Tuike wrote:Wasn't it Guy McPherson person who said we'll all drop dead in a few years?
AdamB wrote:Tuike wrote:Wasn't it Guy McPherson person who said we'll all drop dead in a few years?
Yeah, but he said it in 2008. And defined "a few years" as about 6. You being alive to suppose the question proves that he had something else in mind when selling the idea.
Tropical Wave
An inverted trough (an elongated area of relatively low pressure) or cyclonic curvature maximum moving east to west across the tropics. These can lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone. Also known as an easterly wave.
Newfie wrote:We had to cross it. Our weather router advised us it was about to experience a “energy impulse” N of 22N shortly after Noon Sunday. In short, get your ass South NOW. Monday evening we had a clear sky but could see a long line of cumulus clouds, and as the sun set the fireworks were spectacular. Truly a wonderful image in your rear view mirror. The sea was rough enough with considerable swell from a storm NE of Bermuda and local chop. Uncomfortable, especially for my Wife who choose this instant to get some mild food poisoning.
I have never before heard of this “energy impulse” thing and can. Ot find a google reference. Glad we saw but did not experience it.
jedrider wrote:AdamB wrote:Tuike wrote:Wasn't it Guy McPherson person who said we'll all drop dead in a few years?
Yeah, but he said it in 2008. And defined "a few years" as about 6. You being alive to suppose the question proves that he had something else in mind when selling the idea.
Yes, he is continually wrong. One cannot predict a non-linear event. Even Yogi Berra couldn't.
Our weather router advised us it was about to experience a “energy impulse” N of 22N shortly after Noon Sunday.
Doly wrote:Our weather router advised us it was about to experience a “energy impulse” N of 22N shortly after Noon Sunday.
Considering how many typos in your post, I'm not inclined to believe your claim without independent verification that weather services are talking about things like "energy impulse".
AdamB wrote:Doly wrote:Our weather router advised us it was about to experience a “energy impulse” N of 22N shortly after Noon Sunday.
Considering how many typos in your post, I'm not inclined to believe your claim without independent verification that weather services are talking about things like "energy impulse".
Oh come'on, this is a peak oil forum, having had the entire modern generation of peak oilers discredited by their own words, it isn't reasonable to hold folks to a strict clinical interpretation of much of anything. What's wrong with cool stories in general? I have no doubt that none of us are exactly as we seem around here, and Newfie has been pretty consistent with his boat stories, hasn't demonstrated any tendencies towards ignorance or foolishness, it seems reasonable he ran into a storm, managed to stay out of it, and got to see a great light show. Regardless of the exact language he used to describe it.
Independent verification, please, how about we demand death certificates proving claims of a husband having passed away, or employment records when someone claims they worked on a road crew in Vermont, or lists of published works from anyone claiming to be a scientist, let alone independent researcher.
mousepad wrote:AdamB wrote:Doly wrote:Our weather router advised us it was about to experience a “energy impulse” N of 22N shortly after Noon Sunday.
Considering how many typos in your post, I'm not inclined to believe your claim without independent verification that weather services are talking about things like "energy impulse".
Oh come'on, this is a peak oil forum, having had the entire modern generation of peak oilers discredited by their own words, it isn't reasonable to hold folks to a strict clinical interpretation of much of anything. What's wrong with cool stories in general? I have no doubt that none of us are exactly as we seem around here, and Newfie has been pretty consistent with his boat stories, hasn't demonstrated any tendencies towards ignorance or foolishness, it seems reasonable he ran into a storm, managed to stay out of it, and got to see a great light show. Regardless of the exact language he used to describe it.
Independent verification, please, how about we demand death certificates proving claims of a husband having passed away, or employment records when someone claims they worked on a road crew in Vermont, or lists of published works from anyone claiming to be a scientist, let alone independent researcher.
Bravo.
Oh come'on, this is a peak oil forum, having had the entire modern generation of peak oilers discredited by their own words, it isn't reasonable to hold folks to a strict clinical interpretation of much of anything.
What's wrong with cool stories in general?
Independent verification, please, how about we demand death certificates proving claims of a husband having passed away, or employment records when someone claims they worked on a road crew in Vermont, or lists of published works from anyone claiming to be a scientist, let alone independent researcher.
Doly wrote:Oh come'on, this is a peak oil forum, having had the entire modern generation of peak oilers discredited by their own words, it isn't reasonable to hold folks to a strict clinical interpretation of much of anything.
I may have been discredited, but I don't happen to think it was my own words that discredited me.
Doly wrote:What's wrong with cool stories in general?
I don't think cool stories in general are a problem. I think some cool stories are a problem, though.
Doly wrote:Independent verification, please, how about we demand death certificates proving claims of a husband having passed away, or employment records when someone claims they worked on a road crew in Vermont, or lists of published works from anyone claiming to be a scientist, let alone independent researcher.
If you want proof of any of my claims for any reason, go ahead and ask.
Do you have a history of predictions somewhere that you want to summarize?
What was the prolem with Newfie's? Wrong verbiage for severe weather?
However, now you've got me interested in what your opinions/results/analysis might have been years ago, and how they have changed, and why.
Doly wrote:Actually, the model should probably be rebuilt from scratch, but that would kind of defeat the purpose I had in using the LTG model originally, which was using something that I hoped other people would be already familiar with... except that it turned out that people are familiar with the book, not the model. So that effectively leaves me trying to argue that my model is a good idea, when I have no credentials at all, and the LTG model itself looks like a cautionary tale about something that never took off successfully.
Doly wrote:Not to mention that, the way things are looking, we may be well past the point that such a model might be useful as an inspiration to anyone.
Doly wrote: The way I see things now, either somebody somewhere (maybe China) has already a good equivalent of what I've been thinking about, but it's not been talked about, so there is no point in me attempting to do it, or, if it hasn't been done, we are probably so screwed that we need to be thinking about lifeboats rather than modelling.
Doly wrote:.... we are probably so screwed that we need to be thinking about lifeboats rather than modelling.
Doly wrote:The way I see things now, either somebody somewhere (maybe China) has already a good equivalent of what I've been thinking about, but it's not been talked about, so there is no point in me attempting to do it, or, if it hasn't been done, we are probably so screwed that we need to be thinking about lifeboats rather than modelling.
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