Revi wrote:My favorite Titanic analogy is the fact that they locked the poor under the decks while the first class passengers got into the lifeboats. Meanwhile the middle class passengers listened to the band play on while the ship tilted into the icy north Atlantic.
Revi wrote:My favorite Titanic analogy is the fact that they locked the poor under the decks while the first class passengers got into the lifeboats.
Newfie wrote:Pops,
I think the point is that the iceberg represents things you either can nor or will not see.
"And then you write, ‘Oh, they're just rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.’ First of all, that is a terrible metaphor. This administration is not sinking. This administration is soaring. If anything, they are rearranging the deck chairs on the Hindenburg!"
Revi wrote:“Ocean: A body of water occupying about two-thirds of a world made for man - who has no gills.”
Ambrose Bierce
Pops wrote:Good Revi.
One of the problems with the analogy on the macro level (or it's attraction, depending on your perspective) is that the iceberg ripped a hole so big the Titanic took on water and sank right out of sight very quickly. That demonstrably isn't going to happen with PO, if it was $150/bbl would have continued right up to $500 and beyond.
I mean it could, if PO leads to GTNW. Or if we are able to force the plateau farther and farther (even at greater negative EROI that normal) until the peak and slope become a cliff. But even in that case we won't crash to no oil over-night or over-decade either I guess. We'll just see a progression of vulnerable secors fail.
More than likely we'll keep trying substitutes and "extenders" while depleting reserves apace 'till we can't. Then we'll simply use less and less, no iceberg, no overnight dieoff, just lots of pain.
But the part about rearranging deck chairs is certainly apropos as it applies to the initial response we are seeing to expensive oil. Surveys say people start doing something about their usage at $4/gallon. Maybe buy a hybrid(!), maybe buy some weatherstrip or a bike. That is rearranging. What will they do do at $8? or $16? Or when they inevitably get their pink slip and the 40 mile commute is irrelevant?
The rearranging is thinking there is a fix on sale down at the Quiky Mart.
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