by Pops » Sun 10 Jun 2012, 08:37:03
I was reading "Half Asleep in Frog Pajamas" By Tom Robbins, another of his goofy/great books, this one about a stock broker was written and set way back in the early nineties before Wall Street really went nuts. His character laid it out: between AI and robotics, most regular jobs are going to go by the way.
When I first started doing graphic design on a computer - in the early nineties - I could do it faster and better than anyone in my market, I could do stuff digitally that was simply not possible using galley cameras, negatives and glue and razor. I made good money and helped put a lot of skilled workers in the printing arts out of work, its called Creative Destruction and it's the key to capitalism.
The IRS now lists "desktop publishing" as one of the occupations in decline. It's only been an occupation for 20 years, LOL! It is going down to a general lowering of expectations (read Wallmartization) – (of which desktop publishing itself was a part), and more and more information and marketing money going from print to digital. So the ad that took the people I replaced days and weeks to create and included designers, custom shot photographers, paste-up gurus, darkroom/camera/masking/etc, took me a few hours using a Mac and some stock photography I bought online for $20... and now I can whip out in a few minutes. It's creative destruction, Always the Lower Price, Mostly.
Point is not to whine about my turn on the block but to point out the end stage of Walmartization is that everyone who works, works at WalMart, except the Waltons of course and the Waltons goal is to employ as few as possible for as little expense as possible. Kind of the inverse of Ford's idea that his cars should be so cheap that everyone who builds a Ford chould own one, the Waltons idea is that everyone who works there should earn so little they must shop there.
OK, so the bottom line for this rant is: fewer jobs due to automation and less income due to Walmartization equals fewer people with jobs. Kind of a reinforcing loop.
Oh yeah, then there is the problem with oil. Oil equals surplus, surplus equals consumption, consumption equals employment: less oil= less surplus = fewer "jobs".
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)