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THE Russia thread

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THE Russia thread

Unread postby Sixstrings » Wed 05 Feb 2014, 14:02:46

Making this thread for future developments and issues with Putin / Russia that don't fit in existing threads like Ukraine and Olympics. No mods have pm'd me but I know it's too many Russia threads going on.

To start it off:

Pussy Riot makes their first US tv appearance, interviewed by Stephen Colbert (video in link):

"We sang a fun song at a church," said Pussy Riot's Masha Alyokhina when Stephen Colbert asked her and bandmate Nadya Tolokonnikova why the Russian government had imprisoned the band. What followed was a witty, insightful interview about the punk band's political prison stint at the hands of the Russian government, which ended when they were released last December.

Speaking through a translator, Alyokhina and Tolokonnikova explained why they had been thrown in jail for speaking out against Vladimir Putin's anti-gay regime. "We have different ideas about a bright future, and we don't want shirtless man on horse leading it," Tolokonnikova said.

Colbert remained true to his blustery conservative pundit during the interview, which was one of their first in the United States. When told that being a part of the gay community is illegal, Colbert asked, "Do you think many gay people will make the right decision and stop being gay?"

Tolokonnikova responded in Russian: "In our experience, it just turns them on even more."

The women received a long applause break when they thanked their American fans for supporting them throughout their time in prison. "I don't know what the Russian word for pander is, but well done," Colbert joked. He then pushed them on their claim that they were only released as a PR move for the Sochi Olympics.

"We don't think it improved the image of Russia, so maybe Putin made a mistake and should throw us back in jail," they said through their translator. Colbert joked that he is friends with Putin, and the Pussy Riot girls said they would even make Stephen an honorary member of the band if he would influence Putin to help prison conditions.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/02/05/pussy-riot-blasts-putin-colbert_n_4730607.html


Nice girls, serious and thoughtful, they don't seem like "hooligans" or like they'd hurt anyone -- they shouldn't have been in prison for years, that's for sure. They should do a US tour.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Strummer » Wed 05 Feb 2014, 15:08:42

Sixstrings wrote:Nice girls, serious and thoughtful


So, no mention of the frozen chicken stuck inside her vagina, or public sex in front of minors in a museum building?
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Sixstrings » Wed 05 Feb 2014, 16:14:23

Strummer wrote:So, no mention of the frozen chicken stuck inside her vagina, or public sex in front of minors in a museum building?


Well I'm looking at the wiki on this. Looks like ONE of the members participated in a museum art exhibition that Russian state media spinned as an "orgy." There's no evidence the chicken thing happened:

Tolokonnikova was part of a performance in which couples were photographed having sex in the Timiryazev State Biology Museum in Moscow in February 2008.[153] This exhibitionist act was intended as a satire of Dmitry Medvedev's call to increase the birth rate in Russia,[154] but was typically described as an "orgy" by the media.[155] President Putin, in an interview about whether the prison sentence was justified, also invoked the defendants' prior actions in Voina stunts: "They had a group sex session in a public place. They then uploaded it onto the Internet. The authorities should have looked into this, too."[94] A notorious performance by Voina in St. Petersburg, in which a woman stole a chicken from a supermarket by stuffing it in her vagina, is sometimes cited by detractors of Pussy Riot. However, there is no evidence that members of Moscow-based Pussy Riot participated in this action.


This is getting out in the weeds here, whatever the art thing in that museum was. If you have NONBIASED, non-state owned media, original reporting you can cite, then feel free to post it.

Why all the connection to Putin? Putin being asked what he thinks of them all the time? Why is it always about Putin and everything is always up to him? If this really was JUST common indecency in a museum then why was it a federal matter and not local. I would presume it's their anti-Putin views that made them a national story in the first place, and that the hammer was brought down because of the anti-Putin stuff.

Weren't they convicted of "holliganism?" The Russian catch-all law, that the Soviets used too? That American reporter banned from Russia, he was arrested for "hooliganism" just for being difficult about reporting on Chernobyl.

They do sound like real pistols though :lol: :

Many international artists, politicians, and musicians voiced support for the release of Pussy Riot, or expressed concern about the fairness of their trial, including Madonna, who openly expressed her support at a Moscow concert,[157] Paul McCartney,[158] and Aung San Suu Kyi.[159] While acknowledging the support, members of Pussy Riot distanced themselves from Western artists, and reiterated their opposition to the capitalist model of art as commodity:[160] One of them, identified as Orange, said:

We’re flattered, of course, that Madonna and Björk have offered to perform with us. But the only performances we’ll participate in are illegal ones. We refuse to perform as part of the capitalist system, at concerts where they sell tickets.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pussy_riot#Claims_for_moral_damages


They have a chance to make some real money in the US, if they want it. I wonder if they'll stick to anti-capitalism and not making any money off their music.

