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Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

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No
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Total votes : 40

Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby Roccland » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 11:21:48

Just curious...

I think they are and will be obsolete in the years ahead.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby ColossalContrarian » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 11:27:11

Credit will be associated with everything we need and do in the US. Low FICO means you don't pay your bills.

If you don't pay your bills you should be forced to work off your debt. I see a future with indebted people being treated far differently than those with a savings and good credit score.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby Alanintx » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 12:47:20

As we enter this deep and long lasting deflationary period, your FICO score will not matter one bit. There will be no credit available, period.

It will not matter if you have a stellar credit score, and no current debt as there will be no credit available. It is going to take the banks a long time to reinflate, and even longer for consumers who survive the coming deflationary period to become willing again to assume even modest amounts of debt.

The old joke is going to become the truth; in God we trust, all others pay cash.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby Roccland » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 13:05:27

ColossalContrarian wrote:Credit will be associated with everything we need and do in the US. Low FICO means you don't pay your bills.
If you don't pay your bills you should be forced to work off your debt. I see a future with indebted people being treated far differently than those with a savings and good credit score.

Two things:
1) Amerika cannot pay its debts...so all of its citizens can expect to be debt slaves.

2) Those that do save will see thier saving hyperinflated away AND when FDIC goes bk - depositor's (inflated) savings will vanish.

No - unfortunately - what we are seeing is debtors benefiting and savers being punished. It will get worse...alot worse.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby nobodypanic » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 13:06:07

ColossalContrarian wrote: Credit will be associated with everything we need and do in the US. Low FICO means you don't pay your bills.

it's already like that.
ColossalContrarian wrote:I see a future with indebted people being treated far differently than those with a savings and good credit score.

who are you rip van winkle? :P it's already like that.

ColossalContrarian wrote:If you don't pay your bills you should be forced to work off your debt.

some thoughts:
--why? the govt's in debt; corporations get into debt and can't pay; why the hell should the individual go into slavery while everyone else skates?

--i'd like to see someone try and force the majority of the population into forced labor to pay off their debts. yeah sure, that'll happen.
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bottom line: we need a system that doesn't operate on debt.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby SchroedingersCat » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 13:11:28

I disagree. FICO scores and credit records are being used for more than just loans. Interest rates on your credit cards can fluctuate based on your credit scores. Many employers now check credit reports before hiring. Renting an apartment, applying for insurance, some government permits or licenses, getting phone or utility services, etc.

We are consumers now, not citizens.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby kpeavey » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 18:50:09

I have a low credit score. It is not because I don't pay my debts, it is because I have no debts. When I bought my truck, I had NO credit score as I had no debt. It was a miracle I was able to get a loan. 1.5 years into it, 1.5 years left, will be paid off in about 10 months. The only other loan I have is a house-seller financed, not reported to a credit bureau. Since I do not use credit, I am punished with a low score. The payments are made ahead of time and in larger amounts than the minimum due. Total remaining balance of these loans=$25k.

A credit score can also be seen as a measure of how much money the banks can make off you. They don't make much off me, hence the low score.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 19:06:06

Try getting a mortgage in today's environment with a lousy credit score. :roll:

As credit availability dries up, only the most qualified buyers will have access to it.

It's nice to be able to sit on your high horse and talk about how you don't need access to credit but for most people the ability to get a mortgage, a student loan, a credit card or a home equity line of credit is very important.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby ColossalContrarian » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 19:13:02

nobodypanic wrote:
ColossalContrarian wrote: Credit will be associated with everything we need and do in the US. Low FICO means you don't pay your bills.

it's already like that.

ColossalContrarian wrote:I see a future with indebted people being treated far differently than those with a savings and good credit score.

who are you rip van winkle? :P it's already like that.

--i'd like to see someone try and force the majority of the population into forced labor to pay off their debts. yeah sure, that'll happen.
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the nice thing about credit scores is that you can see who is reliable and who isn't

The way in which debtors will be treated differently is that they won’t have access to public utilities for example or if they do they’ll have to pay in advance. Maybe it’s already like this, I don’t know.

i.e. If you want to heat your home, pay up now or get some good down comforters. If you want to rent an apartment, forget it or pay in advance.

