Newfie wrote:Showed this at my church a few years back.
They still look at me kinda funny.
Bartlett died last year.
Newfie wrote:Yes, it's really a simple idea. But hard to get buy in. Very strong baias against it.
pstarr wrote:smart guyDesuMaiden wrote:Newfie wrote:Yes, it's really a simple idea. But hard to get buy in. Very strong baias against it.
The whole point of the video is that infinite growth in consumption and infinite growth in population are not possible on a finite planet. We are close to peak population right now. The ecosystems around the planet are collapsing because there are simply too many humans on this planet. I'm afraid there might be a die-off following any overshoot in population.
GregT wrote:The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.
Dr. Bartlett got it right. RIP Al
DesuMaiden wrote:GregT wrote:The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.
Dr. Bartlett got it right. RIP Al
And this shortcoming might result in our extinction if we keep on exponentially growing in consumption and population.
dolanbaker wrote:DesuMaiden wrote:GregT wrote:The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.
Dr. Bartlett got it right. RIP Al
And this shortcoming might result in our extinction if we keep on exponentially growing in consumption and population.
Population growth will continue while the resources are available to sustain that growth, recent population counts appear to show that the exponential growth has stopped and growth is starting to take a more linear track.
But that is a global figure, if you look closer at local trends, many areas still have an exponential growth pattern and others are either static or declining. Recent migration has muddied the figures somewhat as without migration, many western European countries would actually have declining populations.
The planet is far from a level playing field, countries that have seen the largest population growth in the past couple of decades are the ones that will suffer catastrophic consequences first in the event of a major reduction in that countries ability to feed its people. That also means that there are many places in the world that are a VERY long away from suffering a catastrophic collapse of any kind, at most they'll be forced to share their commute to work.
pstarr wrote:I think the US, New Zealand, Australia will be mostly fine while Europe, Middle East, China, Central America, will be very bad on the down slope of peak oil.
pstarr wrote:Positive proportion of arable land to population, called Real Density. This place lists all 195 countries, So the US is among the best 5% (number 12) Australia is Number 1, Russia 6, New Zealand is 29.DesuMaiden wrote:pstarr wrote:I think the US, New Zealand, Australia will be mostly fine while Europe, Middle East, China, Central America, will be very bad on the down slope of peak oil.
Why do you say that?
Wouldn't want to be in China 124, Britain 130, Japan 166, South Korea 167 or anywhere in the Middle East. Is it any surprise that Egypt 165 is in a rebellion. Too many people, too hot, and ex-OPEC.
ralfy wrote:I read somewhere that various U.S. towns and cities only have a few days' worth of food, medicine, fuel, etc., due to a JIT system. The same likely applies to much of the global economy.
pstarr wrote:Desu, you should visit the link.
Real Density is more useful than simple Population Density measure. It measure arable land. So a country may have low population density but no arable land. Another country may have many many many many many man ypeople but all the open land is arable. No mountains, no deserts, just cropland.
Desu JIT is "Just In Time" manufacturing.
Or JIT food production. Modern supermarkets in America have no storage space. No warehouse. Everything is in route all the time. The trucks stop and so does your dinner.
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