Clearly, these are dissidents and their civil disobedience protests are for shock value to get their message across and they were looking to get arrested. Real justice would be a gradual approach to something like this, politics and art pushing the lines of free speech. You don't just throw people into prison for years.

Were they ever charged in municipal or provincial courts, or just all federal charges, seems like they were singled out for harsh punishment because of the anti-Putin part.

French singer Mireille Mathieu, who has frequently performed in Russia, was one of the few western entertainers to speak out against Pussy Riot, saying they had committed a sacrilege. Nevertheless, she asked for “indulgence” for the three women.[161]


Nobody should go to prison for "sacriledge," not in a Western democracy anyhow, that belongs in a religious theocracy.

A letter of support from 120 members of the German parliament, the Bundestag, was sent to the Russian Ambassador to Germany, Vladimir Grinin. It described proceedings against the women as disproportionate and draconian.[162] On August 9, 2012, 200 Pussy Riot supporters in Berlin marched, wearing colored balaclavas, in a show of support for the group.[163] Attending the trial, British MP and Shadow Foreign Office Minister for Human Rights, Kerry McCarthy, also backed the group, describing proceedings as “surreal”.[164] Lech Wałęsa criticised the church performance as “tasteless”, but nevertheless wrote to Putin urging him to pardon the women.[165][166]

Amnesty International called the conviction “a bitter blow for freedom of expression”.[88] Hugh Williamson, of Human Rights Watch, stated that the “charges and verdict ... distort both the facts and the law ... These women should never have been charged with a hate crime and should be released immediately.”[167] ARTICLE 19,[168] Freedom House,[169] and the International Federation for Human Rights also issued statements condemning the sentence.[170] On September 21, 2012, the Feminist Press published an e-book entitled Pussy Riot! A Punk Prayer for Freedom to raise funds for the legal defense team.


So what was the conviction for? A hate crime? Religious offense?

Anything else they did, the museum art thing or whatever, that's a separate matter from this conviction.

P.S. back on topic to the colbert interview, they said there's a new anti-gay law being talked about, to outlaw "gay extremism." According to them, that means anyone even saying they are gay.

They're in the US working with human rights groups looking at prison issues, and they were doing that in Europe. One thing is for sure, they did some hard time over their beliefs. And they never hurt anyone. This was all civil disobedience and really innocent stuff here -- singing in church, and I guess someone said one of them urniated but I've never seen the details on that but really, are we talking crimes of the century here?
Last edited by Sixstrings on Wed 05 Feb 2014, 16:43:15, edited 7 times in total.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby radon1 » Wed 05 Feb 2014, 16:15:39

Strummer wrote:So, no mention of the frozen chicken stuck inside her vagina, or public sex in front of minors in a museum building?


Else why they should do a US tour.

I thought there was a Russian thread somewhere in the depths of the forum. There is definitely a Ukrainian one.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Tanada » Wed 05 Feb 2014, 16:47:55

Sixstrings wrote:Making this thread for future developments and issues with Putin / Russia that don't fit in existing threads like Ukraine and Olympics. No mods have pm'd me but I know it's too many Russia threads going on.

To start it off:

Pussy Riot makes their first US tv appearance, interviewed by Stephen Colbert (video in link):

"We sang a fun song at a church," said Pussy Riot's Masha Alyokhina when Stephen Colbert asked her and bandmate Nadya Tolokonnikova why the Russian government had imprisoned the band. What followed was a witty, insightful interview about the punk band's political prison stint at the hands of the Russian government, which ended when they were released last December.

Speaking through a translator, Alyokhina and Tolokonnikova explained why they had been thrown in jail for speaking out against Vladimir Putin's anti-gay regime. "We have different ideas about a bright future, and we don't want shirtless man on horse leading it," Tolokonnikova said.

Colbert remained true to his blustery conservative pundit during the interview, which was one of their first in the United States. When told that being a part of the gay community is illegal, Colbert asked, "Do you think many gay people will make the right decision and stop being gay?"