I have good enough credit to get everything I need but I don’t know if it’s necessarily “good” as I only have a debit card/emergency credit card (with zero balance), rent, cell phone, utilities, and car insurances that’s all I can think of at the moment. If I want to go buy a house or car I know my credits good enough to get those.

Roccland, maybe the FICO will go away someday but I’m hoping I can use my current credit worthiness to obtain the things I need –like rent, utilities ect. Because these businesses know I’ll pay my bills and when tshtf I believe there will still be the utility companies looking for someone to sell their energy to and landlords looking for someone to rent their apartments to.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby ColossalContrarian » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 19:18:36

It would be nice is to hear from someone who has poor credit and how their daily life is.

What do they need to do differently because their FICO score gets in the way in various parts of life?

Maybe it doesn’t make a difference because they pay cash all the time. I’m just curious to know if having poor credit effects people’s daily life.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby gollum » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 19:36:41

I'll bite on that, last time I ran the scoreI was in the 50 percentile (I done remember the exact score). Just applied for credit for an atv. I was approved at 12.99% for 60 monthes. (I decided to go used). I was surprised that in this atmosphere I was given credit for what amounts to a toy that easily. I still get probably 3-5 credit card offers in the mail a week. I own my house and have good relations with the credit union so the score is not that important to me. My credit card rates are between 12-15% I dont know if this is good or not.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby kpeavey » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 19:46:13

Tyler_JC wrote:It's nice to be able to sit on your high horse and talk


I assure you there is nothing high about my horse. I don't use credit because I do not wish to pay the price. Rather than borrow, I go without.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 20:00:30

12.99% for an ATV loan? Ouch.

(Using bankrate.com's data)

For comparison's sake, a Wyoming resident with a FICO in the excellent range could get a $5,000 home equity loan for as little as 7.5%.

Someone with a FICO only in the fair range would not qualify for this or any other type of home equity loan.

I think they let you take out a home equity loan if you have equity regardless of what you plan on doing with the money.

Rather than pay usurious interest rates for an ATV, it might make sense for the excellent FICO borrower to use his home equity as collateral.

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Then again...maybe not. 8)
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby JJ » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 21:13:15

ColossalContrarian wrote:It would be nice is to hear from someone who has poor credit and how their daily life is.

What do they need to do differently because their FICO score gets in the way in various parts of life?

Maybe it doesn’t make a difference because they pay cash all the time. I’m just curious to know if having poor credit effects people’s daily life.


I never borrowed any money until I was 40; sadly i have since then and now have a mortgage, car payment, and two credit cards. At that time I went to go buy a car (a 99 neon in 98, I think) and the auto salesman who was about eighteen pulled the ballon off of a car that I didn't even want, went inside, and came back with a look of shock on his face. He said where have you been all your life (you don't wanna know). he said you don't even exist on the computer; I would'nt sell you a car if you put 2000 down right now. I didn't expect anything different, but my wife was really pissed. So she bought a piece of sh*t ring from Fingerhut and paid it off then next month (she was not a US citizen at that time) and they sent her a fingerhut mastercard with a ten thousand dollar limit. Go figure. And in direct answer to your question, we didn't buy a house for a long time because we had no existing credit rateing. Oh to be there NOW.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby TWilliam » Sun 17 Aug 2008, 23:42:47

ColossalContrarian wrote:the nice thing about credit scores is that you can see who is reliable and who isn't


This is true, but not necessarily in the way one might assume. The highest FICO scores are awarded to those who demonstrate maximum profitability to their creditors, not to those who are the most intelligent with the management of their funds. For example, the wise and responsible thing to do from a consuming perspective is to pay off credit card balances in full every month. Unfortunately, from the creditor's point of view, people who do this represent little if any profit (they might make a little if there's a yearly fee for the card). In fact, the credit industry term for people who pay off their balances every month is deadbeat. Bit different than what most of us think of when we hear that word, eh?
Last edited by TWilliam on Mon 18 Aug 2008, 20:56:17, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby alpha480v » Mon 18 Aug 2008, 05:21:36

