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Here it comes...

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Here it comes...

Unread postby mattduke » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:06:00

... agreement reached
... "authority,resources" given to Paulson
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby Cyrus » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:07:59

Where are you getting this information?
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby mattduke » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:08:56

cspan live
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby jbrovont » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:15:00

Epic failure.
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby mattduke » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:16:18

No hard feelings, deflationists.
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby Leanan » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:21:06

To have inflation, you need wage increases as well as price increases.

I don't think we're going to be seeing a lot of wage increases. Unless you're one of Paulson's buddies, of course.
"The problems of today will not be solved by the same thinking that produced the problems in the first place." - Albert Einstein
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby hope_full » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:22:01

This is 100% crazy. A blank check for our nation's wealthiest people and businesses.

Surely our senators have the wisdom and intelligence and historical perspective to kill this thing.

One can hope.
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby cube » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:25:08

Leanan wrote:To have inflation, you need wage increases as well as price increases.
FALSE

It is perfectly possible to have price increases with no wage increase.
How does this mathematically add up?
You simply buy less but pay more. :)
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby mattduke » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:26:24

Rosh Hashanah begins tomorrow, so Jewish members will have to break observance to vote on this.
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby Triffin » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:26:58

From .. An American Tail ..

We have a P-W-A-N !!!!!!

Gussie Mausheimer

Triff ..
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby jbrovont » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:27:54

I sent this to my reps. I'm so p*ssed.

Dear Senator,

I'm watching Judd Gregg on C-SPAN right now talking about an agreement being reached to make this bailout happen.

Does he not know where government profit comes from? It comes out of the US economy. Any "profit" may as well be a tax. Limiting executive compensation does nothing at this point. They've already gotten their compensation, and this bailout is just filling the hole they made. The fear mongering to get this bill passed is despicable. Warren Buffet is in no way credible in saying not passing this bill will cause "financial chaos," as he has 5 billion riding on it passing.

This is nothing but a wholesale robbery of the American taxpayer. I am carefully watching to see who supports and opposes this bill, as it clearly indicates who supports and opposes the American citizen.



hope_full wrote:This is 100% crazy. A blank check for our nation's wealthiest people and businesses.

Surely our senators have the wisdom and intelligence and historical perspective to kill this thing.

One can hope.
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby Buggy » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:35:55

It doesn't matter what they pass, although kidney stones would be preferable. Our country presenly exports 400 billion dollars a year in wealth to oil exporting countries. A price tag gauranteed to go up. So what is 700 billion piddly dollars really going to fix? Most certainly it will be just like plugging the drain in your bathtub with an icecube.
"We have flown up our own collective numeric bung-hole."
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby hope_full » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:35:55

http://faculty.chicagogsb.edu/john.coch ... rotest.htm

Economists from all over the country - with very impressive credentials - have sent this letter to the Senate:

To the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President pro tempore of the Senate:

As economists, we want to express to Congress our great concern for the plan proposed by Treasury Secretary Paulson to deal with the financial crisis. We are well aware of the difficulty of the current financial situation and we agree with the need for bold action to ensure that the financial system continues to function. We see three fatal pitfalls in the currently proposed plan:

1) Its fairness. The plan is a subsidy to investors at taxpayers’ expense. Investors who took risks to earn profits must also bear the losses. Not every business failure carries systemic risk. The government can ensure a well-functioning financial industry, able to make new loans to creditworthy borrowers, without bailing out particular investors and institutions whose choices proved unwise.

2) Its ambiguity. Neither the mission of the new agency nor its oversight are clear. If taxpayers are to buy illiquid and opaque assets from troubled sellers, the terms, occasions, and methods of such purchases must be crystal clear ahead of time and carefully monitored afterwards.

3) Its long-term effects. If the plan is enacted, its effects will be with us for a generation. For all their recent troubles, America's dynamic and innovative private capital markets have brought the nation unparalleled prosperity. Fundamentally weakening those markets in order to calm short-run disruptions is desperately short-sighted.

For these reasons we ask Congress not to rush, to hold appropriate hearings, and to carefully consider the right course of action, and to wisely determine the future of the financial industry and the U.S. economy for years to come.



Signed (updated at 9/25/2008 8:30AM CT)

Acemoglu Daron (Massachussets Institute of Technology)
Adler Michael (Columbia University)
Admati Anat R. (Stanford University)
Alexis Marcus (Northwestern University)
Alvarez Fernando (University of Chicago)
Andersen Torben (Northwestern University)
Baliga Sandeep (Northwestern University)
Banerjee Abhijit V. (Massachussets Institute of Technology)
Barankay Iwan (University of Pennsylvania)
Barry Brian (University of Chicago)
Bartkus James R. (Xavier University of Louisiana)
Becker Charles M. (Duke University)
Becker Robert A. (Indiana University)
Beim David (Columbia University)
Berk Jonathan (Stanford University)
Bisin Alberto (New York University)
Bittlingmayer George (University of Kansas)
Boldrin Michele (Washington University)
Brooks Taggert J. (University of Wisconsin)
Brynjolfsson Erik (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Buera Francisco J. (UCLA)
Camp Mary Elizabeth (Indiana University

(etc)
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby TheDude » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:38:59

cube wrote:
Leanan wrote:To have inflation, you need wage increases as well as price increases.
FALSE

It is perfectly possible to have price increases with no wage increase.
How does this mathematically add up?
You simply buy less but pay more. :)


Yup. You can adjust wages for inflation, of course - exacerbating the problem in the process. These lunatics believe the economy is growing at a brisk pace, too...

