Doly wrote:Were you ever a Peak Oil congregation member Doly, or was oil just part and parcel of your overall energy modeling interest?
I don't know how you define "peak oil congregation member".
A comment denoting congregation members in The Church Of Peak Oil. Churches have religious symbols (bell shaped curve), they read the dogma required of them (Hubbert's work, Campbell, Jean, Energy Bulletin, TOD, etc etc), they sit together in pews and sing the same song, they excommunicate members who dare to question the dogma, and when the comet passes, or the Mayan calendar end comes and goes, or Yellowstone doesn't explode, or multiple peak oils come and go and no one seems bothered, fewer people show up on Sunday, the songs are sung less enthusiastically, and pretty soon only the prophets remain..and sometimes..not even them.
Doly wrote: If you are asking whether I was a regular poster, yes, absolutely, just look at the number of posts on my profile. And if you are asking what came first, interest in peak oil or interest in modelling, they sort of merge.
Studying peak oil doesn't make you a church member any more than I. I didn't even realize the concept was primarily faith based until I had studied it for a bit, and began using that information to ask questions, and realized what type of folks I was dealing with.
Doly wrote: I've been interested in modelling since I first learned what computer models are, and the book where I learned first about computer models contained a chapter on the Limits to Growth model. I didn't think about making my own tweaks on the Limits to Growth model or doing much on energy modelling till I became aware of peak oil, though.
So, maybe you are more of an honest peak oiler, without the baggage that comes with the church members. I didn't model much of anything beyond project economics and whatnot in the first half of my industry career. The last half was where I was introduced to oil and gas reserve and resource modeling, first doing corporate acquisitions and modeling financing and revenue expectations, later as part of a multi-billion dollar bankruptcy proceeding. Someone had to try and get our 40 million dollars from those bankruptcy filing corporate thieves! So, happy go lucky and maybe 30 years of age I was given a pep talk and sent into battle. Fantastic learning experience, modeling, geology, values of everything, court dictated calculations for damage estimates. It was the first time I managed a multi-disiplinary team of engineers, geologists and consultants, and even more importantly was handed a corporate credit card and told to get the fastest machine I needed to put my computer skills to use. First machine I ever custom ordered, and used to build all my engineering, geologic, automated operational reporting routines, and cash flow models. Played Doom a bunch after business hours as well. Later I moved on to bigger and better things in my next career path.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"