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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Let's not lose sight of the big picture

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture

Unread postby waegari » Wed 09 Jul 2008, 03:26:45

Hogan wrote:Let's not lose sight of the big picture:

Since bottoming out at around $27 in December 2006, oil has been on an incredible price rally since, increasing about 500% in only 1.5 years.


Completely agree we shouldn't lose sight of the big picture, but by your own graph, the rise is 200%, like in 'double'. Bad and significant enouh, though.
The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.

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Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture

Unread postby waegari » Wed 09 Jul 2008, 03:43:44

Hogan wrote:
??

$27 oil x 5 = $135 oil

$27 oil x 2 = $54 oil


It depends where you start counting. On the far left of your graph the price stands at $76.
The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.

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Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture

Unread postby Cashmere » Wed 09 Jul 2008, 03:45:25

Hogan wrote:
waegari wrote:
Hogan wrote:Let's not lose sight of the big picture:

Since bottoming out at around $27 in December 2006, oil has been on an incredible price rally since, increasing about 500% in only 1.5 years.


Completely agree we shouldn't lose sight of the big picture, but by your own graph, the rise is 200%, like in 'double'. Bad and significant enouh, though.


??

$27 oil x 5 = $135 oil

$27 oil x 2 = $54 oil


Hogan - I note playfully - place hands on shoulders - pull sharply downward - repeat until head is pulled from ass. :lol:

The "27.07" on you graph is not a value on the Y-axis - instead, it is part of the cluttered X-axis.

The low value on the Y-axis is just below 57.
Massive Human Dieoff <b>must</b> occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where <b>you</b> live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group.
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Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture

Unread postby Cashmere » Wed 09 Jul 2008, 03:49:19

waegari wrote:
Hogan wrote:
??

$27 oil x 5 = $135 oil

$27 oil x 2 = $54 oil


It depends where you start counting. On the far left of your graph the price stands at $76.


Friggin awesome!!

It's the blind correcting the blind!
Massive Human Dieoff <b>must</b> occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where <b>you</b> live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group.
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Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture

Unread postby waegari » Wed 09 Jul 2008, 04:15:19

Cashmere wrote:
Friggin awesome!!

It's the blind correcting the blind!


Partly, but not quite: this drop is only temporary, just like the one around $ 86.58 some months later. You usually don't count in temporary drops when establishing a general trend.
The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.

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Re: Let's not lose sight of the big picture

Unread postby Serial_Worrier » Wed 09 Jul 2008, 13:30:26

Economy in smoldering ruins. :twisted: :twisted: :twisted:
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