GLASGOW, Scotland – A referendum on Scottish independence that was once expected to collapse in resounding defeat was instead going down to the wire on Wednesday, with each side scouring lush Highland ridges, Gothic back alleys and rocky coasts seeking any advantage on the eve of a vote that could divide this island after three centuries of union.
The referendum has transfixed Scotland’s 5.3 million people, and analysts predict an extraordinary 90 percent of eligible voters on Thursday to answer a simple but sweeping question: “Should Scotland be an independent country?”
But as much as the vote will turn on attitudes toward Scottish nationalism, it also will be a verdict on a group nowhere to be seen on the ballot: British politicians.
Why is the U.S. nervous about Scottish independence vote?
Washington (CNN) -- Faced with the prospective divorce of its closest friend, the United States is following the advice column carefully: don't take sides, keep your opinions to yourself, and avoid getting dragged into the fray.
The complicating factor in this potential split? One side has a nuclear arsenal. Who gets custody of that?
Thursday's independence referendum in Scotland, and with it the possible split of the 300-year-old United Kingdom, could have consequences big and small, including in the United States. The "special relationship" heralded by presidents and prime ministers for decades would be fundamentally altered, though American officials refuse to speculate in which ways.
As British Prime Minister David Cameron said on Tuesday, a "yes" result on independence would amount to a "painful divorce" between Scotland and the rest of Great Britain, not a "trial separation."
http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/16/politics/us-scotland-vote/
Red Pill wrote:Plant does a great job of presenting this complex issue in an adult manner.
Seems one of the tricky points is weather an independent Scotland would retain the Pound. Britain says no, but the pro independence side has stated that they have a powerful bargaining chip in that, if their denied a currency union, they'll renege on their portion of UK debt, currently ~100 Billion pounds. Wow, who woulda thought it could be so simple?
Plantagenet wrote:Obama just issued a last minute statement telling the Scots to all vote "no" on Independence from England.
I think Obama is worried that if Scotland breaks free, they won't be around to help him with the two new wars he is starting in Syria and Iraq.
Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
Tanada wrote:I have a very dear friend in northern England and as he explains it all the UK government cares about is London, because that is where the bulk of the voters live. The people in north England, Scotland and Wales get as close to ignored as is politically possible by the UK government.
The whole point of Representative government is to have your concerns heard, if your voice is never heard then why would you want to stay attached to those who are ignoring you?
Scottish Independence: Border Guards 'Could Be Stationed On Hadrian's Wall'
There could be "border guards along Hadrian's Wall" if Scotland votes for independence, a think tank has seriously suggested.
The new country would need to attract 20,000 more immigrants a year than presently expected in order to pay for pensions without raising taxes, The Scotland Institute said.
It said the Yes campaign had significantly underestimated the number of new entrants required to balance out the country's ageing population and provide the revenues to meet its promises.
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2014/09/13/scotland-hadrians-wall-independence_n_5816238.html
Plantagenet wrote:I haven't heard one positive forward looking statement out of the people who think Scotland should stay with England. All they do is try to spread fear.
Sixstrings wrote:I think it's just crazy, and Plant as Americans this does nothing to help the US position at all. UK would just be all wound up and busy with Hadrian's Wall and transition for years to come. We'll lose our #1 ally. Their military disrupted, having to split it up, maybe even some nukes for Glasgow. It's madness.
Worst of all, financial disruption, financial crisis and it's the US federal reserve that would have to print money to pour into that.
Plantagenet wrote:People were afraid when the US broke away from England (gosh...we won't be able to use the pound!).
People had the same kind of fears when India broke away from England after hundreds of years of English domination. But the US and India and all the other colonies that got free from England are doing fine.
If the Scots vote to be independent, then god bless them and god speed. I wish them luck either way.
PS: 6 I'm really enjoying your posts. Hope you are having a great time watching summer wind down.
Scottish referendum explained for non-Brits - video
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/video/2014/sep/17/scottish-referendum-explained-for-non-brits-video
Barack Obama tells Scotland: stay united
The unusual last-minute intervention by the President is a sign of concern in Washington that one of America's closest allies could be about to split in two.
"The UK is an extraordinary partner for America and a force for good in an unstable world. I hope it remains strong, robust and united," Mr Obama said in a tweet.
Mr Obama first expressed his support for the union in June but repeated his message in the final hours before voting began.
