cbxer55 wrote:Jotapay wrote:CNBC on Friday was actually using the term "Flush Day", when confidence breaks and everyone sells equities and treasuries at the same time. Got gold?
CNBC on the same day was making a lot of reference to the fact that gold went down all week long. It was over 1000 per ounce, now down below 950 again. They seemed to be a bit confused as to why gold was going down at the same time the stocks were declining.
The Hungarian forint and Polish zloty were the two biggest losers, falling 2.50 and 2.40 percent respectively, both down more than 13 percent on the year to date although above record or multi-year lows set earlier this year.
The Czech crown lost 0.87 percent, while the Romanian leu was the region's best performer, down 0.19 percent but supported by talk of potential central bank intervention.
'The FX market's perception of the summit should be clear: the EU again has proven that it is unable to manage a coordinated response to the crisis,' Commerzbank wrote in a research note.
Further undermining sentiment, Morgan Stanley lowered its price target on several banks it said were particularly exposed to losses in Central and Eastern Europe.
The cost of insuring central European sovereign debt in the credit default swaps market was also higher, with both Poland and Hungary seeing CDS prices rise 10 basis points, putting the cost of insuring Hungary's debt at 590 basis points.
Latvia saw the cost of protecting its debt rise 40 basis points to hit a new record of 1050-1150 basis points, with the central bank saying it had spent 40 million euros to support the currency last week.
That was the first time the country had intervened to support the currency since it was baled out by the IMF in December. The lat came under pressure last week after the government collapsed and ratings agency Standard & Poor's downgraded the country to junk status.
Problems were not limited to emerging Europe. The Turkish lira hit its lowest rate in more than three months while Kenya's shilling fell to a four-year low against the dollar, with data showing hard currency inflows from Kenyans abroad fell 27 percent in January from a year earlier.
Israel -- still trying to form a government after its election as well as dealing with the global financial crisis -- also saw its CDS prices rise to a new record high of 291 basis points
deMolay wrote:I think soon the dam will break and both the EU and the US will have to devalue currency. Obama can't keep printing money and using debt to paper over the trade imbalance with China and the world. http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blog ... e-way.aspx
SeaGypsy wrote:Might the article of Kunstler's point to timing?
When a country has the population baying for bread they may well choose to default. Kunstler points to the timing of planting season in the Northern hemisphere, droughts etc
.http://www.kunstler.com/mags_diary25.html
bencole wrote:Gold futures contracts are moving down in price, this is paper gold right?.
Would the situation hold if parties where requesting more physical delivery? Do you think the sign of the futures contract going down in price somehow reflects a lack of confidence in future physical delivery maybe?
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