Tolokonnikova responded in Russian: "In our experience, it just turns them on even more."

The women received a long applause break when they thanked their American fans for supporting them throughout their time in prison. "I don't know what the Russian word for pander is, but well done," Colbert joked. He then pushed them on their claim that they were only released as a PR move for the Sochi Olympics.

"We don't think it improved the image of Russia, so maybe Putin made a mistake and should throw us back in jail," they said through their translator. Colbert joked that he is friends with Putin, and the Pussy Riot girls said they would even make Stephen an honorary member of the band if he would influence Putin to help prison conditions.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/02/05/pussy-riot-blasts-putin-colbert_n_4730607.html


Nice girls, serious and thoughtful, they don't seem like "hooligans" or like they'd hurt anyone -- they shouldn't have been in prison for years, that's for sure. They should do a US tour.


There are only 90 threads about Russia
search.php?keywords=russia&terms=all&author=&sc=1&sf=titleonly&sr=posts&sk=t&sd=d&st=0&ch=300&t=0&submit=Search
including this one
the-russia-thread-pt-2-merged-t63969.html
Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Simon_R » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 10:14:21

Fast forward to 2:30 ish

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nRWAR6TplTo

just not in front of kids or in the office
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Sixstrings » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 13:07:57

Simon_R wrote:Fast forward to 2:30 ish

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nRWAR6TplTo

just not in front of kids or in the office


According to wiki, only one member of pussy riot participated in the museum thing. And isn't pussy riot a big group, and they wear masks and nobody even knows who they all are? (I think) Like any protest group there will always be some who go too far.

I dunno, we've had shocking art stuff like that back in the 70s and 60s, and then in our 90s culture wars. When it ceases to be shocking, and nobody cares, then nobody does it anymore. That's the point of a lot of art and civil disobedience, to shock people and get an artistic or political message across too.

Maybe Russia is just going through a counterculture thing, like America in the '60s when young people got wild and started kissing strangers in the streets and love-ins in public, a rebellion against an ultra-homogeneous "square" culture.

If they do any of this while in the US, they'll be arrested for misdemeanor indecency and get community service sentence or a fine (or in their case, deported). If someone keeps this kind of thing up, after many many convictions then a judge will start getting serious.

You also need to look at the motivation, is the person insane or is it political speech / art.

The chicken thing.. gross.. but according to wiki there's no evidence she is in pussy riot.

And the one member of the band that did the museum thing was never charged and proven guilty of anything in court, and that's a separate art group anyway -- notice they never got years in prison, hm? Why did this one pussy riot member take all the heat, and not the art group Voina that did this show that she just joined in with?

The relevant issue is their actual conviction, which I guess is some kind of hate crime for singing in church and one of them urinated.

Bottom line.. YES it's gross, yes it's shocking, and that is their art and civil disobedience to shock people and get their political message across about free speech and the boring, clothed protesters who get arrested and thrown in prison. Right now they're speaking out about those jailed in the May 6 protests who now face years in prison.

If the Russian legal system had handled it a bit softer, as common misdemeanor indecency, as we would in the West, then it wouldn't be such a big deal and Pussy Riot wouldn't be a household name.

P.S. according to the wiki, that museum protest was about Putin pressuring the Russian people to have more children and trying to pass laws about it. So I can see the rationalization of the protest, it's an art thing, like "okay government is treating us like animals telling us to have children" so they do something obscene, connecting the obscenity of public sex to the obscenity of government control over their private sex lives.

Russia's Art Revolution: Voina Challenges Putin with Imagination

Members of the Russian art collective Voina are supposed to serve as associate curators for the 2012 Berlin Biennale for Contemporary Art, which begins this spring in Germany. Voina's work is drawing attention around the world, but international arrest warrants have been issued for two of the its leaders.

...

Together with his wife Natalia Sokol, Vorotnikov founded the performance art group Voina, or "War," in 2005. They have attracted attention several times in Moscow and St. Petersburg since then with their carefully planned performance pieces. Their iconography includes upended police cars, a sex orgy in a museum, mangy cats in a fast-food restaurant and three guys dressed as gay men and strung up in a supermarket.

Voina has been a symbol of the Russian avant-garde for some time, and for creative resistance against the system of the country's long-term ruler, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/zeitgeist/russia-s-art-revolution-voina-challenges-putin-with-imagination-a-805084.html


And another thing.. if Russians don't want politics in their churches, then stop mixing the state religion with the power of the state, this is what happens when church and state are one.

