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a community peak oil portal
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| Heinberg: The Magic Market |
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As the world finance system disintegrates and the price of oil wafts below $80 a barrel, we are about to see yet another instance of Market Magic.
Demand for oil is falling as world economic activity sputters. Many analysts are now forecasting that the barrel price could go as low as $50 to $60 in the next few weeks.
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| Kunstler: The Nausea Express |
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The G-7 world, the club of "developed" western nations plus Japan, has commenced an ordeal of suddenly waking up much poorer. All the desperate work-arounds being engineered by governments and central banks on an al fresco basis are intended to overcome this stunning basic fact, and none of them will. The benchmarks of everything are in flux -- stocks, bond values and yields, commodity prices, most especially currencies -- but these tend to disguise the basic fact of growing and spreading impoverishment. Is oil priced at $80 a barrel this morning? That's nice. Except if the company that employs you is about to fold up and you face a holiday season of driving frantically around Atlanta in search of another job, which the odds are against you find finding. Or if you're living on a retirement fund that's just lost 37 percent of its value and it's time to fill the heating oil tank.
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| Time is right to raise taxes on gasoline |
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GRAND RAPIDS -- While motorists celebrate lower gas prices, a former U.S. Department of Energy official sees an opportunity: Raise fuel taxes to help end America's dependence on foreign oil.
"Unfortunately, it's high prices that cause people to be careful about energy use," said Jay Hakes, who lived in Grand Rapids as a child and is director of the Jimmy Carter Presidential Library and Museum in Atlanta.
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| Goldman faces limits in Platts oil window - sources |
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DUBAI/SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs, the biggest oil trader on Wall Street, has been restricted from making a market in price assessment agency Platts' daily oil trading window as counterparty anxiety grows, two sources familiar with the move said on Monday.
Goldman is the latest in a series of major investment banks to be placed under a so-called "review" by Platts, which has said it may sometimes need to limit the activities of some companies in its half-hour price-discovery process if their acceptability by counterparties threatens to distort benchmark prices.
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| Sept. OPEC oil output down 340,000 b/d to 32.47 million b/d |
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The 13 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) pumped an average 32.47 million barrels per day (b/d) of crude oil in September, a Platts survey of OPEC and oil industry officials showed today. This is down 330,000 barrels per day from August and reflects output declines in Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Angola.
Excluding Iraq, the 12 members bound by production agreements produced an average 30.18 million b/d, the survey showed. This is 230,000 b/d less than the August output of 30.41 million b/d and exceeds the so-called OPEC-12 output target of 29.673 million b/d by 507,000 b/d.
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| China's independents to sue oil majors over fuel |
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BEIJING (Reuters) - Frustrated by an unsteady trickle of overpriced fuel, China's independent oil firms hope to sue the country's two energy giants Sinopec and PetroChina under a new anti-monopoly law, Chinese media reported on Monday.
The companies have crushed their smaller rivals as they fought to protect their own bottom line from the impact of unprofitably low state-set fuel prices, the Beijing News reported.
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| While The World's Economies Are Reeling OPEC Wants Us To Pay More For Oil |
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In November of 1999, in a speech to the Houston Oil Forum, Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi bragged that the "all inclusive" cost to the Saudis to produce a barrel of oil was less than $1.50 a barrel. Costing $1.50 then you can make your own extrapolation as to what it may cost today. My estimation is is less than three dollars today, and probably a lot less. My reason for putting forward this tidbit of information is to give one a comparative benchmark of production costs of other OPEC member states be it Libya, Kuwait, Iran, Algeria, etc. All would be comparable to Saudi production costs. As to the argument that todays oil price reflects a rapidly declining resource, this post has long argued that OPEC's and especially Saudi Arabia's reserrves have been purposely understated and are vastly greater than we have been led to believe (among other posts please see "Peak Oil" RIP. Official Obit Front-paged In the New York Times" 3.8.07)
With the current rout of speculators pulling in their horns from the commodity markets and the economy's impact on oil and oil product consumption, and finally the growing and widespread realization of the enviromental and national security dangers inherent in fossil fuel consumption, the price of oil is collapsing. Or is it?
