This hasn't always gone well. In fact, some of the earliest predictions to go down the toilet were those by Michael Ruppert and Matt Savinar that the draft would soon be reinstated:
Matt Savinar in May 2004 wrote:Here's how I think the draft will go down:
1. Michael Moore's film helps stir up anti-Saudi sentiment among the general population.
2. House of Saud continues to destabilize.
3. Increased terrorist activity, relating to number two.
4. Need a president to call for a draft? Who better to ask than a Democrat ex-war hero? Just like you needed a Dem to get welfare reform through, you need a Dem to get the draft.
John Kerry has said he will fight the war on terror "better" than Bush!Source
As you can see, the peak oil wonderboy shot himself in the face on that one.
Going forward, though, it's interesting question. Numerous people here and elsewhere have told me, over the last few years, that the American people will not tolerate any decline in their lifestyle and will vote in a little Hitler to GET THAT OIL, by whatever means necessary.
Events don't seem to be bearing that out:
1) The SUV industry rolled over and died without so much as a whimper.
2) When the SHTF with the recent credit crisis, there was no rush to arms or nationalism. In fact, the exact opposite was the case. There was an amazing and totally unprecedented act of global cooperation.
3) Most importantly: If the U.S. is going to wage war for oil, why are they going to select a highly reasonable, nice guy like Barack Obama as the president? Obama seems like a pretty unlikely choice if you're looking for a warmonger to fight over oil.