MonteQuest wrote:MrBean wrote:MonteQuest wrote:MrBean wrote: Does changing terminology change anything?
(sigh) Google Demographic Transition and read what a
developing country is.
Sigh to you. Done both. Your turn, start from Wikipedia.
Look where the high birth rates are. Look at Africa and Asia. These "developing countries" are the ones that DMT is supposed to lower the fertility rate due to rising incomes, economic growth, better health care, education, empowerment of women, as they
industrialize.With peak oil on the horizon, these countries are not going to industrialize.
Connect the dots.
So am I to understand that in your (private) definition, a developing country is a country with a high birth rate? Or unindustrialized country? Or both?
Let's see what wikipedia says about "developing country":
"A developing country is a country which* has an undeveloped or developing industrial base, and an inconsistent varying Human Development Index (HDI) score and per capita income, but is in a phase of economic development. Usually all countries which are neither a developed country nor a failed state are classified as developing countries, despite the above facts, this is not true for all countries as some developing countries are far more developed than some developed countries.
Countries with more advanced economies than other developing nations, but which have not yet fully demonstrated the signs of a developed country, are grouped under the term newly industrialized countries.[1][2][3][4] Other developing countries which have maintained sustained economic growth over the years and exhibit good economic potential are termed as emerging markets. The Big Emerging Market (BEM) economies are Argentina, Brazil, China, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, Russia, South Africa, South Korea and Turkey.[5][6] The application of the term developing country to any country which is not developed is inappropriate because a number of poor countries have experienced prolonged periods of economic decline. Such countries are classified as either least developed countries or failed states.
Development entails a modern infrastructure (both physical and institutional), and a move away from low value added sectors such as agriculture and natural resource extraction. Developed countries, in comparison, usually have economic systems based on continuous, self-sustaining economic growth in the tertiary and quaternary sectors and high standards of living."
Seems that there is no clear cut definition for a country like Cuba, which in some aspect shows the signs of a developed country (high HDI position for example) and in other aspect signs of a poor or below medium country.
To complicate the picture further, India as a whole is a developing country in the sense of high birth rate though it is nowadays called also a "newly industrialized country" and an "emerging market", while still belonging to the group of "low income countries".
What is the difference between Kerala, with low total fertility rate below that of US and therefore nearing the end of the stage three in the process of Bening Demographic Transition, and the rest of India?
What really hinders a "developing" country anywhere repeating the population curve of Cuba and Kerala, if and when mature industrialization based on high fossile energy consumption per capita is not the only way to achieve low total fertility rate and hence a benign demographic transition?
As a tentative answer, I suggest sense of community and communal power of "togetherness", a consept that is not dependent on use of fossile energy, is and could be a decisive factor for a benign demographic transition in post colonial countries and elsewhere.