by radon1 » Sun 02 Nov 2014, 10:22:50
When people first learn about peak oil or some other "resource limits" stuff they may get very worried or sometimes even shocked. They may think that all of a sudden they face "doom". But in fact, they do not face doom. Doom is just *a* narrative (narrative being a description of phenomena, not propaganda). What they really face is not doom, it is uncertainty. They suddenly discover that nothing is certain that the world as they know it, and that this world is in no way guaranteed to go on into the future in the way they know it. This may put them under lots of stress.
Uncertainty has been one of the greatest horrors and challenges that the humans and other living organisms have had to cope with from the very beginning. Because it has always been associated with danger. Think about the dark of night full of hungry predators, or natural disasters and other terrible things that could suddenly and inexplicably descend on them, seemingly out of the blue.
In order to deal with uncertainty, living beings developed a number of protection mechanisms, such as anxiety, mimicking etc. Some of these mechanisms are extremely old and deeply entrenched. We might be unaware how strongly we may be driven by them, and how difficult to resist them because of their role in evolution. An important example of such a mechanism is herd behavior. Herds are far more potent in addressing uncertainty than individual beings. Hence individual beings tend to seek to join a herd, or a group, thinking about shelter but in fact looking for *certainty*.
Humans' main distinction from animals is sentience. That distinction may interact with those protection mechanisms in a number of ways. One important way - is that these mechanisms can be exploited, consciously or unconsciously. Someone may seek to plant an idea in your head in order to achieve their goals, just as they did in the movie "Inception", but obviously by other means. This is an act commonly known as "manipulation". An example of a mass-planted idea can be the consumerist fever in the society (though this one is not directly related to the issue at hand).
Or, seeking to flee from uncertainty, you yourself may unconsciously plant an idea in your own head, an act known as "rationalization". You pick up or construct *a* narrative that provides you with *certainty* as far as you position in present and future is concerned. It does not matter which specific narrative you pick up, what is important is that you have now seemingly beaten the uncertainty, and are back within your comfort zone of *certainty*. This victory is an illusion, of course, but for the most it is fine.
Doom, as any narrative, may prove to be just this kind of a stimulant of avoidance behavior. It does not have to, but it may. All of a sudden, you are no longer responsible for your actions, because the future is clear, and it is *doom* (or *cornucopia* depending on your choice). You now have a luxurious illusion of certainty, and do not have to think about your actions as they are now pre-determined. Just follow whatever herd that you have decided to join. Stress is gone.
So, what's important, is to understand yourself first, before digging deeper into the depths of doom or reaching the heights of cornucopia. How you react to ideas, how others do, and why this is the case. Is this you dealing with uncertainty, or uncertainty dealing with you.
There is no way we can distinguish "narratives" from objective reality, but some basic tests may help. People tend to react similarly to the things objective, like pain or hunger, and very differently to narratives. Some got deeply involved with *doom" once they learn about it, while others dismiss it out of hand and forget about it.