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wind energy report by energy watch group

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wind energy report by energy watch group

Unread postby cephalotus » Wed 21 Jan 2009, 15:05:41

wind energy report by energy watch group 195 pages. enjoy...

Edit: Moved to Peak Oil Studies & Energy Reports. -FL
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Re: wind energy report by energy watch group

Unread postby davep » Wed 21 Jan 2009, 15:22:52

Energy Watch are great. Check out their IEA bashing:

By comparing historic forecasts on wind power with reality for Germany, for Europe and for
the World, we find that all official forecasts were miles away from reality – they were much
too low – with the exception of the forecasts done by Greenpeace who supposed exponential
growth over time. Greenpeace was wrong by just 1 percent of reality due to its simple
method, assuming non-erosion of growth rates.
The worst forecasts on wind regularly came and still do come from the International Energy
Agency (IEA). For example the IEA’s World Energy Outlook 1998 predicted cumulative
installations of 47.4 GW wind power by 2020. This 2020-prediction was exceeded in real
terms of cumulative installations in December 2004. The IEA’s 2002 forecast predicting 104
GW wind power by 2020 was exceeded in real terms in summer 2008. The “best” IEA
forecast on wind so far was the 2004 World Energy Outlook alternative energy approach,
which was surpassed three years later in real additions by an amount of “only” 68 percent.
What we think, we become.
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