That's what this is really about. Putin is atheist but has cultivated Orthodox christianity as a tool of the state. Someone urinated in the church and dances by the alter and that's his excuse to send them to prison.

It was just misdemeanor trespass if they didn't leave when asked, and misdemeanor vandalism for the one who urinated. These are not serious crimes.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby radon1 » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 16:54:09

Six, you should change your nickname to "Sevenstrings". The Russian guitar has seven strings, unlike the traditional one. I know that having another string is stupid and anti-western but this is how the things are.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Sixstrings » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 19:49:22

radon1 wrote:Six, you should change your nickname to "Sevenstrings". The Russian guitar has seven strings, unlike the traditional one. I know that having another string is stupid and anti-western but this is how the things are.


The nice thing about Russian news is that we don't have to stay on one topic too long, there's always something new. You and dissident are great by the way, I hope you don't take any of this personally. Some of us in the West are just concerned. So, moving along.. Russia expands its border into Georgia:

NATO Raps Russia for Expanding Border Into Georgia

RUSSELS — NATO has criticized Russia for expanding its border deeper into Georgia's breakaway Abkhazia region, a move Moscow has portrayed as a temporary step to expand a security zone around the Sochi Winter Olympics.

"We have noted the recent decision to temporarily extend the so-called border zone of Abkhazia further into Georgian territory without the Georgian government's consent," NATO chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen said.

"We are very concerned about that decision," he told a news conference in Brussels on Wednesday after talks with Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili.

Georgia condemned Russia last month for shifting its boundary with Georgia 11 kilometers deeper into Abkhazia, calling it an "illegal action" that violates Georgian sovereignty. Russia says it is a temporary step to create a security buffer around the Olympics in Sochi, which is close to Abkhazia.
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/olympic_coverage/article/nato-raps-russia-for-expanding-border-into-georgia/494050.html
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Peak_Yeast » Sat 08 Feb 2014, 09:47:15

Pussy-riot will only offend people that wants to be offended or do not function well enough to live in a world with a variety of people and opinions.

Everything they have done is completely harmless - except to mentally unstable sick people.

Children wont take harm from this - but they might take harm from their defective parents hysteria.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby steam_cannon » Wed 12 Feb 2014, 14:39:24

Sixstrings wrote:Nice girls, serious and thoughtful, they don't seem like "hooligans" or like they'd hurt anyone -- they shouldn't have been in prison for years, that's for sure. They should do a US tour.

Nice girls, yeah right. They look like classic attention seeking narcissists.

What did they do? To get bigger and bigger sources of attention and forward their careers the have been doing "guerrilla performances in unusual public locations" aka breaking into buildings! But golly, who ever gets arrested for breaking into buildings and posting videos on the internet? Anyone stupid enough to do that, even in Russia.

Both Russia and America have unfairness, but is this an example of unfairness? What would happen to you in America if you broke into multiple buildings including a church, threw parties and pissed up the place? You'd hope to only get a year for each time you did that. Russia has oppression, but I don't think these ladies are good examples of that.

These ladies don't come across to me as Rosa Parks. This looks like a media play by Mr. Svatsky and his FEMEN creation drumming this up as a money making stink about how it's oppression for these girls to be in prison after breaking a pile of laws. This looks like common mix of narcissism and money making opportunism.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Sixstrings » Wed 12 Feb 2014, 16:49:05

Some updates on Pussy Riot's visit to the US:

Image

Members of Pussy Riot Visit Residents at Halfway House

Outside the halfway house, a castlelike compound run by the charity Fortune Society, Ms. Moore pressed Ms. Alyokhina and Ms. Tolokonnikova to continue fighting for women’s rights, hugging them before they decamped, in a black S.U.V., to meet downtown with the celebrity performance artist Marina Abramovic.

It was the end of a whirlwind week, their first visit to the United States, that included dinner with Madonna in Williamsburg, Brooklyn, on Wednesday and a tour of Rikers Island on Saturday. In between, they met the mayor (Friday) and partied with the likes of Questlove and Jake Gyllenhaal at the Spotted Pig in the West Village (Thursday). Their moves were chronicled by music blogs and foreign policy journals, and each appearance found fans gushing for photos.