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| Icelandic Shoppers Splurge as Currency Woes Reduce Food Imports |
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(Bloomberg) -- After a four-year spending spree, Icelanders are flooding the supermarkets one last time, stocking up on food as the collapse of the banking system threatens to cut the island off from imports.
``We have had crazy days for a week now,'' said Johannes Smari Oluffsson, manager of the Bonus discount grocery store in Reykjavik's main shopping center. ``Sales have doubled.''
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| Climate change study predicts refugees fleeing into Antarctica |
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Climate change will force refugees to move to Antarctica by 2030, researchers have predicted.
Among future scenarios are the Olympics being held in cyberspace and central Australia being abandoned, according to the think tank report.
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| Goldman Cuts Oil Price Forecasts on Financial Crisis |
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(Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. lowered its crude oil price forecasts for a second time this year after the global financial crisis deepened.
Goldman reduced its estimate for the U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for the fourth quarter to $75 a barrel from $110, and cut its year-end target to $70 a barrel from $115, Goldman's research analysts led by Jeffrey Currie and Giovanni Serio said in a report today.
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| Climate author goes political |
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Graeme writes: In Keeping Our Cool, Weaver outlines in a comprehensive way what climate change is, why it's real, what causes it and what obstacles politicians and industrial interests place in the way of countering it. Throughout there are diagrams and tables that attempt to present graphically what he admits is an inherently complicated truth.
It's so serious, he said, that unless we reach a point where we stop emitting greenhouse gases entirely, 80 per cent of the world's species will become extinct, and human civilization as we know it will be destroyed, by the end of this century.
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| 11.7 Percent of Gulf of Mexico Oil Platforms Remain Evacuated |
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Offshore oil and gas operators in the Gulf of Mexico are reboarding platforms and restoring production following hurricanes Gustav and Ike. The federal Minerals Management Service has been monitoring activities for the hurricanes through its Continuity of Operations plan team, which is being activated until operations return to normal.
Based on data from offshore operator reports submitted as of 11:30 a.m. Oct. 10, personnel remain evacuated from 81 production platforms, equivalent to 11.7 percent of the 694 manned platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.
Production platforms are the offshore structures where oil and natural gas are produced. These structures remain in the same location throughout a project's duration, unlike drilling rigs, which typically move from location to location.
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| Venezuela's oil output slumps under Hugo Chavez |
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Venezuela's daily oil production has fallen by a quarter since President Hugo Chavez won power, depriving his "Bolivarian Revolution" of much of the benefit of the global boom in oil prices.
To win allies and forge an anti-American front, Mr Chavez sells oil to friendly countries at low prices. Ironically, the only big customer buying Venezuelan oil at the full market price is the United States, which the president routinely denounces as the "Empire".
"As production falls, the sales to the US become more important," said Pietro Donatello, an oil analyst from Latin Petroleum in the capital, Caracas. "Only the US is paying the full amount for Venezuelan oil and in cash, the rest are in some kind of barter agreements."
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| Michael Pollan: Farmer in Chief |
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Dear Mr. President-Elect,
It may surprise you to learn that among the issues that will occupy much of your time in the coming years is one you barely mentioned during the campaign: food. Food policy is not something American presidents have had to give much thought to, at least since the Nixon administration — the last time high food prices presented a serious political peril. Since then, federal policies to promote maximum production of the commodity crops (corn, soybeans, wheat and rice) from which most of our supermarket foods are derived have succeeded impressively in keeping prices low and food more or less off the national political agenda. But with a suddenness that has taken us all by surprise, the era of cheap and abundant food appears to be drawing to a close. What this means is that you, like so many other leaders through history, will find yourself confronting the fact — so easy to overlook these past few years — that the health of a nation’s food system is a critical issue of national security. Food is about to demand your attention.
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The U.S. military was content for years to keep half an eye on Africa's security, sharing oversight of the continent with Europe, but in recent years U.S. strategic interest in Africa has grown. Not only does Al Qaeda have a presence on the continent, but the value of Africa's oil has soared and China has grown more aggressive in courting African nations. That was the reasoning behind the creation of AFRICOM, the first American strategic military command with sole responsibility for the 53 nations on the African continent, which officially started operations last week.
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