onlooker wrote:http://www.shadowstats.com/
I do not put much stock in US government economic reporting. Most know that the elites and powers that be have an agenda. Among which is to keep pacified the masses and continue with BAU. In order to do so they must quell any suspicions that the economy is in worst state then appears. Also, their is the political angle. Politicians cannot be re-elected if it becomes apparent that things during their tenure got much worse economically. So their is every incentive for government to paint a rosier picture. Also, their is the angle of general optimism or lack thereof by entities such as the stock market , borrowers, consumers etc. If optimism is shattered these entities could go into a tailspin which can reach a truly low nadir. Thus I recommend the site link above for a much credible analysis of US economic data and indicators.
That is a good source of information about the CPI (and PPI) manipulation that is giving the phony GDP growth reported. The real inflation is around 6% and not 2% and the real GDP growth is negative. In the US the CPI and PPI are similar numbers so the GDP deflator is about 1.06. But what is reported uses a deflator of 1.02, so if the
official growth rate is 3%, in actuality it is -1%
GDP_current/1.02 = GDP_previous_year*1.03 (in non adjusted dollars)
should be
GDP_current/1.06 = GDP_previous_year*1.03*(1.02/1.06) = GDP_previous_year*0.99
This explains why the middle class is shrinking in the USA and there are "jobless recoveries". This racket has been going on since around 1990. That is 25 years at least of faked inflation numbers. Without bothering to do a year by year analysis and using the numbers above we have:
1.03^25 = 2.1 vs. 0.99^25 = 0.78
There is no way the US GDP is $18 trillion dollars. It is not even $9 trillion.