Cashmere wrote:Paulson is an interesting part of the disease, but, in a roundabout way, what he was saying was accurate.
If you listen closely, you can ferret out Paulson's point, which is . . .
"The taxpayers are going to pay for this mess one way or the other - it is my opinion that a direct equity buy out by the taxpayer and an explicit guarantee of the GSE debt would, in the end, be less costly to the taxpayer than seeing the entire housing market implode because we let these beasts fail."
And, as distasteful as I find it, I'd have to agree. Completely.
BINGO! That is twice in one day (and a half). There is a huge VOID between 'moral hazard' on one hand and 'systemic bank collapse' on the other. Believe me, if you're in charge of public policy, you do not want to go there. It is The Valley of Death. If you throw $1 trillion at a $5 trillion problem. You lose. If you throw $4 trillion at a $5 trillion problem. You lose. If you throw $6 trillion at a $5 trillion problem you may may come away beaten and bloodied, but the prospect of a systemic financial collapse would make the subprime meltdown look like a warm-up act.
Lesson number one: Don't get in this mess in the first place. Implicit guarantees DO become explicit guarantees. Lesson number two: when you're in the shit do not cut-off your nose to spite your face. These Depression Era institutions were set-up to avoid a second Depression. Do not cut them off at the knees when they are needed the most. Lesson number three: Learn from your mistakes (twice) and do not repeat them (thrice)!
Senate and Congress as well as the White House are as complicate in this as both the Fed and the Treasury. To try to blame it on Paulson or Bernanke is like blaming a bad play on the relief pitcher that comes in at the bottom of the ninth in an attempt to salvage a losing game.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.