Sys1 wrote:Ibon : On the other hand, a recession prevents countries from shifting from oil intensive energy to renewable. After every recession, oil/gas prices are collapsing and weak economies look after cheap energy to rebuild their sick wallet. We are on the ondulating plateau since 2008, economy stands still with fake growth made of bitcoin/mercato/real estate/tech while standard of living are slowly going south. The ondulating plateau is a curse because we -even on peakoil- look around us and think at first sight that we are still in a business as usual position while the reality is that central banks are lending money quite close from 0% rates for 10 years in order to prevent the house of cards to collapse.
marmico wrote:It's time that copious abundance declared force majeure on his December 2018 gut bacteria prognostication that the sun is setting (economic expansions die of old age).
The unchanged but record high print of the September 2019 Conference Board Leading Economic Index says that the time....has not arrived.
https://www.conference-board.org/pdf_fr ... 202019.pdf
marmico wrote:Using you favorite forecasting metric from last week, the New York Fed Nowcast, the time has been pushed out to 2020 at the earliest which is consistent with the Conference Board LEI.
https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/nowcast
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Armageddon wrote:The time hasn’t arrived, but it is drawing near
American manufacturers are sliding deeper into recession. A closely watched gauge of factory activity released on Tuesday registered its weakest reading in more than 10 years, weighed down by slowing global growth, the Trump administration's trade war with China and an ongoing strike by thousands of General Motors workers.
The monthly survey by the Institute for Supply Management, an association of purchasing managers, showed that the sector — which accounts for roughly 12% of U.S. gross domestic product — in September shrank to its lowest level since since June 2009. Manufacturers are also adding fewer jobs.
A decline in international trade and demand for U.S. goods is the biggest factor denting manufacturers, according to ISM. One maker of electrical equipment and parts surveyed by the group also said that "tariffs have caused much confusion in the industry."
Sys1 wrote:Well, since opening of this site, we say every days "the end is nigh"... me included.
Of course, it will finally happen, but nigh could be tomorrow or around 2030.
Beside KSA attack, oil stays cheap, we fundamentally can pursue our industrial civilisation experience a little more.
The Trump administration now control the economic narrative, the [CB] was just setup, optics are very important. China put out a story that tariffs would be removed in phases when each part of the deal is made. Trump administration reminds everyone that Trump has the authority do remove tariffs. The Fed does not like what Texas is doing, they seeing where it is all headed
The [DS] impeachment plan is a big failure. The leaked transcripts are now showing the opposite, but the plan was to keep this going. Evidence is now in favor of the patriots. The WB lawyer past is now starting to catch up with him. Many arrested for child pornography. Trump mentions that he caught the swamp, the message received, the swamp is going down.
I believe this speech is very important. I also think that this is partly why the establishment is attacking Barr & others in the Trump administration. A return to faith is so important and understanding how far the attacks on faith have gone is fundamental to healing our society & culture.. and our individual selves, in my opinion. If you'd like to contribute to my channel, please go to my website amazingpolly.net and on the Contact page you will see different ways to reach me / send contributions.
God bless you
The [DS] fake impeachment is now going to be exposed, the whistleblower is going to exposed and the people will see that it was setup, this is all part of the plan. 8chan is now 8kun and it is back, Q is posting again, get ready because after 93 days of darkness it is time to return.
Whitefang wrote:Not to reach out for the spirit is to seek death which is nothing.
Enlightened by abrupt CC, we'd better hurry up being so near to closing time.
Freedom is personal power and that can only be saved by self discipline, an impeccable life, using your energy strategically.
93 Days Of Darkness, Rig For Red, Stand By For Battle Surface - Episode 2011b
marmico wrote:It's time that copious abundance declared force majeure on his December 2018 gut bacteria prognostication that the sun is setting (economic expansions die of old age).
The unchanged but record high print of the September 2019 Conference Board Leading Economic Index says that the time....has not arrived.
https://www.conference-board.org/pdf_fr ... 202019.pdf
Outcast_Searcher wrote:Re the US treasury yield curve going positive in mid October, moving more strongly positive in November, and US treasury interest rates rising meaningfully, that would seem to put a big dent in the "US recession is certain and soon" argument...
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