I will believe the Saudis don't see any upcoming problems with Ghawar when they cancel one of their projects due to low oil prices. If they continue to be full steam ahead with increasing their capacity then I think they are aware that Ghawar may not be as robust in 5 years time as they would like us to believe.
It inclines to the pessimistic view for oil, but indicates that there are still good reserves of gas and especially coal, plus plenty of room to expand wind and hydro world-wide. Plus they have an overall positive outlook on nukes. Assuming we get off our asses we could still avert disaster.
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