 million bbls recoverable= 3 days of current world demand

Or about 0.1% the size of Ghawar, if you want to look at it that way.


Please everyone please stop converting every new find into "number of days of world consumption." PLEASE.

Production flow rate is all that matters!

-how much at the start of production?
-how much at peak of production?
-how many years of production?

By converting to "3-days supply" you are giving the impression that we can pick up and consume these new fields like a fast-food order, and that's the wrong message!.
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Last_Laff
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 14, 2008 4:59 am    Post subject: Re: So, what do you think of Iran's new oil discovery? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

OF2 is just a joke and Simmons would think too. Laughing
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