I will believe the Saudis don't see any upcoming problems with Ghawar when they cancel one of their projects due to low oil prices. If they continue to be full steam ahead with increasing their capacity then I think they are aware that Ghawar may not be as robust in 5 years time as they would like us to believe.
Joined: Jul 04, 2008 Posts: 233 Location: Europe: European Historian
Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 10:17 am Post subject: Top Banks -Predictions
Here's a list of the top 10 US Banks- Under them is my predictions of all I know...I do some private investments in stocks for the past 6 years...and I have been reading up...BTW WaMu was ranked number 6 a few months back...
Top Banks List Rank Name Headquarters Deposits (billions)
Largest Banks in U.S.
Rank Institution Headquarters Assets
1. Bank of America Corp. Charlotte, N.C. $1,082,243,000
2. J. P. Morgan Chase & Company Columbus, Ohio 1,013,985,000
3. Citigroup New York, N.Y 706,497,000
4. Wachovia Corp. Charlotte, N.C. 472,143,000
5. Wells Fargo & Company Sioux Falls, S.D.) 403,258,000
6. U.S. BC Cincinnati, Ohio 208,867,000
7. Suntrust Banks, Inc. Atlanta, Ga. 177,231,000
8. HSBC North America Inc. Wilmington, Del. 150,679,000
9. Keybank Cleveland, Ohio 88,961,000
10. State Street Corp. Boston, Mass. 87,888,000
Citi- Is in trouble---I think Mike Ruppert summed it up good today on them..
Quote:
From sniffing around, I am beginning to suspect that Citigroup wil be the next to fall if the bailout isn't signed. If that happens, in my opinion, it will reveal the inevitability of (and perhaps trigger) the fast crash scenario. I don't see any way around it. It will provoke the biggest emotional shock wave in history. It will be a great moment of truth and make it possible to save infrastructure, personal wealth and lives. Fast crash leaves infrastructure functioning (in whatever degree) and we need that infrastructure to prepare. From what I just heard at ASPO, Global oil production could drop to 79 or even 78 G/bpd from this year's roughly 85. Nothing else need be said on that subject. Now is when the real lifeboat building begins. Anything before this was just practice.
MCR
BoA- Is in a similar but not so dire situation as Citi- They will likely be one of the last banks standing.
JP-The powerhouse...is in one of the best positions of the top 12. and has bought up recent firms for rock bottom cheap prices.
Wachovia- Is looking like its the next WaMu....its stock has nose dived this year..and today is down 25%
US Bank Corp-Also has serious -sub prime problems and if not bailed out by the Fed will go under in 12 months or less
More less Citi-Wachovia and US Bank corp are in dire straits and need bailed out ASAP or they will implode.
The Fed bail out also I think will only buy time...as real estate continues to decline in price it will eventually lead to these banks above collapse----And we have yet to enter the cliff event of oil depletion....
Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 10:56 am Post subject: Re: Top Banks -Predictions
General,
You obviously understand the bigger banking picture than me. Here's a repost from another thread. I'm I not seeing the WAMU situation correctly? Granted, we probably wouldn't like having all the banking assests in the hands of just two or three megabanks. The the WAMU seizure seems to have settled that problem quickly and with no cost to the depositors or tax payers. As I mention, the WAMU shareholders took it in the teeth but such is life with high yield/risk investments.
Repost:
Exactly how did WAMU get "bailed out"??? The bank was seized by the Feds and sold at a big discount to JPM. No depositors lost a penny and thus no FDIC funds were needed. JPM now has a much bigger base to expand lending. Given the apparent big discount JPM paid they'll might actually make a nice profit on WAMU mortgage biz. WAMU still functions as a retail bank just fine (I know first hand...it's my bank and nothing has changed).
Of course, the WAMU shareholders were slaughtered (including that fund manager who put $8 billion onto WAMU last spring). But that's how it’s supposed to work, isn't it: you invest in a risky enterprise looking for big returns but the plan fails and you loose your investment. That's the same rule I accepted with every investment I've ever made.
Now WAMU failure is off the table. So how does this add pressure to Congress to bail out any banks??? The depositors lost no money, the mortgages are still in place and JPM now has a much bigger lending base and thus brings money to the market. And biz goes on as usually. The WAMU situation seems to argue against any bail outs. The only folks hurt were the shareholders. As I see it the US banking system is in better shape today due to WAMU's failure.
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