The current $2 trillion deficit projections being circulated in the media will prove woefully understated should the dynamics of hyperinflation take hold of the economy. A dollar collapse would cause our tax system to break down. Individuals whose income isn't keeping up with inflation will forgo tax payments to spend all their cash on food and basic necessities. Businessmen will find that by merely delaying tax payments, depreciation in the dollar will virtually eliminate their true value. Even the tax revenue that is paid will have lost most of its value by the time the government collects it. Meanwhile, the rising cost of everything will drive up the federal spending. The government, lacking adequate income to cover these rising expenses and unable to borrow due to the collapse of the treasury market, will be forced to resort more and more to money creation. If/when hyperinflation takes hold of America, do not be surprised to see 1% of government income come from taxes and 99% come from the creation of new money.
uNkNowN ElEmEnt wrote:When/if this happens I suspect the government would start seizing all assets (for teh good of all) and re-selling land (like feudal lords of old.)
when you bail out everyone, you bail out no one as you destroy your currency.
Sixstrings wrote:when you bail out everyone, you bail out no one as you destroy your currency.
Some wise words there.
RonMN wrote:It's funny, a currency collapse is probably the most frightening thing the world of economics can dish out...yet it pales in comparrison to what nature can do (if she really wants to)...
Quote:
on 2 January 2009, seismicity of the ongoing Yellowstone earthquake swarm continues. Over 500 earthquakes, as large as M 3.9, have been recorded by an automated earthquake system since the inception of this unusual earthquake sequence that began Dec. 27, 2008. More than 300 of these events have been reviewed and evaluated by seismic analysts.
Yellowstone Quake Swarm
uNkNowN ElEmEnt wrote: But what would that do to the USA satellites like Australia, britian, and canada?
Canada
Currency: dollar—Unclear
Trade Balance: Shrinking Surplus
Story: Canadian Trade Surplus Narrows for a Second Month
Britain
Currency: pound—Doomed
Trade Balance: Growing Deficit
Story: UK trade deficit widens in October
New Zealand
Currency: dollar—Doomed
Trade Balance: Growing Deficit
Story: New Zealand’s annual current account deficit increased to 8.6 percent of GDP
Australian
Currency: yuan—Doomed
Trade Balance: Growing Deficit
Story: Australian Trade Deficit Grows for 75th Consecutive Month
uNkNowN ElEmEnt wrote:steal whatever assets...I mean what is to stop them now?
The long-held assumption that US assets - particularly government bonds - are a safe haven will soon be overturned as investors lose their patience with the world's biggest economy, according to Willem Buiter.
Professor Buiter, a former Monetary Policy Committee member who is now at the London School of Economics, said this increasing disenchantment would result in an exodus of foreign cash from the US.
The warning comes despite the dollar having strengthened significantly against other major currencies, including sterling and the euro, after hitting historic lows last year. It will reignite fears about the currency's prospects, as well as sparking fears about the sustainability of President-Elect Barack Obama's mooted plans for a Keynesian-style increase in public spending to pull the US out of recession.
Ashraf Laidi of CMC Markets said the big winner in the current global environment is the yen, and gold appears to be headed back to 900. Cameron Hanover's Peter Beutel said we can expect to see a new oil squeeze, with emerging economies rebounding to compete with the U.S. for the same supplies.
...and The Second-Half Recovery Looks Elusive
The Economic Cycle Research Institute's Lakshman Achuthan said he cannot rule out a second-half recovery, but there is absolutely no sign pointing that way in the leading economic indicators.
LUXEMBOURG (Reuters) - A U.N. panel will next week recommend that the world ditch the dollar as its reserve currency in favor of a shared basket of currencies, a member of the panel said on Wednesday, adding to pressure on the dollar.
Currency specialist Avinash Persaud, a member of the panel of experts, told a Reuters Funds Summit in Luxembourg that the proposal was to create something like the old Ecu, or European currency unit, that was a hard-traded, weighted basket.
Persaud, chairman of consultants Intelligence Capital and a former currency chief at JPMorgan, said the recommendation would be one of a number delivered to the United Nations on March 25 by the U.N. Commission of Experts on International Financial Reform.
"It is a good moment to move to a shared reserve currency," he said.
Central banks hold their reserves in a variety of currencies and gold, but the dollar has dominated as the most convincing store of value -- though its rate has wavered in recent years as the United States ran up huge twin budget and external deficits.
Some analysts said news of the U.N. panel's recommendation extended dollar losses because it fed into concerns about the future of the greenback as the main global reserve currency, raising the chances of central bank sales of dollar holdings.
"Speculation that major central banks would begin rebalancing their FX reserves has risen since the intensification of the dollar's slide between 2002 and mid-2008," CMC Markets said in a note.
Russia is also planning to propose the creation of a new reserve currency, to be issued by international financial institutions, at the April G20 meeting, according to the text of its proposals published on Monday.
eXpat wrote:U.N. panel says world should ditch dollarLUXEMBOURG (Reuters) - A U.N. panel will next week recommend that the world ditch the dollar as its reserve currency in favor of a shared basket of currencies, a member of the panel said on Wednesday, adding to pressure on the dollar.
Currency specialist Avinash Persaud, a member of the panel of experts, told a Reuters Funds Summit in Luxembourg that the proposal was to create something like the old Ecu, or European currency unit, that was a hard-traded, weighted basket.
Persaud, chairman of consultants Intelligence Capital and a former currency chief at JPMorgan, said the recommendation would be one of a number delivered to the United Nations on March 25 by the U.N. Commission of Experts on International Financial Reform.
"It is a good moment to move to a shared reserve currency," he said.
Central banks hold their reserves in a variety of currencies and gold, but the dollar has dominated as the most convincing store of value -- though its rate has wavered in recent years as the United States ran up huge twin budget and external deficits.
Some analysts said news of the U.N. panel's recommendation extended dollar losses because it fed into concerns about the future of the greenback as the main global reserve currency, raising the chances of central bank sales of dollar holdings.
"Speculation that major central banks would begin rebalancing their FX reserves has risen since the intensification of the dollar's slide between 2002 and mid-2008," CMC Markets said in a note.
Russia is also planning to propose the creation of a new reserve currency, to be issued by international financial institutions, at the April G20 meeting, according to the text of its proposals published on Monday.
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE52H2CY20090318
uNkNowN ElEmEnt wrote:OMFG!! I won't sleep for a week. Adrenaline? I don't need more stinking adrenaline. Holy crap!
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