But Lehman has remained in the center of the storm because of its smaller size, its significant mortgage exposure — about $61 billion in mortgages and asset-backed securities — and its seeming reluctance to take drastic steps. Citigroup sold off its large German consumer banking franchise, while Merrill Lynch recently bit the bullet and sold a $31 billion portfolio of mortgage-related collateralized debt obligations for 22 cents on the dollar, as well as its stake in Bloomberg L.P.
Lehman declined to comment on its plans.
After a dismal quarter, analysts have slashed their third-quarter estimates for Lehman. Where they had predicted a small profit, they now expect a write-down of up to $4 billion and a loss for the quarter of $3.30 a share.
On Thursday, Mr. Bove upgraded Lehman to a buy, but it will not be a comfort to Lehman employees. He says the company is ripe for a hostile takeover because of the disconnect between what investors think the company is worth and what management thinks it’s worth — a lot more.
“Investors are unwilling to accept any positive view of the company; management is unwilling to sell out at a deeply distressed value,” Mr. Bove wrote. “The stage is set for a hostile bid to take over the whole company.”
"Ok - any of the following 5:
LEH
Wachovia
WaMu
Citi
USB
bailout chatter with rebound you [Iaato] win, anything else i [Rocc] win. k?"
"Breaking News: Lehman To Be Acquired by Tooth Fairy
The market responded with enthusiasm to reports that the Tooth Fairy has agreed to acquire Lehman. The purchase price has not yet been determined and will be set by Dick Fuld wishing upon a star, clicking his heels three times, and being ransported back to that magical place where Lehman still sells for over $70 per share.
In related news, Lehman has agreed to sell all of its level III capital, including CDOs, ABSs, pet rocks, baseball cards, slightly used condoms, and credit default swaps written by MBIA and Ambac. Lehman’s level III capital will be acquired for 150% of its face value by Tinkerbell, who will carry it off to Neverland to be fed to a crocodile. Lehman is financing 90% of the acquisition at an interest rate that has not been announced; Tinkerbell’s up-front payment consists of a handful of pixie dust, three crickets, and a bullfrog. Analyst Dick Bove estimates that the bullfrog could eventually be transformed into three princes and a pumpkin coach. The deal gives Lehman no recourse to any of Tinkerbell’s assets other than the Level III capital. If Tinkerbell defaults, Lehman’s successor entity will stick its hand down the crocodile’s throat and attempt to get it to regurgitate. The firm’s historical value-at-risk analysis shows that sticking your hand down a crocodile’s throat is completely safe.
Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson issued a statement: “I am delighted that SWFs (Sovereign Wealth Fairies) continue to express confidence in the terrific values represented by American financial institutions. As I have been saying since August of 2007, this shows that the crisis is now over.”
Meanwhile, the SEC has announced an investigation of mean, evil, bad short-seller David Einhorn. While out for a beer with a friend, Einhorn reportedly suggested that the Tooth Fairy does not exist and that wishing upon a star is not a wholly reliable price discovery mechanism. Christopher Cox, chairman of the SEC, said, “Vicious rumors attacking the Tooth Fairy will not be tolerated. Our entire financial system and indeed the American way of life depend on the Tooth Fairy and wishing upon a star. How else could one value level III capital appropriately?” The SEC is reportedly planning to set up re-education camps for short-sellers."
Reuters wrote:NEW YORK (Reuters) - Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (LEH.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) shares sank as much as 46 percent on Tuesday on growing concern the fourth-largest Wall Street investment bank won't be able to raise the capital it desperately needs to survive the global credit crisis.
In a sign of the severity of its predicament Lehman brought forward the release of "key strategic initiatives" and quarterly results by a week to 0730 New York time (1130 GMT) on Wednesday. Major Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs (GS.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), issued statements saying they were still trading with the firm.
Facing what may be billions of dollars in additional write-downs, the bank has examined options from selling a stake to a Korean bank to spinning off its investment management unit, but they have yet to bear fruit.
"This has been going on for a while now, and people are worried about liquidity, survival," said Rose Grant, a portfolio manager at Eastern Investment Advisors in Boston, which invests $1.8 billion and has never owned Lehman shares.
The firm's woes raised the possibility of a Washington-sponsored rescue just a few days after a U.S. takeover of mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and months after the Bear Stearns meltdown, which resulted in a fire sale brokered by the government. U.S. officials declined to comment.
Heineken wrote: Your friendly US taxpayer is enlisted to save all the big, fat, bald guys.
AlterEgo wrote:linkThe bet's still on, Rocc?"The Braintrust, our own Dr. Lalani called me today and said if Lehman Brothers goes any lower, they are going to have to change their name to Lehman Brother, the other Brother will need to be let go...Lehman does not survive this, and if they are smart, they will realize that there is room for ONE MORE Bear Stearns-like forced merger. The next institution (or 2, or even 3) will just have to fail.
GM & Ford, Fannie & Freddie, Bear & Lehman, American & United Airlines, wanna know who is next? What about Fedex and UPS?"
Heineken wrote:Yeah, that says it all, Ludi. The bigwigs running these bankrupt companies even get to keep their bloated compensation packages.
Socialism for the rich. That's what we have. And the poor average dummies out there with the flag stickers on their cars play right along.
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