My response to (Austr.Greens Deputy Leader) CHRISTINE MILNE
Christine Milne, federal member of parliament and Deputy Leader of the Australian Greens recently (28Feb11) issued a press release on PEAK OIL,
http://christine-milne.greensmps.org.au ... t-time-act
I responded to her by email as below:
Thank you Christine, well done for raising the issue again. I consider it public policy issue #1 , and I respectfully tender my considered input for you here. Much of it may be obvious, but I have no way of knowing that so here goes. No response is necessary, but I will be following your policies on the subject with interest.
What I expect federal legislators to do is this:
FIRST CHANGE THE CURRENT LAWS
1. Committee to define exactly what a post-peak future means for civil society in Australia.
2. Review ALL currently enacted federal legislation with one purpose in mind: to identify existing laws which hinders us from adapting to a post-peak future.
3. Fund a similar exercise in all other branches of government.
4. Take the results to COAG with a view to defining legislative outcomes.
THEN AND ONLY THEN, CHANGE THE PROGRAMS
We must assess the current legislation first. It is tempting to push for new government programs or cutbacks, however doing this without assessing the existing legislation is putting the cart before the horse. A thorough overhaul of current legislation will do half the job, and bring the know-how to do the other half.
WHAT DOES POST-PEAK MEAN FOR AUSTRALIA?
We need to understand that the term “post-peak” is not just about oil but is actually a proxy term for a whole complex of problems related to resource depletion. Whether we like it or not post-peak Australia is materially poorer than the peak-resource Australia we have now. This Australia of the future will be characterised by rising commodity prices, rising unemployment and increasing political unrest. Australians will experience supply disruptions at the pump, for which Big Oil and geopolitics will become the convenient scapegoat. It is likely civil society will be eroded, and there may be political violence. Much is at stake, and leadership will be required.
AN EXAMPLE OF A LAW WHICH WOULD CHANGE
Let’s consider just one law among many: vehicle safety standards. It is clear that the stringent vehicle safety standards we have here in Australia currently benefit the existing combustion vehicle manufacturers and provide a barrier to market entrants. They hinder the adoption of competing means of post-peak transport, and so are candidates for review. Under the proposed review, certain pro-combustion biases would be removed. I would go further. In my view vehicle safety standards could be relaxed in the years ahead as a means to accelerate a transition of our vehicle fleet away from combustion. I deliberately chose this example because it highlights exactly the kind of legislative minefields which will need to be cleared by our legislators. There are many others I could think of, but this one most clearly throws the problem into sharp relief.
ANOTHER SUCH EXAMPLE
Urban land use. Let’s suppose that in the contracting economy of 2015, the K-Mart Plaza down the road becomes progressively untenanted and finally succumbs to the protracted retail slump. Currently the landholder has every right to leave the site abandoned and wait for the good times to return. They won’t. Speculative land use like that is unhelpful, it is maladaptive. Government must have a mechanism to allow the land to return to a more productive use without delay.
Many other acts of parliament need to be reviewed. Clearly the assumptions are critical, and the intent needs to be carefully defined. But then once done, full steam ahead.
Thank you for your time. I welcome your future pronouncements on this matter.