But to hear Ms. Alyokhina and Ms. Tolokonnikova tell it, interacting with inmates and former inmates and hearing from criminal justice experts was perhaps the highlight of the visit. The invitation came from Amnesty International, which organized a high-profile benefit concert around them, at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Though they slid easily into the promotional blitz — their snappy appearance on “The Colbert Report” — being treated like media darlings sometimes overshadowed the roles they would like to be known for: prison reform activists.

“We wouldn’t have come here just for the concert,” Ms. Tolokonnikova said, in Russian, in an interview at the Fortune Society building. Their agenda also included visits at John Jay College of Criminal Justice and with Rehabilitation Through the Arts, a nonprofit that works with the incarcerated.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/02/10/nyregion/members-of-pussy-riot-visit-residents-at-halfway-house.html?_r=0


Image

Pussy Riot meets with Mayor de Blasio, Chirlane McCray at City Hall to discuss prison reform
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/pussy-riot-meets-bill-de-blasio-chirlane-mccray-article-1.1606655


Image

Pussy Riot receive offers for movie 'like Star Wars'

Maria Alyoshina and Nadezhda Tolokonnikova from punk band Pussy Riot have received offers for a Hollywood film based on their lives, the pair revealed at a Berlin Film Festival press conference.

The Russian duo said they had received "several offers" for film projects, but they declined to share the names of studios chasing them.

"We have some offers but we cannot say from whom, nothing is agreed," Tolokonnikova said, joking that the movie would be "like Star Wars".

When pressed over George Lucas' possible involvement, she added: "Sorry, we have some offers but we cannot say anything at the moment."

Tolokonnikova and Alyoshina had flown into Berlin after appearing on-stage with "freedom fighter" Madonna to demand a " Russia without Putin" at New York's Amnesty International concert last Wednesday.

Tonight, the human rights activists will attend a screening of Mike Lerner's documentary, Pussy Riot: A Punk Prayer.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/movies/news/article.cfm?c_id=200&objectid=11199890
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Graeme » Wed 12 Feb 2014, 18:29:06

Sorry to move away from fascinating PR, but perhaps this article is more relevant to the website host.

The return of peak oil and Mikhail Khodorkovsky

Peak oil entered our lexicon in 1956 and has since framed countless discussions regarding the finite nature of our Earth’s hydrocarbons. In the energy world, no other phenomenon has more frequently traversed the ground between relevance and obsolescence. However, the idea itself has several interpretations. Peak oil is relatively independent of the volume of total reserves, which have in fact been growing. Instead, M. King Hubbert, the American geologist who coined the term, concerned himself with production rates, which are also under the influence of political, technological, and economic constraints. While Hubbert’s exact predictions are outdated, his primary contribution (i.e. the Hubbert curve) remains significant today. The curve assumes that regional and/or global fossil fuel production follows a bell curve over time. More specifically, following a discovery, production increases exponentially eventually reaching a peak, after which production experiences a similarly exponential decline. Hubbert correctly predicted peak production in the United States, which occurred at the beginning of the 1970’s. However, technological advances have paved the way for a second US peak and opened the door for a delayed global peak. The shale revolution in the United States has restored widespread belief in the longevity of hydrocarbons and stunted the growth of the renewable energy sector. US crude oil production has risen every year since 2008 and some industry players have pipe dreams of a Saudi Arabia West. Nevertheless, such resurgence is likely an exception and not the rule.


Globally, crude oil production is declining at a rate of approximately 3.5 millions barrels a day per year. Amongst the 34 high-income economies who comprise the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), production experienced modest growth, mostly thanks to the United States and Canada. However, minus the Americas, production is down in both OECD Asia Oceania and OECD Europe 18.1% and 7.4% respectively when compared to the previous year. To date, the shale revolution has yet to take off across the Atlantic, but it’s certainly not for a lack of want. Energy giants found potential suitors in countries like Poland, France, and the UK, but the people, and thus far the governments as well, have voiced their preference for greener development in the face of hydraulic fracturing’s less than clean reputation. In any case, a shale-powered Europe offers little in the way of a global production boost. Compared to conventional wells, fractured wells decline hyperbolically. The initial return is high, but the flow rapidly declines before leveling off. Wells can be refractured several times throughout their lifespan. However, the results, both in terms of flow and environmental impact, are highly variable and each presents a unique case.
Decline rates aside, we have not seen the level of exploration and development required to offset production declines from conventional sources. Speaking more to the financial considerations, current global economic conditions simply do not support intensified development of both conventional and unconventional sources. Many parts of the globe are still in the grips of recession and as a result demand for high-priced fossil fuels has flattened. Sustained prices of approximately $110/bbl will likely keep such demand relatively flat for the foreseeable future. Additionally, these prices, and any lower prices, almost guarantee companies will operate in the red once all the low hanging fruit is harvested. Prices approaching $150/bbl would certainly support new development and, in time, production growth. However, national economies would struggle to bear the costs.



