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So what's next?

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Pops » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 13:51:14

Heck if I know, what do you predict?
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Pops » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 13:52:33

I forgot to add: what are you doing to prepare?
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Stratovarius » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 13:53:44

Pops wrote:I forgot to add: what are you doing to prepare?

Whine about it on peakoil.com .
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby MD » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 13:55:17

Next up: hard times for Americans.

I'm as ready as I can be, under the circumstances. I might end up serving soup or standing in the soup line or as part of the soup. Who knows?
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Grifter » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:00:23

Hogan wrote:
So what's next?


I'm still holding out for the aliens will save us theory.

Rather than blow us up, maybe they'll buy the planet off us and we'll go through another short term economic boom.
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby vision-master » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:00:48

Hogan wrote:For a long time, consumer spending was propped up by easy to get credit cards. Then with the artificial housing boom, mortgages and refinancing allowed the consumer to continue spend more and more money he didn't have. Now the easy credit is gone and the housing market has collapsed. All that imaginary wealth is gone. Vanished. Many, if not most, Americans are now bankrupt or have a negative personal savings rate. Companies are dropping like flies, and it will get much worse after this Christmas. Unemployment is about to skyrocket. With consumer spending making up 70% of the US economy, I think we all know where this is heading. Everything which we thought was, really wasn't after all.

So what's next?


Easy credit ain't gone. I still have a $15,000 CC limit.

What's changed?
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby vision-master » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:02:25

Grifter wrote:
Hogan wrote:
So what's next?


I'm still holding out for the aliens will save us theory.

Rather than blow us up, maybe they'll buy the planet off us and we'll go through another short term economic boom.


Fee unlimited energy. You know what TPTB would do. No wonder they ain't helping us.
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby IgnoranceIsBliss » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:06:41

Shopping/ buying things is our national pastime. It's what we do for amusement. People will still try to buy the usual junk until the bitter end. (ie their credit card is maxed and then cut off) I think we will see a lot more credit card defaults when folks just run them up and then stop paying. (maybe after a job loss)

Then comes anger because "hey, I work hard but can't afford that big screen TV that I have to get!"

I've been wondering the same thing: how is our economy going to recover (let alone grow again) without the consumer spending component?

The only answer that I see right away is some kind of gov't funded public works projects to provide jobs and help us transition into a green economy. Chances of this actualy happening: minimal at best

Maybe more people will join the military to get work and benefits. That would solve the troop shortage, but give us a lot of untrained personnel. Maybe we wage more wars to keep the military industrial complex fully funded and providing more jobs.
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Stratovarius » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:09:51

Maybe more people will join the military to get work and benefits. That would solve the troop shortage, but give us a lot of untrained personnel. Maybe we wage more wars to keep the military industrial complex fully funded and providing more jobs.


Wouldn't this just speed up inflation since the military is non-self liquidating? It's basically just another form of consuming, we don't get any money out of it.
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby TheDude » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:12:24

Stratovarius wrote:
Pops wrote:I forgot to add: what are you doing to prepare?

Whine about it on peakoil.com.


Good plan. What we need is one more stimulation courtesy of Dubya and everything will be fine for ever more.

Image

Once I'm done whining I want to move away from all these plasma screen watching proto zombies. Or at least minimize my direct exposure to them.

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What are we spending money on, anyway? Way cool NYT article from May: All of Inflation ’ s Little Parts - Interactive Graphic - NYTimes.com

Image
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby AlexdeLarge » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:23:19

Pops wrote:I forgot to add: what are you doing to prepare?


Drinking Whiskey straight from the bottle ! LOL
Viddy well, little brother. Viddy well.
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Jotapay » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:28:02

Pops wrote:I forgot to add: what are you doing to prepare?


Get 2 roommates. That's $1300 cash money per month. Everything helps right now. I'm in full-on resourceful scavenger mode now.
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby smiley » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:50:11

Wouldn't this just speed up inflation since the military is non-self liquidating?


If you find the right enemy they will take care of the liquidation part.
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Stratovarius » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:51:54

smiley wrote:
Wouldn't this just speed up inflation since the military is non-self liquidating?


If you find the right enemy they will take care of the liquidation part.


What would be an example of the "right enemy"?
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Jotapay » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 14:57:26

Stratovarius wrote:
smiley wrote:
Wouldn't this just speed up inflation since the military is non-self liquidating?


If you find the right enemy they will take care of the liquidation part.


What would be an example of the "right enemy"?


Freedom-haters?
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Pops » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 15:16:11

AlexdeLarge wrote:
Pops wrote:I forgot to add: what are you doing to prepare?


Drinking Whiskey straight from the bottle ! LOL

I tried that back when Turkey was cheap and it didn't help.

Sure was fun though!
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby kpeavey » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 15:20:51

Next up:
massive unemployment, business closures, repossessions, continuing foreclosures.

With an economy going south, people will do what they must in order to get by. Doubling up is an easy one. More people under one roof, all helping to pay the bills.

Reduction of superfluous spending. No more movie rentals, dining out, hair coloring, fancy electronic gizmo of the year, flashy new cars.

Cars are simplified. If you can't afford it, it has to go. Good time to be a repo man, lots of job security and overtime. What vehicles are kept will need to get good mileage, be dependable, do the job intended. People will do their own repairs.

Food is simplified. No more steak. Junk food is right out. More bread and potatoes, beans and rice. Lots of backyard gardening. Finish what is on your plate, there are kids starving in Africa...and Brooklyn, and across the street.

Crime would be expected to rise along with unemployment. Desperate people resort to desperate means to get by.

Tent cities. All the people that can't get in at the shelter, have lost their house, are too far from family, all their friends are full up with extended family. You have to live somewhere. Bridges will be the new suburbs.
If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face--for ever."
-George Orwell, 1984
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby Pops » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 15:27:10

I just posted my latest assessment of what is next (and of course what I am DOING) on this thread:
Assesments and Plans

Incessant chatting about what we guess will come next is just pissing into the ether unless one cares to put their doing where their tapping is...
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: So what's next?

Unread postby BlueGhostNo2 » Tue 14 Oct 2008, 17:07:27

I'm preparing to emigrate to NZ, scoping it out now, then I'll go back to England get another software dev job and start organizing it.
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