dorlomin wrote:Can anyone show me a clear indicator that US consumers, or others round the world are 'traumatised' by the memory of the oil prices hikes of 07, 08?
+1
The clearest indicator is just the opposite, IMO.
When people aggressively went back to buying large trucks and SUV's ramped up so much that American car companies (at least for Ford and GM as I recall) cranked up additional shifts to meet the demand for the gas guzzlers, I just threw up my hands and got REAL PI!!ED OFF! This happened in 2009 as soon as gas got cheap and the economy appeared to have bottomed (for the near term).
Frankly, I like lemmings better than the consuming human hordes. At least lemmings don't whine as they sow the seeds of their own destruction...
What really gets me is that driving a small car like a Yaris is relatively unsafe due to all the stupid large SUV's, trucks, etc. out there (made much worse by safety issues like texting and cell phone usage while driving). So it makes even an energy conscious consumer (with a brain) need to consider buying something larger, like say (at least) a Corolla, just for safety's sake.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.