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MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 deaths/yr

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MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 deaths/yr

Unread postby Graeme » Thu 29 Aug 2013, 19:30:48

MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 premature deaths/year in US; vehicles and power generation top sources

Researchers from MIT’s Laboratory for Aviation and the Environment have concluded that ground-level PM2.5 emissions from combustion sources such as industrial smokestacks, vehicle tailpipes, marine and rail operations, and commercial and residential heating throughout the United States cause about 200,000 (90% CI: 90,000–362,000) premature deaths each year, with another 10,000 (90% CI: −1,000 to 21,000) deaths due to changes in ozone concentrations.

Emissions from road transportation are the most significant contributor, causing ∼53,000 (90% CI: 24,000–95,000) PM2.5-related premature deaths and ∼5,000 (90% CI: −900 to 11,000) ozone-related early deaths per year. Power generation follows closely, causing ∼52,000 (90% CI: 23,000–94,000) PM2.5-related and ∼2,000 (90% CI: −300 to 4,000) ozone-related premature mortalities per year. Industrial emissions contribute to ∼41,000 (90% CI: 18,000–74,000) early deaths from PM2.5 and ∼2000 (90% CI: 0–4,000) early deaths from ozone, according to the study.

In a state-by-state analysis, the researchers found that California suffers the worst health impacts from air pollution, with about 21,000 early deaths annually, mostly attributed to road transportation and to commercial and residential emissions from heating and cooking.

The researchers also mapped local emissions in 5,695 US cities, finding the highest emissions-related mortality rate in Baltimore, where 130 out of every 100,000 residents likely die in a given year due to long-term exposure to air pollution.


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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby Graeme » Tue 23 Jun 2015, 21:22:37

Lancet study: Climate change can destroy 50 years of health and development

Climate change poses a threat so serious that it could reverse the last 50 years of progress in global health and development, a report published today (23 June) in The Lancet has warned.

But the potential health benefits of fighting climate change mean that tackling the problem presents one of the greatest opportunities to improve health this century, the 2015 Lancet Commission said.

“Climate change is a medical emergency. It thus demands an emergency response," said commission co-chair Professor Hugh Montgomery, director of the Institute for Human Health and Performance at University College London (UCL).

“No doctor would consider a series of annual case discussions and aspirations adequate, yet this is exactly how the global response to climate change is proceeding,” he added.

Climate change will increase extreme weather events, especially heat waves, floods, droughts and storms, said the commission of European and Chinese scientists, engineers and energy policy experts, political scientists, health professionals and economists.

Indirect health costs of climate change include air pollution, changes in infectious disease patterns, food insecurity, malnutrition, involuntary migration, displacement and conflicts.

But climate action brings immediate health gains, according to the report. Burning fewer fossil fuels reduces respiratory disease and walking and cycling cuts pollution, obesity, heart disease and diabetes.


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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby JacobMadison » Sun 20 Dec 2015, 20:35:45

I'm surprised that "MIT’s Laboratory for Aviation" while researching emissions that kill didn't mention that TEL is still used in avgas.

Anyhow MIT used to mention it.
Aircraft Impacts on Local and Regional Air Quality in the United States (PDF)
Gayle Ratliff, Christopher Sequeira, and Ian Waitz
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts
October 2009

... tetraethyl lead is commonly added to aviation gasoline used in piston-engine powered, general aviation aircraft. Exhaust emissions from these piston-engine powered aircraft that operate on leaded aviation gasoline (avgas) contribute to levels of ambient lead. The most commonly used leaded avgas contains 2.12 grams of lead per gallon of fuel. In 2002 approximately 280 million gallons of aviation gasoline were supplied to the U.S. (DOE Energy Information Administration 2006) contributing an estimated 565 metric tons of lead to the air and comprising 46 percent of the EPA year 2002 National Emissions Inventory for lead.

565 metric tons ("tonnes") is about 1.2 million pounds of lead. After it falls from the sky it lands on marijuana and you smoke it causing brain damage from casual marijuana use.
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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby dissident » Mon 21 Dec 2015, 09:58:59

Interesting about the lead. A lot of crop dusting is done with small piston engine aircraft. So crops are being contaminated by an organo-lead compound. This is much worse than if it was pure lead since it is much more readily assimilated on consumption. Much like with mercury.

Also, we have endless hysteria about nuclear power. Nuclear power does not generate such fatality. But coal burning does. Yet I see no hysteria about coal burning. BTW, coal burning spreads uranium and thorium in addition to mercury around the country side. This includes radioactive isotopes.
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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Mon 21 Dec 2015, 10:14:49

Actually 200,000 isn't a lot comparatively: that's about 0.3% of the global deaths per year. And that's only 1/3 of the yearly death's from preventable dysentery which kills 600,000 of the 150 million that develop the illness per year. At least the world gets some benefit from the those emissions. Other then holding down the global population growth not much benefit from the suffering caused dysentery which is a much easier/cheaper fix then GHG production.
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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby JacobMadison » Mon 21 Dec 2015, 12:47:15

dissident wrote:So crops are being contaminated by an organo-lead compound.

Actually it's like the difference between bread and toast. You put bread into the toaster, etc.

You put tetraethyl lead into the engine along with either a chlorine or bromine chemical to scavenge the lead from the engine since lead build-up is a problem. What comes out is a halide (salt) of lead. Not all salts are soluble in water and I have yet to see if those are.