Screw the fico score. I pay cash for what I need, and if I can't afford it, we buy used or we go without. If I pay for something in full then I don't owe anyone anything. My credit score is shit and I could care less.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby nobodypanic » Mon 18 Aug 2008, 12:57:22

alpha480v wrote:Screw the fico score. I pay cash for what I need, and if I can't afford it, we buy used or we go without. If I pay for something in full then I don't owe anyone anything. My credit score is crap and I could care less.

god bless you sir. i salute you.
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby Roccland » Mon 18 Aug 2008, 13:35:09

nobodypanic wrote:
alpha480v wrote:Screw the fico score. I pay cash for what I need, and if I can't afford it, we buy used or we go without. If I pay for something in full then I don't owe anyone anything. My credit score is crap and I could care less.

god bless you sir. i salute you.


Yes - Credit is dead.

FICOs are dead.

Cash is king (for now).
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby vision-master » Mon 18 Aug 2008, 14:17:46

The neighbor works with car buyers that have poor credit. He say's ppl now pay 23% interest, if they even get a loan. I'll keep with a nice high FICO score, thank you.

I used a line of credit, that's now at 5.75%. I could pay cash, but why, when I pay $60 Month auto payment?
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Re: Are FICO scores becoming irrelevant?

Unread postby Roccland » Tue 19 Aug 2008, 21:08:24

A recent post from TAE...

Ilargi: It’s not really that hard: in the last few decades, credit has been seen, treated and used as money, as always during economic expansions. In fact, lately an insane amount of it has been used as such.

Now that is over, and the only way to purchase anything will soon be with money, which means cash, gold or silver, because credit will disappear. This will shake our societies to the core, like a quake measuring 9 on the Richter scale.

Wherever you look in our neck of the world, credit finances everything. Without an open credit line, 99% of businesses and governments simply cannot function. WIthout credit, home sales will become extinct, as will new car sales.

But during the sharpest contraction in US money supply in history, the president of the Federal Reserve, the secretary of the Treasury, and all the media are still incessantly talking about inflation -and stagflation- as the biggest problems in the economy.

However, looking at the numbers of the crunching credit and money supply, one thing is obvious: no matter how one defines inflation, the sharpest contraction in history cannot possibly exist alongside inflation. It is impossible.

It's so ridiculous, it is utter nonsense to even suggest it. In any and all serious economic models and schools, it’s 100% evident that this sort of contraction shouts DE-flation. And they know it.

So why do the very people like Bernanke and Paulson, who have access to better data and counsel than anyone else, continue bleating out about what they know to be a lie?

For one thing, because it allows them to make people accept increasing government expenditures, while at the same time depressing wages.

After all, higher wages would lead to inflation, or so is the argument that nobody dares question. And the government needs hundreds of billion extra, if only to fight inflation. And save the bankers without whom society would presumably collapse.

Second, it diverts people's attention away from where they are really losing money. Let them focus on $4 gas, and forget the 30% loss -with more to come- in home values, and the $1.5 trillion doled out, in their names and on their tab, to the financial industry. Just repeat the inflation mantra every day, and they'll forget about what's far more hurtful. Till it's too late.

Inflation is not a few temporary price rises. It’s a money and credit supply that expands relative to what can be purchased with it.

With individuals losing $20-30.000 per year on the value of their homes, banks too broke to write loans, companies losing trillions of dollars in writedowns and falling share prices, and various levels of governments losing money from tax revenues, investments and bonds sales, there is no expansion. Quite the opposite.

What makes the lie so easy is that people have been brought up with the concept of inflation, and what it may lead to. Nobody today has any idea what deflation will mean. Well, that is about to change.


It will all boil down to tangibles...and a FICO IS NOT CONSIDERED TANGIBLE...

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