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Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

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Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby GHung » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 10:40:13

http://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books ... 553419962/

In this tour de force of investigative reporting, Ted Koppel reveals that a major cyberattack on America’s power grid is not only possible but likely, that it would be devastating, and that the United States is shockingly unprepared.

Imagine a blackout lasting not days, but weeks or months. Tens of millions of people over several states are affected. For those without access to a generator, there is no running water, no sewage, no refrigeration or light. Food and medical supplies are dwindling. Devices we rely on have gone dark. Banks no longer function, looting is widespread, and law and order are being tested as never before.

It isn’t just a scenario. A well-designed attack on just one of the nation’s three electric power grids could cripple much of our infrastructure—and in the age of cyberwarfare, a laptop has become the only necessary weapon. Several nations hostile to the United States could launch such an assault at any time. In fact, as a former chief scientist of the NSA reveals, China and Russia have already penetrated the grid. And a cybersecurity advisor to President Obama believes that independent actors—from “hacktivists” to terrorists—have the capability as well. “It’s not a question of if,” says Centcom Commander General Lloyd Austin, “it’s a question of when.”

And yet, as Koppel makes clear, the federal government, while well prepared for natural disasters, has no plan for the aftermath of an attack on the power grid. The current Secretary of Homeland Security suggests keeping a battery-powered radio.

In the absence of a government plan, some individuals and communities have taken matters into their own hands. Among the nation’s estimated three million “preppers,” we meet one whose doomsday retreat includes a newly excavated three-acre lake, stocked with fish, and a Wyoming homesteader so self-sufficient that he crafted the thousands of adobe bricks in his house by hand. We also see the unrivaled disaster preparedness of the Mormon church, with its enormous storehouses, high-tech dairies, orchards, and proprietary trucking company – the fruits of a long tradition of anticipating the worst. But how, Koppel asks, will ordinary civilians survive?

With urgency and authority, one of our most renowned journalists examines a threat unique to our time and evaluates potential ways to prepare for a catastrophe that is all but inevitable.


Praise:

“Lights Out is a timely warning about the vulnerability of America to a massive cyberattack that would cripple all we take for granted – electricity, communication, transportation. This is not science fiction. Hats off to Ted Koppel for putting us all on alert.”
–TOM BROKAW

“Without a single bullet, bomb, or missile, a foreign enemy can now launch a devastating attack on the United States. Koppel explores how cyberwarfare threatens all of us, assesses the risks, criticizes the lack of government action, and finds praise for the Mormon way of disaster preparedness. I hope he’s wrong about the danger but fear he’s right on the mark.”
–ERIC SCHLOSSER, author of Command and Control and Fast Food Nation

“Ted Koppel’s unparalleled reporting skills are on full display in Lights Out. A fascinating and frightening look at just how vulnerable we are to a cyberattack.”
–ANDERSON COOPER

“As readers would expect from Ted Koppel, Lights Out is dramatic but not hyped, tied to today’s news of shaky infrastructure and cyber attacks but also forward looking. This is an engrossing and significant book.”
—JAMES FALLOWS, national correspondent, The Atlantic; author of China Airborne

“In Lights Out, Ted Koppel uses his profound journalistic talents to raise pressing questions about our nation’s aging electrical grid. Through interview after interview with leading experts, Koppel paints a compelling picture of the impact cyberattacks may have on the grid. The book reveals the vulnerability of perhaps the most critical of all the infrastructures of our modern society: the electricity that keeps our modern society humming along.”
—MARC GOODMAN, author of Future Crimes

“Ted Koppel has written an important wake-up call for America on the threat of a crippling cyberattack. The danger we face right now is great, but so is the failure to acknowledge that the threat exists at all.”
–LEON PANETTA, former U.S. Secretary of Defense

“Lights Out illuminates one of the greatest vulnerabilities to our nation – a cyberattack on our power grid. It is a wake-up call for all of us. We are the nation that created the internet; we should be the first to secure it. This powerful book could be the catalyst for just such a change.”
–GENERAL (RET.) KEITH ALEXANDER, former director of the National Security Agency

“Try to imagine what a malevolent government, armed with the latest computer sophistication, could do to another nation’s complex and entirely digital-dependent economy and social infrastructure. Fortunately, Ted Koppel has imagined it for us. We have been warned.”
–GEORGE F. WILL

“When the lights go out after the cyberattack, this is the book everyone will read.”
–RICHARD A. CLARKE, author of Cyber War and former National Coordinator for Security, Infrastructure Protection, and Counter-terrorism

“A bold enumeration of the challenges posed by the digital age; an appeal to safeguard new instruments of human flourishing by studying the ways in which they could be exploited.”
—HENRY A. KISSINGER


CBS News did a segment this morning:
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/in-the-dark ... -security/

