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Peakoil.com :: View topic - $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days...
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$.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days...
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frankthetank
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Joined: Sep 16, 2004
Posts: 4836
Location: Southwest WI

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 1:55 pm    Post subject: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

So says this dude...

How can this be? I thought gasoline prices currently don't match $147 oil?

Works now... I fixed it Smile

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Last edited by frankthetank on Fri Jul 18, 2008 2:03 pm; edited 3 times in total
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Buggy
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Joined: Jun 23, 2008
Posts: 149

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 2:00 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Happening here today. We are down to $3.80 a gallon from $4.10. Long lines at the stations first to drop. Doomers better put the sabers in power saver mode. And we were having so much fun.
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emersonbiggins
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 2:01 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

News to me.

AFAIK, refining margins are nil right now. Refining at a loss is certainly not a long-term option.
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startswithearthquakes
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Joined: May 27, 2008
Posts: 93

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 2:08 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Prices are down here as well.
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frankthetank
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Joined: Sep 16, 2004
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 2:13 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Road trip back on! Let 'er drop:)
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idiom
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Joined: Aug 23, 2004
Posts: 523
Location: New Zealand

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 2:52 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
AFAIK, refining margins are nil right now. Refining at a loss is certainly not a long-term option.


Well they certainly can't *not* drop the price.

"But Oil went down $20 why is gas the same price?"
"Because we never raised it enough..."
"*********"
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Twilight
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Joined: Mar 02, 2007
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Location: UK

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 2:57 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Refining less is the other option.
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emeraldg40
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Joined: May 24, 2008
Posts: 193

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 2:58 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

frankthetank wrote:
Road trip back on! Let 'er drop:)



Road trip?? lol Maybe when it gets back to 1.50...maybe Smile
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f2tornado
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Joined: Jun 21, 2008
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 3:05 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Gas in my area has been retailing at about 50 cents above the NYMEX price this summer. That spread was about 60 to 65 cents last summer which shows the reduced refining margins are being reflected at the pump. The relatively steady spread between retail and NYMEX makes it very easy to predict where prices will be in the next couple weeks. Assuming oil doesn't go back up most folks will see a solid 20+ cent drop. Many stations were very hesitant to exceed $3.99 as many consider $4 a phsycological barrier. These stations were killing what little profit was to be made on gas in hopes drivers would buy more high priced junk on the inside (the margin on candy bars is at a minimum 100% when comparing Sam's Club to corner mart). Nutshell is the 20+ cent fall in price will not come in one fell swoop. Expect a gradual downward trend as stations attempt to recoup some "lost" profit. Stations with longer load turnover times will be the slowest to lower prices barring heavy competition in the local market.
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Narz
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Joined: Nov 25, 2006
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Location: New Jersey

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 3:13 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Haven't checked yet today. As of last night prices only had dropped two cents here in New Jersey.
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retiredguy
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Joined: Jan 11, 2005
Posts: 568
Location: southern Wisconsin

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 3:14 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

frankthetank wrote:
Road trip back on! Let 'er drop:)



Road trip?? lol Maybe when it gets back to 1.50...maybe Very Happy


Just did a 1600 road trip using a little more than 30 gallons of gas.

Love that Prius.
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Novus
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Joined: Jun 21, 2005
Posts: 1738

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 3:43 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

America imports 65% of its oil and gasoline. I wonder how the rest of the world feels about giving America such a HUGE discount while they pay more and do with out.
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heroineworshipper
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Jul 14, 2006
Posts: 723
Location: Calif*

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:28 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

It dropped $0.10 here in 48 hours. That's 2%. Time to go back to your SUV.
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something_awfull
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Joined: Aug 13, 2005
Posts: 269
Location: Sydney, Australia.

PostPosted: Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:17 am    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Petrol starting to drop off in Sydney as well.
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yesplease
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Joined: Oct 03, 2006
Posts: 2482

PostPosted: Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:08 pm    Post subject: Re: $.20 to $.30 gasoline drop coming in days... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

emersonbiggins wrote:
News to me.

AFAIK, refining margins are nil right now. Refining at a loss is certainly not a long-term option.
Refining margins are more or less the same over the last few years. The biggest variation is seen when stuff needs to be overhauled, which results in shortages and their margins go up to pay for it. For the next couple years their margins tend to be lower than average until they need more work done then up they go again.
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