In the post-peak world there are still plays to make and profits to be had. A host of these lay within the Russian Federation, who, despite facing declines in their giant Western Siberian brownfields, have recently pushed past Saudi Arabia as the number one producer of crude oil in the world. To maintain Putin’s ambitious production goals, Russia will face steeper and steeper development costs as they test the Arctic and perhaps try their hand at unconventionals. While not particularly open to foreign partnerships, Putin and Russia will need foreign help if they are to maintain their leading pace in both oil and gas. The International Energy Agency estimates investments totaling $730 billion will be required from Russian gas producers to sustain the current production of ~655 billion cubic meters. The situation regarding liquids replacement is perhaps more dire as approximately 50 percent of Russia’s federal budget is balanced with oil revenues. Additionally, Russia remains a price taker, subject to its inherent volatility. Unable to afford a slip in price, Russia must lean on its production to ensure stability.
Enter the recent and somewhat unexpected release of former oil magnate and Russia’s one-time richest man, Mikhail Khodorkovsky. Khodorkovsky spent the last decade behind bars for a list of crimes easily attributable to almost every one of his oligarch brethren. Unlike the others, however, Khodorkovsky seemingly forgot, or rather challenged the rules of the game. In a system of soft legal constraints, property rights lose their mettle and, at best, reflect a privilege granted by those with the control rights. After placing his feet squarely in the political ring, violating an unwritten agreement between Putin and the oligarchs, Khodorkovsky was abruptly incarcerated in 2003 and his multi-billion dollar oil business was stripped from his control, later forming the backbone of national oil giant, Rosneft. The ramifications were immediate as capital flight quadrupled the following year. In 2010, Khodorkovsky was convicted on additional charges of embezzlement and money laundering, pushing back his release until 2014.


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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Graeme » Wed 12 Feb 2014, 20:39:59

And this:

How to understand Russia’s Arctic strategy

Russian actions in the Arctic are governed by a combination of factors. The highest priority is undoubtedly economic development of Russia’s Arctic region. Russia’s natural resources ministry has stated that the parts of the Arctic Ocean claimed by Russia may hold more petroleum deposits than those currently held by Saudi Arabia. Russia has already put in place plans to exploit resources in this region, beginning with deposits on the Yamal Peninsula and adjacent offshore areas. The first offshore development is the Prirazlomnoye oil field south of Novaia Zemlia, which started production in December 2013. Russian companies face several challenges in developing these oil and gas resources. Because most of these deposits are offshore in the Arctic Ocean, where extraction platforms will be subject to severe storms and the danger of sea ice, the exploitation of these resources will require significant investment and in some cases the development of new technology, and will only be economically feasible if prices for oil and natural gas remain high.

The future economic potential of the region is not limited to the extraction of natural resources. In recent decades, it has become clear that climate change is leading to the rapid melting of the polar ice cap, which has already improved access to the Russian Arctic. Russian planners are banking on the relatively rapid development of the Northern Sea Route (NSR), which they hope might compete with the Suez Canal route for commercial maritime traffic. This will require a serious investment in icebreakers, new and expanded port facilities, places of refuge and other services.


In observing Russian activities in the Arctic, the U.S. government needs to be careful to avoid assuming that provocative statements intended primarily for a domestic audience are signals of belligerent intent in the region. Instead, U.S. policymakers need to watch for more subtle signals of Russian intent. While statements of Russian intent to build up military capacity should not cause much worry, actions such as placing and deploying expeditionary forces would be far more provocative. Russian refusal to recognize the decisions or authority of international organizations in the Arctic, or its withdrawal from such organizations, should be considered a strong signal that Russia is truly shifting from a cooperative to a confrontational posture in the Arctic.


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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Sixstrings » Thu 13 Feb 2014, 18:48:17

Graeme wrote:In observing Russian activities in the Arctic, the U.S. government needs to be careful to avoid assuming that provocative statements intended primarily for a domestic audience are signals of belligerent intent in the region. Instead, U.S. policymakers need to watch for more subtle signals of Russian intent. While statements of Russian intent to build up military capacity should not cause much worry, actions such as placing and deploying expeditionary forces would be far more provocative. Russian refusal to recognize the decisions or authority of international organizations in the Arctic, or its withdrawal from such organizations, should be considered a strong signal that Russia is truly shifting from a cooperative to a confrontational posture in the Arctic.