Interviews and all that. I sometimes get a little braggadocios about being off grid, except for using about 80 gallons of propane per year for cooking and the clothes dryer (we never have less than several year's worth of gas in the tanks), but in reality, all of us in industrial society are gridweenies, some just less exposed than others. Our family also has at least several months of food and other essential stores, but an extended grid outage would be a big reset for all of us. We (my family) could also produce a lot of food almost indefinitely, locally, without grid-enabled inputs, but I'm not deluding myself that these would be the only challenges. Those who think a major, long-lasting grid failure would be 'fun' haven't thought things through very well. Just sayin'....
Last edited by GHung on Sun 01 Nov 2015, 10:53:37, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; The Book

Unread postby onlooker » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 10:53:00

Also, I imagine that such an attack could be preliminary or in tandem to a EMP attack to basically disable the entire US electric grid. Then perhaps even more devastating followed by a full scale nuclear attack. The stuff of nightmares but you would think the Pentagon would be studying precisely this sort of stuff. I mean what else do they have to do.
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; The Book

Unread postby Lore » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 10:55:35

There is a very small pecentage of possibility that an a effective EMP strike could be made.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby GHung » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 11:42:21

Blessed are the Meek, for they shall inherit nothing but their Souls. - Anonymous Ghung Person
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby Paulo1 » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 15:19:36

I live in a pretty remote place on Vancouver Island. I know a city refugee a km away who is convinced China plans to launch an EMP attack someday, perhaps soon. He drives old beaters that do not have on board computers. Talking with him is a strange experience when he goes 'on topic'. I'm not sure where he plans to drive to when it happens, but that is his reasoning. Maybe reasoning is the wrong word to use. 8O other than that....great guy and good neighbour.

Linemen make pretty good money. There would be worse things than a mass effort to restore the grid.....say like launching another war somewhere. :o
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby onlooker » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 15:46:53

roast zombies

:lol: :lol: :razz: :razz:
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby StarvingLion » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 15:53:36

They better hurry up and do it.

The Coming Age of Slaughter: A Historian Warns of 'Ecological Panic' by

http://www.newrepublic.com/article/envi ... g-genocide

Why this article is NOT negative enough.

TOO MUCH HEAT + NO WATER + NO SOIL = MASS DEATHS

Extreme heat stress during the crop reproductive period will:

► reduce spring wheat yields by 50%

► reduce soybean yields by 25%

► increase global losses of corn yields by 100%

http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034011/article

In 10 years 4 billion people will be without enough water.

In 10 years 2 billion people will be severely short of water.

http://www.un.org/waterforlifedecade/scarcity.shtml

Ground water depletion has gone critical in major agricultural centers worldwide.

http://mashable.com/2015/06/16/groundwa ... -depleted/

http://www.worldcrunch.com/world-affair ... YGtolVVikq http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/ ... 061615.php

The world's rivers and lakes are drying up.

http://www.worldpreservationfoundation. ... YHzqfm4S1s

http://environment.nationalgeographic.c ... 00x450.jpg

Drought is spreading across the earth.

http://www.eldoradocountyweather.com/cl ... -risk.html

We passed peak growth-rate for food production in 2006.

http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol19/iss4/art50/

In 60 years, human agriculture will stop because of soil loss and degradation.

http://www.scientificamerican.com/artic ... continues/

We add 1 million more people to earth every 5 days.

http://www.worldpopulationbalance.org/faq

We have to grow more food over the next 50 years than we grew in all of the last 10,000 years, combined.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/ ... hange.food

http://www.independent.co.uk/environmen ... 09185.html

We will need 12 million acres of brand new farmland every year for 30 years to do it. We are losing 24 million acres of farmland every year.

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfre ... human-life

We will run out of easy access to 2 critical fertilizers which are irreplaceable, cannot be manufactured by humans and for which there are no substitutes.

http://www.nature.com/news/be-persuasiv ... ry-1.11796

In 2007, the IPCC told us emissions must peak by 2015 to stay within 2 °C of warming.

In 2014, the IPCC told us emissions must peak by 2030 to stay within 2 °C of warming.

The IPCC says we can do this because of "negative-emissions bio-energy" for which no such technology exists, and the kicker is that they say we will need 1.5 billion acres of NEW farmland by 2100. That much farmland is about the size of India which is equal to nearly 50% today’s arable land worldwide. The acronym for this fantasy is BECCS. The real acronym is BS.

http://www.nature.com/news/policy-clima ... ty-1.17468

http://www.theguardian.com/science/poli ... rs-dilemma

Our crop lands and pastures are to blame for 80% of all recent land vertebrate extinctions says Anthony Barnosky.

http://www.ucpress.edu/book.php?isbn=9780520274372

In 20 years we will pass peak energy and minerals.

