European Social Forum, Peak Oil blog

    I come out and say “Peak Oil” in front of 800 people.
    by JulianJ

ESF-04 was held in Alexandra Palace in North London.  A Gormenghast-Nouveau palace, vast, ramshackle, Victorian, punctuated with strange ad-hoc renovations: windows had been bricked-up in the distant past as though it was an old warehouse, while a shiny ochre BBC TV tower poked skywards from one end.

I have never been to one of these giant anti-globalisation events before. There were several oil-related sessions on the programme.  I went to hook up with a fellow-peaker:  Mandy from www.depletion-scotland.org.uk.  I had never met any of our kind face-to-face before, and her mobile phone was diverted to an answer phone in Scotland.  There were thousands of people there: apparently no chance of finding her.

30,000 participants from all over the world had come to debate in hundreds of events all over London.  A level of accepted disorganisation prevails – though I did occasionally wish the shade of Albert Speer would reappear to sort things out.

I had specifically gone to attend Friday morning Plenary Session “Oil Addiction: energy politics, corporate power, and global climate change”.  This was in less than half of the West Hall to about 800 people, with simultaneous translation into five languages. The panel was five speakers, none of whom mentioned Peak Oil.  After an hour of this I was pretty irritated.  The chairperson announced the Q&A session.  I had intended to ask the first question.  Unfortunately questioners were required to go to a microphone at the front, so by the time I had struggled out there, a queue had formed of 12-15 people. I joined it.

The procedure was explained: we would each have 2 minutes to question the panel or make a statement.

A voice behind me said: “This is a load of rubbish.  No mention of Peak”

I swung round.  A tall, nervy guy was clutching The End Of Suburbia.

Me:   “Peak Oil?” A few words established our mutual camaraderie. We shook hands (we do need some sort of secret handshake). My new weirdo-loon-cult-member friend, Dan.  He tried to explain Peak Oil to someone else in the queue, which said that about 1000 nuclear plants in China would solve the energy crisis.

Dan:  “No net energy output.”

(Simultaneously)

Me:    “Hubbert Peak in Uranium.”

I caught Dan’s eye.  I was feeling quite weird.  I think he was too.  The woman at the front of the queue announced herself as Mandy from Depletion Scotland. My contact! 

Mandy:  “Depletion is a huge problem for us all.  Oil is depleting every day.  It won’t run out soon but there will be very severe economic consequences.”  She talked about the workshop she would be doing the next day, inviting people who wanted to hear more about this subject to come, then went back to her seat as I watched, puzzled she had not specifically mentioned “Peak Oil”.

I turned back to Dan.  My original intention was to say to the panel I had heard the term Peak Oil and ask them to explain it (sneakiness – it has more authority if it comes from the panel, if they can’t then they have to throw it back to me).

Now I wanted to support Mandy but add the term “Peak Oil”, then introduce Dan to do a review of The End of Suburbia.  Which might intrigue the audience.  Unfortunately I hadn’t grasped the mercurial nature of Dan’s personality, as he continually changed what he was going to say so we couldn’t coordinate a smooth double-act.  Meanwhile the speakers in front of us were waffling on, or declaring their manifestos: Peoples’ Front of Judea demands Roman Army Out Now, that sort of thing.  Speaker followed speaker as Dan and I struggled to work out what to say.

Some words broke into my train of thought; “…disgraceful that the panel hasn’t mentioned Peak Oil, Climate and Convergence, economic contraction….” An angry bloke in a black roll neck sweater stalked off.  I scoped him.

My turn to spout off had arrived, for that’s all it was. Nobody on the panel was bothering much to answer questions.  I asked the audience to investigate Peak Oil on the internet because it was a problem that would affect all of us, reiterated the information about Mandy’s workshop the next day, and “Coming up next” a film review from Dan.

Unfortunately he suddenly decided that the person next to him was actually in front, so the audience got told about Trade Unionism in Bermondsey instead, making me look like an idiot.

Then Dan spoke somewhat incoherently about The End of Suburbia.

Not auspicious. I sat back down, rather squashed.  I did not feel we had come across at all well.

The Panel did a roundup response to the “questions” which omitted all mention of Peak Oil, even though 4 out of about 14 people had talked about it.

Mandy had buttonholed Dan, possibly under the impression he was I.  I went over to them, and then I spotted Black Sweater Guy and pulled him into the conversation.  This will give you an impression of what it was like:

“Seen Bloomberg:  54 and rising?”

“Natural Gas is depleting fast – North Sea down”

“Hydrogen – what a waste of time”

“China/America”

“Like an unstable marriage with nukes”  (best line of the event: can’t remember who said it, probably Dan)

“Petro-euro”

Peak Strange.  In a hall of 800 people, all of who were interested enough in oil to attend this particular event; there were four of us peakers, speaking a secret language.

