I will believe the Saudis don't see any upcoming problems with Ghawar when they cancel one of their projects due to low oil prices. If they continue to be full steam ahead with increasing their capacity then I think they are aware that Ghawar may not be as robust in 5 years time as they would like us to believe.
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 6:14 am Post subject: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issues]
I'm a lousy debater and I'm about to give up on trying to talk to family members and loved ones.
This weekend, a family member was talking about his $600,000 home for sale in a MD/DC suburb - which has sat on the market for more than two years. I asked, "Is it near a downtown area or urban core, because those homes are selling better than suburban homes."
I was told, "No, it's a half hour away from the downtown and an hour from DC."
I said, "Well, you may want to slash the price because suburban homes - the ones that require long commutes into work - are the ones showing the most precipitous drop in value and it appears it's only going to get worse. You might want to sell and get out NOW, while the getting's good."
This conversation arose because this person has a great NEED to sell this house immediately, due to financial woes. And, their house is paid-in-full. No debt, but the taxes are horrific. And it sits vacant. Not one, but all THREE people in our gathering said, "Someone who can pay $600,000 for a home isn't worried about a little extra expense for gas and commuting."
I said, "It's not just the price of gas now, but the fact it's going to keep going up and up."
They responded by saying, "That's not a problem for someone who has $600K to plunk down on a house."
Yeesh.
Next, I was talking to a family member about the very significant problems facing our American economy; an economy that's grown accustomed to cheap oil and gas. I said that the world might look very different in 10 years.
She said, "You know, we all expected TSTHTF in the 1970s and you know what? Nothing happened despite all the dire predictions and worry and fear. We're all still here. This is just more of the same. If it didn't happen in the 70s, it's sure as heck not going to happen now. We're in much better shape now."
So, I am spent. I run into brick wall after brick wall trying to talk to people I love. I feel like it's a waste of energy. Mind you, I come from a family of super-smart people, most of whom are mired in Academia (Academia nuts, as I lovingly call them). And most of whom think that I'm an overly emotional, sensitive-soul, artistic type, albeit a lovable overly emotional, sensitive-soul artistic type.
Part of me feels duty-bound to warn others and open their eyes. Yet heretofore, only my two grown children agree with me and believe that the world is about to undergo a radical change.
It's so frustrating. I'd be grateful to hear how others have dealt with recalcitrant family members and friends. Is it time to just shut up and stop talking?
I'm a neophyte, having jumped into this PO pond a scant 30 days ago, and I feel like I'm watching the whole ball of yarn slowly unravel and that it'd be immoral not to share what I know with those whom I love.
Joined: Dec 08, 2004 Posts: 1633 Location: Nez Perce Nation
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 6:22 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
Prepare for you and your immediate family.
Let the world and coming events teach others.
And always remember:
It could be that the purpose of their lives is only to serve as a warning to others. _________________ "Modern Agriculture is the use of land to convert petroleum into food."
-- Albert Bartlett
"It will be a dark time. But for those who survive, I suspect it will be rather exciting."
-- James Lovelock
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 6:34 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
Having to face knee-jerk disbelief and ridicule from family & friends while trying to cope with future predicaments is like adding insult to injury. I can sympathize with your situation.
My other half occasionally expresses her doubts about my mental health (less and less jokingly), and she's frustrated about my "crazy" predictions and ideas how to prepare. Thankfully she's stil going along though. I've got to make a simple, factual, convincing Peak Oil 101 presentation for her (and friends, and relatives)... unless the energy supply just collapses before that and I've got to explain why I didn't warn everyone of what I saw coming. _________________ "The progress of civilization:
bondage --> spiritual faith --> courage --> liberty --> abundance --> complacency --> apathy --> dependence --> bondage." - Alexander Tyler
Last edited by Fredrik on Tue Jun 24, 2008 6:38 am; edited 1 time in total
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 6:36 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
OP wrote:
Mind you, I come from a family of super-smart people
Apparently not.
Perhaps you come from a family of very well educated people. Or people who are very good at school. Or people who are very good at getting along in this world better than those around them.
The super-smart people in this world, when presented with irrefutable evidence of the end of the modern world - listen and then consider.
I haven't met any super smart people yet. I'll let you know if I do.
It's a recurring theme on this board.
"My so and so is very smart, but I just can't through to him/her."
Smart depends on how you measure it.
I'd say give up. They won't be convinced by your words.
Hell, I'm the smartest person everybody I know knows, and all but a few failed to heed my warnings over the last few years. So, what's the point.
As Jack says, they'll just resent you, in the end, for being right. _________________ Massive Human Dieoff must occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where you live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group.
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 7:20 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
I have a similar situation but with my wife and one daughter. They think that father is a little nuts when I talk about long-term survivability. I do not preach it to them on a daily basis. I just do what is necessary to enhance our survival.
The wife for instance has said the following in the last month since I have become PO aware(Been doing survival prepping for a year before I became PO aware).:
"The oil companies are gouging us"
"They(government) will find a way to solve this"
"We need to drill more"
So what do I do with all this mis-information from the woman I married 28 years ago?
1) I tear up my suburban back-yard to plant the biggest garden that I can
2) I talk to my father about inheriting his 40 acre farm to me in lieu of inheriting stocks which will soon be worth nothing.
3) I buy wheat, rice, and beans on a weekly basis to give me a cushion.
4) I smile when my wife makes these cornucopian type statements and give her a hug.
Soon enough she will understand the full impact of PO and I'll never say I told you so. She will know though.
