pstarr wrote:Rune wrote:That won't be for a very, very long time.
You seem to know. When exactly will it be? When oil runs out.
It will never complete run out. It will peak or plateau and then here will be a long decline, depending on factors no one can possibly know.
But new discoveries still occur, new methods make recovery possible, new technologies create replacements... We can't know these thngs. But oil will be with for well over a century by all reasonable forecasts at THIS time.
The doubling of efficiency of the Solid Oxide fuel Cell over he internal combustion engine is just one more example of how the peak and decline keeps geting pushed out into the future. It is just one example of why some believe that the peaking of oil production will be demand-driven rather than supply-driven.
By the time oil becomes more expensive, technologies like Joule's process will be well-advanced from where they are. Technologies have never just stood still; they always improve over time. There won't be any silverbullet replacement; it will be a variety of energiesand efficiencies.
Keep hoping for that oil cataclysm and die-off, pstarr. You'll be hoping for it til your dead of old age.