I will believe the Saudis don't see any upcoming problems with Ghawar when they cancel one of their projects due to low oil prices. If they continue to be full steam ahead with increasing their capacity then I think they are aware that Ghawar may not be as robust in 5 years time as they would like us to believe.
Posted: Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:47 pm Post subject: Oil transition
I now perfectly understand the Hubbert courb, but we don't know anything about the "other side of the mountain".
We could make the after peak depletion going very slow to have enough time to adapt our societies.
What should be done imo :
- Capitalism limited by governments (which not means communism, i don't like much 1984), no more private cars, no more fast food/junk food, no more swimming pool, reducing demography by birth control, using biomasse to make public transports on roads and solar/nuclear/wind/water energy for cities.
- Develop solidarity and vast information campaigns to avoid riots or civil war.
While doing this vast reduction, we should go on thermonuclear researchs until we get definitely rid of nuclear power stations. Then mankind is safe until Sun's death or some massive asteroid crash...
Posted: Sun Feb 27, 2005 7:03 pm Post subject: Re: Oil transition
Sys1 wrote:
I now perfectly understand the Hubbert courb, but we don't know anything about the "other side of the mountain".
We could make the after peak depletion going very slow to have enough time to adapt our societies.
On the contrary, most of the world is on the other side of the mountain. The US has been there since 1971, so there is plenty of data on declines rates.
I suggest you do a search on the issues you raise. You will find a plethora of discussions that either support or refute your post.
MQ _________________ A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.
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