onlooker wrote:The point of contention was the assertion by one of them, that his position was the absolute correct one and no other could be held. The other poster retorted that it is not useful or helpful to assert your position as unassailable and unequivocally correct. That we all should always account for uncertainty in any comment or position held especially ones that science deals with and also because for the most part none of us are truly experts in the subject matter we discuss. Views?
Cog wrote:Data can be unassailable if it can be shown that the data was derived using standard and accurate methods of obtaining it and such data is subject to be reproduced by others.
When we get into predictions using models or theories, then a lot of subjectivity creeps in and the unassailability of those models or theories, can usually only be seen in hindsight.
For example assume #1 and #2 are true.
1) The sales of guns have increased dramatically in the last seven years
2) Homicides rates have fallen over the last seven years
If I make the statement that a dramatic increase in gun sales has not led to increased homicide rates that would be a logical and unassailable point which follows from the two factual data bits above.
If I were to state that the dramatic increase in gun sales has caused the homicide rate to drop that statement might be valid or it might not be. There are many other factors which could cause the homicide rate to drop.
Causation is where a lot of people get into trouble claiming unassailability. X and Y might indeed by unassailable but X and Y will cause Z is not.
Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
Return to Open Topic Discussion
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 23 guests