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/ar ... 8011001361

This will happen when all our new solar panels and wind mills stop working and become expensive junk we can't afford to replace or recycle in times of shortages in water, food, energy, minerals and civility.

http://energyinformative.org/lifespan-solar-panels/

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/ar ... 8113005727

Never mind that magnetic pole reversal could cook the surface of earth for several hundred years...

http://www.scientificamerican.com/artic ... -expected/

...because in 25 years earth will go into a planetary ecological state shift and enter into runaway, irreversible, unstoppable mass extinction. The good news is that know one will know exactly when we will pass the tipping point for runaway extinction until it is too late and there is nothing we can do to stop it.
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby onlooker » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 16:07:48

Here is a doomer is every sense of the word, but guess what everything Starving Lion links and states is true. Thanks for the grim forecast. Make me look more often up to the sky in the hope that angles or aliens come to our rescue.
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby Newfie » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 18:31:09

The NERCis involved with this issue.

http://www.nerc.com/pa/CI/Pages/default.aspx

Given the speed and reliability of my internet connection y would think it has already occurred!
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby Lore » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 18:55:45

pstarr wrote:GHung, if you like to snuggle up with a good doomer-read on a raining fall day, I would suggest "One Second After" about EMP and the breakdown of civilization. Of course one must consider such a scenario as doomer-lite as the civilization could be rebuilt.


I read "One Second After" some years ago with a forward by Newt Gingrich. Fiction written by a friend of his to pump up some paranoia nonsense about the axis of evil. By the time any of those jokers could even begin to think about mounting such a sophisticated attack in the future the world will once again be a much bigger place with a lot less people. Which is to say they will more likely be pounding rocks then launching nuclear missiles
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby Lore » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 21:22:02

pstarr wrote:Calm down Lore. It's science fiction, a doomer piece of art, not a political tract.


Actually not quite. Newt was using it on talk radio as a probable scenario. It made an impact on his followers.

The book has a forward written by former Speaker of the House and Presidential candidate Newt Gingrich. He has been one of the few politicians that have been sounding the alarm about the dangers of the EMP threat. For that reason alone it might be wise to make him our next president because none of the ways to bring America back to prosperity or back to the American way that politicians debate about will matter one whit if nothing is done about our vulnerability to this EMP threat and our enemies carry out such an attack.
http://www.thepropheticyears.com/wordpr ... phecy.html
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby Tanada » Sun 01 Nov 2015, 23:47:50

Lore wrote:
pstarr wrote:Calm down Lore. It's science fiction, a doomer piece of art, not a political tract.


Actually not quite. Newt was using it on talk radio as a probable scenario. It made an impact on his followers.

The book has a forward written by former Speaker of the House and Presidential candidate Newt Gingrich. He has been one of the few politicians that have been sounding the alarm about the dangers of the EMP threat. For that reason alone it might be wise to make him our next president because none of the ways to bring America back to prosperity or back to the American way that politicians debate about will matter one whit if nothing is done about our vulnerability to this EMP threat and our enemies carry out such an attack.
http://www.thepropheticyears.com/wordpr ... phecy.html


So are you saying Doomerland is an exclusive lefty zone and the righties are not allowed to play in your playground or what?
Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: Ted Koppel: Lights Out; the book

Unread postby Newfie » Mon 02 Nov 2015, 23:41:28

This is what I was trying to quote from the NERC site above. Every time it rains my internet connection goes in the crapper. High tech Philly, no fios available!

The NERC is kinda lame, but they are not totally out to lunch either. The power industry is more vulnerable than transit because they must rely upon leased services, whereas transit typically owns its own fiber, and can be independent.

I just wante dot point out there are industry folks thinking about this stuff.

I'd be more worried about them doing financial mischief, really hosing the banking or credit card industry,

The Electricity Information Sharing and Analysis Center (E-ISAC) establishes situational awareness, incident management, coordination, and communication capabilities within the electricity sector through timely, reliable, and secure information exchange. The E-ISAC, in collaboration with the Department of Energy and the Electricity Sector Coordinating Council (ESCC), serves as the primary security communications channel for the electricity sector and enhances the sector's ability to prepare for and respond to cyber and physical threats, vulnerabilities, and incidents.

The E-ISAC:
Identifies, prioritizes, and coordinates the protection of critical power services, infrastructure service, and key resources;
Facilitates sharing of information pertaining to physical and cyber threats, vulnerabilities, incidents, potential protective measures, and practices;
Provides rapid response through the ability to effectively contact and coordinate with member companies, as required;
Provides and shares campaign analysis, which includes capturing, correlating, trending data for historical analysis, and sharing that information within the sector;
Receives incident data from private and public entities;
Assists the Department of Energy, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, and the Department of Homeland Security in analyzing event data to determine threat, vulnerabilities, trends and impacts for the sector, as well as interdependencies with other critical infrastructures (this includes integration into the DHS National Cybersecurity and Communications Integration Center);
Analyzes incident data and prepares reports based on subject matter expertise in security and the bulk power system;
Shares threat alerts, warnings, advisories, notices, and vulnerability assessments with the industry;
Works with other ISACs to share information and provide assistance during actual or potential sector disruptions whether caused by intentional, accidental, or natural events;
Develops and maintains an awareness of private and governmental infrastructure interdependencies;
Provides an electronic, secure capability for the E-ISAC participants to exchange and share information on all threats to defend critical infrastructure;
Participates in government critical infrastructure exercises; and
Conducts outreach to educate and inform the electricity sector.
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