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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby americandream » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:45:52

As a Marxist, I can tell you guys now, YOU don't matter. When these fat cats have a choice to make between you and their lavish privileges, you are history. I've maintained all along that after some hagging to keep up appearances, the deal will be done and it will be back to business as usual. Anyone for the next round of asset securitisation! Lol
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby Leanan » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 15:51:09

cube wrote:It is perfectly possible to have price increases with no wage increase.
How does this mathematically add up?
You simply buy less but pay more. :)


But what happens to the businesses who are selling less? They don't stay in business. People lose their jobs, and lose even more purchasing power. And more businesses go out of business.

This is far from settled yet. The credit implosion is massively deflationary. The equivalent of money vanishing into thin air. Helicopter Ben's helicopters may not be enough.
"The problems of today will not be solved by the same thinking that produced the problems in the first place." - Albert Einstein
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby americandream » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 16:05:30

Shannymara wrote:So is this a done deal now, or is there still a chance it won't pass?


Oh, this will pass. Have no fear. And if anyone's taking the Republicans seriously in all of this, well mate, it's why you have been shafted in the first place. You're gullible!

Will it succeed? Damn sure it wil. Friends in high places in China, Arabia, Europe, Russia, Latin America etc, etc, will make sure the American derivatives machine survives to securitise another day.

All this public gnashing of teeth....for the benefit of the proles!
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby StuckInPhilly » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 16:12:37

americandream wrote:
Shannymara wrote:So is this a done deal now, or is there still a chance it won't pass?


Oh, this will pass. Have no fear. And if anyone's taking the Republicans seriously in all of this, well mate, it's why you have been shafted in the first place. You're gullible!

Will it succeed? Damn sure it wil. Friends in high places in China, Arabia, Europe, Russia, Latin America etc, etc, will make sure the American derivatives machine survives to securitise another day.

All this public gnashing of teeth....for the benefit of the proles!


So true...so true...especially the gullible part.
“In the Soviet Union, capitalism triumphed over communism. In this country, capitalism triumphed over democracy.”
[Fran Lebowitz
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Re: Here it comes...

Unread postby killJOY » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 16:17:58

WHAT ILARGI SAID!

Of course I sympathize with the people who are trying to get through to their Congressmen and Senators with petitions and pleas and plans, screaming for them not to accept the $700 billion -at any one time- Paulson plan. I sympathize because they are dead right: it’s so bad as to be disgusting.

What they don’t seem to realize is that their representatives have no choice. Not if they want to keep their jobs, that is. Whichever party would let the plan fail, is assured of a gaint sized mud bucket full of blame for the financial mayhem that will cripple the US economy between now and the election.

It’s doesn’t matter that the mayhem will come anyway, whether there’s plan or not. If they vote for it, they can claim they’ve done all they could, and followed the advice of the finest experts the country has to offer. And the other party did the same.

Voting the Paulson plan down equals losing the election. Sure, there will be discussions, some heated and frantic, but believe me, nobody wants to rob their party of any and all chances at winning the presidency. That is why the plan will be there later today, even if there must certainly be a few elected heads being severely scratched.

The people who have contocted the plan are obviously aware of all this. There is no time to discuss alternatives, not 6 weeks before the election. Check Mate.

The entire system is based on appearances, not truth finding. In the same vein as a company CEO who can’t reveal the true problems his company may be in, because his first duty is to protect the value of the shareholders, politicians simply can’t speak the truth.

If anyone stood up and told the people the real story, that their country, their welfare, and the future of their children is rapidly being gift-wrapped in a hell-bent handbasket, they’d unleash a storm of biblical proportions. And even if they’d miraculously survive that ordeal, people would move away from them and vote for the nexy guy, who promises solutions and money and sunny days and whatever else the people like to hear.

Yes, both the CEO and the politician have the option of getting out of their positions. But that doesn't change what's wrong: the next liar will simply take over.

The truth doesn’t have a place in US politics. If I may paraphrase Jay Hanson: "Democracy only works until the people figure out they can vote themselves an ever larger piece of the pie". We are today finding out that, alas and unfortunately, the pie itself does not get ever larger.

Nice try, the USA. But fatally flawed from the start.


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