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An offer for a wager

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An offer for a wager

Unread postby Cog » Sun 18 Sep 2011, 23:23:52

As most of you know, I like betting on events. I've lost two $50 wagers to OF2 since I've been a member here on GDP results. I think OF2 will attest that I've paid off rapidly on those bets when I lost. So here is what I propose:

For the first two takers, I will bet $50 that whoever the Republican nominee turns out to be, he/she will beat President Obama in the 2012 presidential election.

I would hope there are some people out there who still have faith in President Obama to pull this off.

This wager offer is good until December 31st 2011.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sun 18 Sep 2011, 23:58:16

You can place your bet on intrade:

Image
Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012

Last prediction was: $5.00 / share
Chance 50.0%
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743474


If you're so sure why didn't you bet in May?
Last edited by Sixstrings on Mon 19 Sep 2011, 00:08:09, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Cog » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 00:01:02

I want to see if there are any people with confidence here. What say you Sixstrings? Its only $50. Think how much trash you can talk when you get my money through the mail.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby ColossalContrarian » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 00:30:45

Would you be willing to bet that another unspecific party member (not necessarily Tea Party) would beat Obama or is this wager only valid for a Republican party member?

Sounds like easy $$$ but I believe a lot will happen before the new year so I'm just ask'n.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Sixstrings » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 00:39:56

ColossalContrarian wrote:Sounds like easy $$$ but I believe a lot will happen before the new year so I'm just ask'n.


Check the intrade link. It's not a fair bet unless Cog is offering points. I was born at night but not last night. :lol:

A much more interesting bet would be who wins the Repub nomination. Make that bet now, while it's very much up in the air between Romney and Perry. I'm not a gambler so I'm not betting but just saying.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Narz » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 01:39:46

I accept your wager. If it's still on the table PM me. :)
“Seek simplicity but distrust it”
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Cog » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 06:17:50

ColossalContrarian wrote:Would you be willing to bet that another unspecific party member (not necessarily Tea Party) would beat Obama or is this wager only valid for a Republican party member?

Sounds like easy $$$ but I believe a lot will happen before the new year so I'm just ask'n.


This wager is restricted to the Republican nominee versus Obama.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Cog » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 06:20:39

Narz wrote:I accept your wager. If it's still on the table PM me. :)


I accept as well.

There is still one wager yet open for the next person interested.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Livewire713 » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 08:08:11

I'll take that bet, my $50 is on Obama.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Pretorian » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 08:30:28

i think a Republican should have taken that bet, so he/she will be compensated if Rep candidate will be trashed.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 10:34:47

If the GOPers wins, our new national currency is likely to be pine cones or something similar. Is that OK?
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Windmills » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 11:31:51

I already bet against the current president being re-elected, even before any party had nominated a candidate for the 2008 presidency. Towards the end of the Bush administration, I predicted no president from any party could survive the wreckage he would inherit. I'll be surprised if I'm wrong.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 12:04:50

Windmills wrote:I already bet against the current president being re-elected, even before any party had nominated a candidate for the 2008 presidency. Towards the end of the Bush administration, I predicted no president from any party could survive the wreckage he would inherit. I'll be surprised if I'm wrong.


I agree, it was very clear as far back as 2006 that the Bushies were leaving an economic time bomb for the next president or congress, probably so the Bushies could come back after a 4 year vacation.

The flaw in the plan was that the ballon popped in 2007 instead of 2009.

I not only saw this coming, but when it happened it was also far far worse than the Bushies intended because they could not keep things afloat until after the election.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Cog » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 16:48:31

Livewire713 wrote:I'll take that bet, my $50 is on Obama.


Wager accepted. Wagers on this thread are now closed.

Good luck to my opposite numbers on the wager and enjoy the drama.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Pretorian » Mon 19 Sep 2011, 17:55:17

PrestonSturges wrote:If the GOPers wins, our new national currency is likely to be pine cones or something similar. Is that OK?



It's so much better than numbers in a computer created by some selfless genius in kippah at his own will.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Thu 22 Sep 2011, 07:25:42

PrestonSturges wrote:If the GOPers wins, our new national currency is likely to be pine cones or something similar. Is that OK?

What color is the sky in your world?

So you are implying that the party of something for nothing, redistributionism without limit, massive (unproductive) government makes everything better despite all evidence to the contrary -- will be better for the dollar?

This with the Obama deficits, which are OK with the dems, even though they hollered mightily at the Bush deficits of 30% or so of the current size.

You people just AMAZE me. The hard right GOP has MANY flaws which I despise. Wanting to control my morals, my religion, complete science denial, and endless devotion to a war machine are among these. But at least the GOP understands the concept that wealth is PRODUCED by WORK, and that incentives (which lead to wealth disparity - boo hoo) greatly enhance such wealth production.

Better that everybody starve than some guy who risks a lot and works 100 hours a week can afford more than the bum who refuses to work hard, if at all. What a productive and logical ethos! :roll:

(Greece is a darn good model of that ethos on steroids, by the way).
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Cog » Fri 03 Aug 2012, 04:03:40

Bumping this thread to remind my counter-parts on their wager. Hmm, now that we know the Republican candidate is Romney, I'm a lot more comfortable with my wager on this. Gingrich, Santorum, or Perry would have been a disaster for me.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby TheAntiDoomer » Fri 03 Aug 2012, 09:56:21

Romney will be an even bigger disaster for you.
"The human ability to innovate out of a jam is profound.That’s why Darwin will always be right, and Malthus will always be wrong.” -K.R. Sridhar


Do I make you Corny? :)

"expect 8$ gas on 08/08/08" - Prognosticator
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby Livewire713 » Fri 03 Aug 2012, 17:02:27

Cog wrote:Bumping this thread to remind my counter-parts on their wager. Hmm, now that we know the Republican candidate is Romney, I'm a lot more comfortable with my wager on this. Gingrich, Santorum, or Perry would have been a disaster for me.


Cog, I'm still here. You haven't chased this libturd off yet :roll: I feel pretty comfortable with my wager as well. I'm curious to see what else we find out about Mitt the twit over these next few months.
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Re: An offer for a wager

Unread postby dinopello » Fri 03 Aug 2012, 17:21:09

Livewire713 wrote:Cog, I'm still here. You haven't chased this libturd off yet :roll:


Is is libturd or libtard ? The right is so clever with their words. Should the Romney worshipers be twitturds, or twittards ?

By every historic measure this should be a landslide win for <generic> republican, especially given their control of key state governments (Ohio, Virginia, Florida, etc). But, I'd put the odds about even given the specific candidates.
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