I tend to think Russians will be aggressive in the arctic. I looked into this issue a long time ago and remember reading about Canada's military plans to counter Russia in the arctic. I'd have to search around for that to dig it up again.

It's gonna be interesting!

Some other Russia news:

Poll: Thumbs down on Vladimir Putin, Russia

With all eyes on Sochi for the Winter Olympics, Americans hold the lowest view of Russia and its president that they’ve had in two decades, according to a new poll.

Sixty percent of Americans view Russia unfavorably, the most since 1994, according to Gallup’s poll out Thursday. Their favorable view of Russia nearly ties the low set in 1999 during the bombing in Chechnya and conflict in Kosovo: Today, just 34 percent of Americans view Russia favorably, near the 33 percent set in 1999.
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/02/2014-sochi-olympics-putin-russia-poll-103476.html


Russia bans adoptions to any single people in nations that allow same sex marriage, just in case the single person turns out to be gay and may marry someone in the future:

Russia Tightens Anti-Gay Adoption Ban
Singles From Countries Where Gay Marriage Legal Not Allowed to Adopt
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304434104579380613782162016
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby radon1 » Thu 13 Feb 2014, 20:10:28

Sixstrings wrote:I tend to think Russians will be aggressive in the arctic.


What about outside the arctic?

Sixty percent of Americans view Russia unfavorably, the most since 1994,


Despite this, people like Russians. People also like women, and people like gays.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Sixstrings » Fri 14 Feb 2014, 02:17:42

radon1 wrote:What about outside the arctic?


I don't know. There will be more clarity when we see what Russia does about Ukraine. What do you think?

(I had a rant in here but I really want to stop that and just be neutral and not a jerk or upset anyone)

Here's another poll:

Image
Image[/quote]
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Sixstrings » Fri 14 Feb 2014, 13:12:04

Noticed this in Zerohedge:

Image

The Tanks Are Rolling In Post-Devaluation Kazakhstan

Following the 20% devaluation of Kazakhstan's currency on Tuesday, the nation has quietly drifted into a very un-safe scenario. As the following clip shows, tanks and Humvees are lining the streets around Almaty as stores are closed and food is running desperately short. Local accounts note that the people are growing increasingly indignant. At a mere 192bps, the cost of protecting Kazakhstan sovereign debt from default (or further devaluation) seems cheap in light of this.



http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-02-13/tanks-are-rolling-post-devaluation-kazahkstan
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby radon1 » Fri 14 Feb 2014, 14:37:58

Sixstrings wrote: What do you think?


I think you want another Syria in Ukraine, and then in Russia. You always do.
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Re: THE Russia thread

Unread postby Sixstrings » Fri 14 Feb 2014, 17:23:21

radon1 wrote:I think you want another Syria in Ukraine, and then in Russia. You always do.


I'd actually like to see a successful, modern Russia, with human rights and people hopeful and doing well. <-- that was supposed to be the happy ending to 50 years of cold war.

Honestly, Radon, I predict Russia will come back around in the end. Eventually there will be a post-Putin Russia. I know you didn't like Medvedev either, but at least he didn't scare anyone. You could tell he was a modern guy and not from the old KGB generation.

Russia has some generational culture wars to go through, and then at the end of it they'll be with the West. That's my prediction.

For example -- where do wealthy Russians like to vacation? The south of France and Italy, or smog-engulfed Beijing? There's nothing to tie Russia to China, neither culture nor ideology nor economics, Russia's best ties are with the West. China has enough ghost cities as it is, what could they do in Russia, build some more ghost cities in Siberia? And fill them with Chinese?

The heart of Russia is in Europe. You may as well figure out how to get along with the rest of the West. Your younger generations are more and more Western anyway, so this change will continue to happen, naturally, and wise Russian leaders would manage this cultural shfit, and not bring the hammer down if you go through something like we did in the 1960s. Really, Russia missed out on all these things -- they were cut off for 70 years. A lot of what's going down is just culture war, and modernity vs. traditional.

Since the West knows Russia will come around eventually, it needs to be careful not to poke too much. Unless we are sure we have a problem on our hands.
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