Both Democrats and Republicans have urged Scots to vote no, saying independence would leave Britain as a diminished power on the world stage.
Bill Clinton this week also called for a no vote in a statement released through the Better Together campaign.
The former president said he worried a "long, complex negotiating proccess" would weaken the Scottish economy and had concerns about Scotland trying to keep the pound as its currency.
Hillary Clinton also said she would "hate" to see Britain "lose" Scotland, adding her voice to Mr Obama's and her husband's.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11103256/Barack-Obama-tells-Scotland-stay-united.html
Bill Clinton: Vote ‘no’ in Scotland
He began his statement by saying he was “reluctant” to offer his personal views on the matter, given that the Scots alone should make their decision regarding Thursday’s referendum on whether to stay in the UK or become independent.
“I understand and sympathize with those who want independence,” he added, citing Scotland’s natural resources and independent spirit.
But Clinton said that Scotland leaving the UK would carry “substantial” financial risks, suggesting the proposal to maintain the pound as its national currency and the separation process could weaken the economy and cause instability.
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/09/bill-clinton-scotland-reject-independence-111038.html
Scottish independence vote cheers supporters of Texas secession
(Reuters) - The upcoming vote to decide whether Scotland should be independent of the United Kingdom has bolstered those campaigning to split the state of Texas from the United States.
Texas Nationalist Movement president Daniel Miller, who wants the state's legislature to put the secession question on a statewide ballot, said Scotland's Sept. 18 referendum is a good sign for his movement.
"If Scotland can do it, so can Texas," Miller said.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/16/us-usa-texas-independence-idUSKBN0HB2LI20140916
Historian Kenneth Stampp notes that a historical case against secession had been made that argued that "the Union is older than the states" and that "the provision for a perpetual Union in the Articles of Confederation" was carried over into the Constitution by the "reminder that the preamble to the new Constitution gives us one of its purposes the formation of 'a more perfect Union'."[24] Concerning the White decision Stampp wrote:
In 1869, when the Supreme Court, in Texas v. White, finally rejected as untenable the case for a constitutional right of secession, it stressed this historical argument.
The Union, the Court said, "never was a purely artificial and arbitrary relation." Rather, "It began among the Colonies. ...It was confirmed and strengthened by the necessities of war, and received definite form, and character, and sanction from the Articles of Confederation."[24]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secession_in_the_United_States#Supreme_Court_rulings
The position of the Union was that the Confederacy was not a sovereign nation—and never had been, but that "the Union" was always a single nation by intent of the states themselves, from 1776 onward—and thus that a rebellion had been initiated by individuals.
Republicans and Democrats unite in opposition to Scottish independence
Congress's most vocal advocate for a united Britain warns that a Yes vote in the Scottish referendum would "weaken" the US-UK alliance
Brad Sherman, a Democrat who has championed the union cause in Congress, said the US foreign policy establishment was united in its hope that Scotland would stay a part of Britain.
"You will not find anyone involved in American foreign policy - from the President on down - who does not think that this division will weaken the alliance that we have," Mr Sherman said.
The US State Department also issued a clear call in support of the union.
The House of Representatives earlier this summer passed a resolution written by Mr Sherman which called for a "united, secure, and prosperous" UK.
Mr Sherman said Wednesday: "It's clear that a united United Kingdom is a stronger and more ready ally of the US."
He said he worried that a long and complicated division of the armed forces would "clearly diminish" their effectiveness and their ability to fight alongside the US in hotspots around the world.
"I would hate to see the Royal Navy and British military be any less effective than it is today," he said.
Chris Murphy, the Democrat chair of the Senate's Europe subcommittee, said he also believed the US-UK alliance would be stronger if Scotland remained within Britain.
"Our relationship with Great Britain is stronger if Great Britain is stronger," he said. "I don't think separation helps the relationship but it's ultimately up to Scottish voters to decide."
Ron Johnson, Mr Murphy's Republican counterpart, also backed the union, saying: "From my own standpoint, I hope they stay together."
Frances Burwell, director of the transatlantic relations at the Atlantic Council think tank, said the sudden narrowing of the polls had shocked many in Washington who found it “incomprehensible” that Scotland would break away from the rest of the UK.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11088679/Republicans-and-Democrats-unite-in-opposition-to-Scottish-independence.html
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