Price increases in polyester
Rising oil prices, cotton shortages and increased demand are driving unusual price increases in polyester.
By Lynn Keillor / Specialty Fabrics Review / June 2011
For years, the primary indicator of polyester fiber or filament cost was the fluctuation in petroleum prices. If the price of a barrel of oil increased, so did the price per pound of the base synthetic ingredient: polyester staple fiber (PSF).
“This last eight months has been different,” says Alasdair Carmichael, president of the Americas division of the U.K.-based PCI Fibres. “Oil has been increasing, but the rate of increase at the fiber level has been greater than the increase at the oil level.” A new factor has come into play in the past year, and it’s surprised industry watchers. The price increases this year are demand-driven, Carmichael says, and the additional demand is due, in large part, to a shortage of cotton.
Synthetic fiber prices may seem to have very little connection to the natural fiber raw material market. However, a shortage of cotton has textile makers scrambling to continue production amidst rising raw material prices. In many cases they’re replacing cotton content with polyesters, creating more demand for synthetic fibers. As the demand increases, so do prices for everyone using polyester.
According to Carmichael, there has been a 45 percent price increase in the raw materials that make up polyester (purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and monoethylene glycol (MEG) pricing since March 2010, when the cost was $1,270 per metric ton; in March 2011, the cost was $1,832 per metric ton. In the fabric market, finished 1,000-denier polyester has increased 32 percent in price, he notes.
“We had forecasted raw material and polyester prices would be stable to down in 2010,” Carmichael says. “For nine months, we were exactly right. From January to September, the price of polyester was stable to down. Then everything changed. It was truly originated by the rising cotton prices, and people moving out of cotton where they could and substituting with polyester.”
... Crude oil prices may not be the driving factor at the moment, but neither are they absent from the equation. Oil prices have steadily increased, even as attention has shifted to cotton. Petroleum byproducts are a key ingredient in polyesters, and increased polyester demand means oil prices will continue to affect raw material pricing.
Brian Herington, president of North Carolina-based Performance Fibers, says the cost of raw materials, particularly petroleum-based paraxylene and MEG [mono ethylene glycol], is affecting his business. Crude oil, along with cotton, was behind an 8-cent PSF [Polyester Staple Fiber] increase at DAK in February.
With the BP Cooper River PTA plant out of commission since April due to tornado damage polyester will be impacted.
Platts is busy reporting about PET shortage and Wellman in force majeure but surely the PTA shortage will overflow into polyester.