I have attached a table from a book. The WHO has also published about this.
World Health Organization wrote:EFFLUENT CONCENTRATIONS:

In particular, the composition of airborne lead particulates in car exhaust aged for 18 hr after collection was 5.6% 2PbO.PbCl2, 0.1%
2PbO.PbBr2, 1.6% 2PbO.PbBrCl, 21.2% PbOx, 29.6% 2PbO.PbCO3 and 0.1% PbO.PbSO4(2).

The composition of airborne lead particles at three sites (compound - near a road (%), 400 yds from a road (%), rural site (%):
2PbO.PbCl2 -2.8, 5.6, 1.5; 2PbO.PbBr2 - 0.7, 0.3, 0; 2PbO.PbBrCl - 2.0, 0.6, 1.0, PbOx - 12.0, 25.0, 20.5; 2PbO.PbCO3 - 37.9, 21.3, 27.5; and PbO.PbSO4 - 1.0, 4.6, 5.0(2).

The major constituents of sintering and blast furnace operations appear to be PbO.PbSO4 and PbSO4(1).

The chemical composition of baghouse effluent from smelting and refining operations in one case was 70% PbO.PbSO4(3).

Lead oxide was identified, not quantified, in particulate matter collected on a filter in the vicinity of a lead smelter(4).

(1) USEPA; Air Quality Criteria for Lead USEPA-600-8-83-028bF (1986)

(2) World Health Organization; Environmental Health Criteria 3. Lead. Geneva, Switzerland: World Health Organization (1977)

(3) Corrin ML, Natusch DFS; pp. 7-31 in Lead in the Environment; Boggess WR ed National Science Foundation NSF/RA-770214 (1977)

(4) Clevenger TE et al; Environ Sci Technol 25: 1128-1133 (1991)] **PEER REVIEWED**

------------------ (2) can be found here:
http://www.inchem.org/documents/ehc/ehc/ehc003.htm
Code: Select all
  Table 8.  Composition of airborne lead particles by electron microprobe analyser
            From: Ter Haar & Bayard (1971)

                                   Percentage of total
                                    particles counted

Sample           PbCl2     PbBr2    PbBrCl    Pb(OH)     Pb(OH)    (PbO)2  (PbO)2
                                              Cl         Br        PbCl2   PbBr2
                                                                               

Exhaust pipe
  Zero time       10.4      5.5      32.0       7.7       2.2       5.2      1.1
  18 h             8.3      0.5      12.0       7.2       0.1       5.6      0.1

Eight Mile Road
  Near road       11.2      4.0       4.4       4.0       2.0       2.8      0.7
  400 yards       10.5      0.7       0.6       8.8       1.1       5.6      0.3

Rural site         5.4      0.1       1.6       4.0       -         1.5      -
                                                                                 

                                   Percentage of total
                                    particles counted

Sample           (PbO)2    PbCO3    Pb3       PbOx       (PbO)2    PbO     PbSO4
                 PbBrCl             (PO4)2               PbCO3     PbSO4

Exhaust pipe
  Zero time       31.4      1.2       -         2.2       1.0       -        0.1
  18 h             1.6     13.8       -        21.2      29.6       0.1      -

Eight Mile Road
  Near road        2.0     15.6       0.2      12.0      37.9       1.0      2.2
  400 yards        0.6     14.6       0.3      25.0      21.3       4.6      6.0

Rural site         1.0     30.2       -        20.5      27.5       5.0      3.2
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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby Subjectivist » Mon 21 Dec 2015, 14:51:37

pstarr wrote:"You put tetraethyl lead into the engine"

Didn't we like stop that in 1970?


Gasoline engine aircraft still use high lead fuel to boost octane as cheaply as possible. Jets and diesel aircraft don't but most crop dusters run on gasoline. They put out PbBr salt particals in their exhaust, but how much actually sticks to the crops is rarely measured.
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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby dissident » Mon 21 Dec 2015, 16:12:35

@JacobMadison

Thanks for the information. Looks like it is mostly inorganic compounds that come out of the exhaust.

PbBr would be highly soluble in water. The EPA only considers the dry deposition of lead-bearing particulates and these are rather high on crops: 0.3-0.6 cm/s. In contrast, HNO3 (an acid that is very actively dry deposited) is in the range of 1 cm/s over many types of grasses and crops, but it can go as high as 5 cm/s.
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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby JacobMadison » Tue 22 Dec 2015, 10:08:24

dissident wrote:@JacobMadison

Thanks for the information.

I have at least one research paper that claims sub-1-micron sized particles of lead can pass though the lungs. That probably explains John Waters movies.

WhatWasInTheWaters-small.jpg
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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby onlooker » Thu 29 Sep 2016, 16:37:13

http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/world/2 ... nt=event25
More than 9 in 10 people breathe bad air, WHO study says
"We are mortal beings doomed to die
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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby onlooker » Sat 24 Dec 2016, 12:07:00

http://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/ ... alNewsfeed
Smog linked to third of deaths in China, more deadly than smoking, study finds
"We are mortal beings doomed to die
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Re: MIT study says combustion emissions cause ~200,000 death

Unread postby Newfie » Sat 24 Dec 2016, 19:19:47

Not to be too bleak, but given the state of over population, is t that a good start?
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