We exchanged details.  Mandy had to find a friend and rushed off.  The other three of use talked for some while about the subject and our own plans.  Dan seemed quite serious about liquidating his assets to move to an ecovillage in Ireland.  James, in the black sweater, hadn’t done anything, but had obviously had some of the dark nights of anguish that we all seem to get.  He had contributed a considerable sum of money to a pension scheme that was stock market based.  He said it was selfish to consider this in the face of all the other problems, but as a Baby Boomer, he had been expecting to have a pleasant retirement in a decade or two.  Not be facing financial ruin.

I went to some of the other events with Dan. He tried to convince a few people at random about Peak Oil.  We had invented a repulsor force field: people swiftly left our vicinity, smiling placatory.

I was feeling very, very weird.  Had I joined a cult?  It was like I was a Jehovah’s Witness at an atheist’s convention.  My tolerance of Dan was sinking.  Sample his in-your-face-approach:  “Heard of Peak Oil?   No?  You should have – it’ll cause a recession that will last a hundred years.”  Not productive, yet I could not abandon a fellow peaker.

I dragged him off, trying to get him to moderate his views so he didn’t come across as completely barking.  We parted to go to different events.

The “Ally Pally” is so enormous that it comfortably held the 20,000+ people.  It was crowded, but not unpleasantly so.  The Great Hall is the size of a Wal-Mart, with a stained glass window at one end and a huge organ at the other.  There are gold-leaf columns, good imitation renaissance-master frescos on the walls, and downmarket motorway service station-type eateries built awkwardly into alcoves.  A giant awning like a half-zeppelin shades the curved glass roof.  Below it a rock concert lighting rig blazes down. 

I wondered how much fossil fuel it was burning.

Going round the numerous stalls, for every leftwing cause in the world – the food court of the mind – I talked to various people, sneaking Peak Oil into the conversation…just like a nutty evangelist:  “What do you think of the oil price rise?  Will it affect you?  Did you know besides fuel going up, it will affect lots of things, like plastic, which is made from oil? We’re doing an event tomorrow, would you like to come along? “  I had some interest, but I don’t think my quieter approach was much more successful than Dan’s.  Except when I went to talk to a young woman at a stall about Sustainable Farming. 

It will come as no surprise to you all that I have suddenly developed a strong interest in UK farming and sustainability.  As soon as I started talking about oil, she interrupted me:  “Fossil fuels have a huge input into agriculture”.  We had a productive discussion, I bought some of their booklets and she said she would look into Peak Oil.

I bumped into Mandy again; we had a coffee and a long talk.  Depletion –Scotland are a small but energetic group.  They are planning a Peak Oil Conference in Edinburgh in the spring – it sounds great – but plans are not finalised. I will ensure that further details get posted to this forum when they are available. 

Mandy thinks that the term “Peak Oil” sounds too technical, so tries to avoid it, and made the case that the people who will be most attuned to the idea will be environmentalists and Climate Change groups.  We arranged details for the following workshop.

At the end of the first day I felt completely exhausted, burned out, alienated.  Had I somehow gone mad and not noticed?   Did I need a tinfoil hat and sandals?

The next day I felt better.  I had to stop off to discuss kitchen fittings, so this made me feel mainstream again.  The workshop was being held in part of the University of London – a small shabby seminar room, so good old déjà vu kicked in – like I was back in college.

The seminar was co-hosted by 3 groups, besides Depletion Scotland, there was Rising Tide http://www.risingtide.org.uk/ a climate change group, and Platform www.carbonweb.org, an activist group who track the interconnections between oil corporations, government, and environmental damage/human rights abuses.

Around 20 people attended, from perhaps 12 European countries.  Each group had ten minutes to give a presentation, and then we had a discussion.  Mandy’s was excellent, the clarity a product of her scientific background.  She covered most of the basics, exhorting people to look into this themselves; we had prepared various leaflets with further information, websites, etc.  Mandy deliberately did not go into the scary aspects as she felt that people shut down if you do that.

This was a thoroughly interesting seminar.  All the information exchanged was useful.  One participant, Steve, seemed particularly knowledgeable about Peak Oil.  He turned out to be a Green activist from Brighton.  Peaker Number Five. 

About half the people from the seminar went down to the students’ bar (wow more déjà vu). A good time was had by all.

When I finally got home, I checked Bloomberg.  It had gone over 55 on Friday.

ESF website:

http://www.fse-esf.org/en/

 

Guardian ESF reports

http://politics.guardian.co.uk/esf/0,15212,1326215,00.html