Joined: Mar 18, 2008 Posts: 384 Location: Upstate New York
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 7:40 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
Great way to prep Cog and stay married. My wife does the same thing which is nice when prepping. She supports all my efforts even though she does not completely believe anything is going to change. It's kinda nice to use her as a PO lighting rod sometimes when I get esp doomerish. She keeps me grounded and on prepping track instead of freaking out.
Joined: May 13, 2005 Posts: 3020 Location: The Urban Village
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 8:16 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
Cog has the right attitude. Why would you ever give up on someone you love ? It's been quite interesting to me to see my friend's perpective change over time as I have been working on them over the years. Still there are holdouts. But I don't give up, but I also don't harp on it and in the end it's up to each of us how we run our lives.
Joined: Dec 08, 2004 Posts: 1633 Location: Nez Perce Nation
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 9:03 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
Cog, you are doing what is right. Don't worry about trying to convince her.
Just walk the walk.
In the future she and your child will look upon you in wonder and awe and be most grateful.
I was lucky. I have a very intelligent and well educated wife. All I had to do is introduce the idea and a few facts. Her own abilities took over from there and now she's a bigger doomer than I. _________________ "Modern Agriculture is the use of land to convert petroleum into food."
-- Albert Bartlett
"It will be a dark time. But for those who survive, I suspect it will be rather exciting."
-- James Lovelock
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 9:48 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
I have discovered, after a few weeks visiting these boards, that my husband is a cornucopian. He believes that "they" will discover all sorts of new amazing inventions to keep it all going. He thinks I'm going a little crazy and He's right in a way, I tend to be obsessive about things, but it means I really dig into a problem until I find answers. Also, he is an academic and a little engrossed in that world, believing all can be solved by reading Dickens or Joyce. In a way he is right that many the lessons of the past can be found in literature and in many ways so much of our problems are caused by misunderstandings and inability to see other perspectives and we don't really get this from watching TV.
We should always worry when the books start getting burned, or in the case now in many universities, the humanities have been regulated in favor of business and economics. Many a business major could do with reading Plato.
I digress _________________ formerly Taizy and Taizy8 - having problems with the cookies.
Joined: Oct 23, 2005 Posts: 1835 Location: East of Eden
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 10:26 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
It took me a year and a half. I was as gentle and patient as I could be, and I didn't allow my doomerism to dominate our relationship (though occasionally of course I slipped after getting depressed from reading the news). And I am so glad, my girl is now on board and understands the situation quite well - even without having done all the research I have. She began not even knowing that oil was a finite resource, and clearly not enjoying the topic when I brought it up... and now she sounds like an expert, and is all right with the preps, willing to relocate away from an area she loves (and understands why), and very enthusiastic about the gardening (we would enjoy doing that in any case). She's my hero.
If you care about someone, don't just dump them on the curb because they don't immediately get it. A little patience can turn the trick. This is a tough subject for most. It doesn't have much to do with intelligence IMO, it has everything to do with being emotionally able to give up lifelong cherished beliefs. I recognize that at some point, for extended family, you may have to cut them loose from your plans eventually if they're just refusing to get it. But the best way to make it through the next couple of decades is to surround yourself with a family, a community, of like-minded individuals. It isn't time to give up yet.
Soon, maybe. _________________ "If a path to the better there be, it begins with a full look at the worst." — Thomas Hardy
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 10:38 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
I've been gently nudging my father to put some of his investments into gold and silver and I occasionally send him an article by someone he is familiar with like Warren Buffet. I did explain to him the futility of relying on ANWAR and oil sands. I was amazed that he listened. My sister's family are oil people and think everything is fine.
I'm the flaky artist in a family of teachers and MBAs, so they are not inclined to listen to me. I will keep nudging when appropriate and, like Cog, continue tearing up my suburban backyard.
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 10:39 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
Patience, hopefull. That's about the best you can do. Most of us who've been PO aware for a few years (some of the forum members for much longer) have had more than our share of the same conversations with people who wouldn't listen. I've personally been called a survivalist nut, had everything I said wiped away with the "they'll figure out something" response, been accused of being obsessive about peak oil (most of these by my husband at the beginning ) ... but you just keep doing what you're doing.
In my case, slowly some of my family members (and my husband) are coming around. Carlin is much like your wife, Cog. He doesn't quite agree with the reasons I do everything, but most of the time he doesn't gripe too much or stand in the way. He lets me do what I'm doing even if he doesn't fully understand why I'm doing it. Lately he's been asking more questions and picking my brain (like why offshore drilling wouldn't help), so I know he's thinking about it, at least.
In the last year or so, my brother is finally on board. It took a while, but he's prepping himself now. He's added a pantry and stocking it. He's constructed a solar hot water heater. His garden is doing great (better than mine which has gone to hell in a handbasket this year because of my having to spend too much time with the goats)... in short, he's got it.
Don't give up hope. Just offer gentle reminders here and there, and keep doing what you're doing to prepare your own family. DomusAlbion has a point. World events, sooner or later, will begin to make an impact on even the most avid holdout. Just the last year's events have made peak oil more mainstream to a lot of people. The awakening will continue.
K
Joined: Aug 03, 2006 Posts: 4329 Location: Graceland
Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2008 10:52 am Post subject: Re: Snappy retorts, laced with love, love, love [family issu
Zel gets my vote for finest avatar. Very nice. It's VERY hard to get a photo like that. Dolphins jump out of the water like that a lot, but cows very rarely do.
To get a shot of them jumping out of the water at the same time is amazing.
***
Another way of thinking about bringing someone around to your view of the world is to think about the water dripping on the rock. Give it enough time and the rock will wear away.
When you are dripping truth, I think you can use this method in good conscience. _________________
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